Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C

$860.2K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Liquid 70.5%
LEGION 29.5%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,200% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,200% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $860.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,200%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,200¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $249.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,200%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 2.5 Games 保持著 9,200% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,200¢。
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%):以 9,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Match Winner (7,250%)、Ends in Daytime (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Barracks 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9200.0%$249.9K9200¢-9100¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9200.0%$4929200¢-9100¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
4Match Winner7250.0%$50.9K7250¢-7150¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
16Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
17Game Handicap: LEGION (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)800.0%—800¢-700¢
18Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)5.0%$13.2K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and LEGION in the 1win Essence Group C, initially scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LEGION.

This market will resolve to "LEGION" if LEGION win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 12:28 PM
    STstone.
    $0.75

    Bought 5 LEGION for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.15

  • 12:20 PM
    OGoGsHydro
    $10.17

    Bought 17.534483 Team Liquid for Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 12:20 PM
    OGoGsZero
    $10.70

    Bought 18.448276 Team Liquid for Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 12:20 PM
    OGoGsPale
    $29.79

    Bought 51.362069 Team Liquid for Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 12:20 PM
    ONoneheadedtiger
    $326.89

    Bought 398.65 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:20 PM
    CHchaeri
    $4.49

    Bought 26.411765 LEGION for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.17

  • 12:13 PM
    JVjvpl
    $39.79

    Bought 66.311476 Team Liquid for Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 12:12 PM
    K2K2899743
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:08 PM
    ULulfsark0001
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:08 PM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $36.90

    Bought 45 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:08 PM
    0X0xc8D9C0Df291315f2184eCdaB4ED8247618aCdF36-1768237865742
    $82.00

    Bought 100 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

  • 12:06 PM
    .C.castorcurse
    $24.60

    Bought 30 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C at 0.82

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

YI1
yishiwucheng
事件損益
-$44.63
成交量
$5,209.60
持倉數
LEGIONLEGION
SQ2
sQreenDota2Bet
事件損益
+$37.44
成交量
$4,904.12
持倉數
LEGION
BA3
Barry1992
事件損益
-$0.42
成交量
$4,452.03
持倉數
Team Liquid
PU4
purplegatto
事件損益
-$34.25
成交量
$3,932.00
持倉數
LEGION
TE5
teteulovespedin
事件損益
-$38.87
成交量
$2,923.69
持倉數
Team Liquid
8D6
8D1cDXikbIYM5T
事件損益
-$10.43
成交量
$2,700.00
持倉數
Team Liquid
LH7
LHZ6002
事件損益
-$25.40
成交量
$2,482.91
持倉數
Team Liquid
JU8
JuiceFarm
事件損益
-$11.00
成交量
$2,199.98
持倉數
LEGION

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,200% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,200%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(9,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $860.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易