Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

$227.7K Vol
2026年11月8日
Active
機率趨勢
HULIGANI 81.5%
PlayTime 18.5%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? 以壓倒性的 9,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? 以 9,050% 位居第二,Game 2 Winner 以 7,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $227.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? (9,050%):Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
  • Game 2 Winner (7,100%):以 7,100% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 2.5 Games (7,100%)、Ends in Daytime (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Barracks 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3Game 2 Winner7100.0%$17.9K7100¢-7000¢
4O/U 2.5 Games7100.0%$497100¢-7000¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Match Winner3300.0%$43.1K3300¢-3200¢
19Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)2750.0%$152750¢-2650¢
20Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
22Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
23Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?995.0%$105995¢-895¢
25Ends in Daytime950.0%—950¢-850¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?950.0%—950¢-850¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?950.0%—950¢-850¢
28Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)50.0%—50¢50¢
29Game 1 Winner5.0%$166.5K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PlayTime and HULIGANI in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against HULIGANI.

This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against PlayTime.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 7, 2026

  • 01:01 PM
    PEpepe232
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.6

  • 11:07 AM
    SKSkyCapital71
    $100.40

    Bought 167.335738 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.6

  • 11:03 AM
    DEDeepcoin
    $1.00

    Bought 2.325582 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.43

  • 10:45 AM
    PAPABLOESCOBAR25
    $28.30

    Bought 48.793104 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.58

  • 09:32 AM
    BIbiying88888
    $62.70

    Bought 114 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.55

  • 09:32 AM
    ——
    $2.45

    Bought 5 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.49

  • 09:31 AM
    ARarbmonitor
    $135.48

    Bought 265.647059 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.51

  • 09:31 AM
    FLflashback999
    $7.14

    Bought 14.571429 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.49

  • 09:31 AM
    3838791873984189
    $49.98

    Bought 108.66 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.46

  • 09:31 AM
    SEsellingsm
    $40.94

    Bought 89 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.46

  • 09:31 AM
    ——
    $22.82

    Bought 49.608696 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.46

  • 09:31 AM
    EBEBUN1
    $7.14

    Bought 14.571429 HULIGANI for Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

E11
0xE16D…0592
事件損益
-$713.22
成交量
$18,559.11
持倉數
PlayTimeHULIGANI
F32
0xf3ce…a57a
事件損益
+$980.22
成交量
$11,564.13
持倉數
HULIGANI
FO3
forsenxd
事件損益
+$9.65
成交量
$7,986.86
持倉數
HULIGANI
SK4
Skritopoolniy
事件損益
-$537.11
成交量
$7,451.67
持倉數
PlayTime
NE5
Neimuking
事件損益
+$790.01
成交量
$7,000.00
持倉數
HULIGANI
RA6
RandomVibecoder
事件損益
-$494.24
成交量
$6,124.73
持倉數
PlayTime
GA7
gamblergambler
事件損益
-$617.73
成交量
$4,575.79
持倉數
PlayTime
DD8
DDOOTTAA
事件損益
+$309.71
成交量
$3,710.76
持倉數
HULIGANI

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? 以 9,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?(9,050%),以及 Game 2 Winner(7,100%)。該市場總成交量已達 $227.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易