Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B

$1M Vol
2026年11月4日
Active
機率趨勢
Liquid 99.7%
TYLOO 0.4%

核心摘要

根據「Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 9,955% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) 以 9,745% 位居第二,Map 2 Winner 以 9,740% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1M,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (9,955%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,955¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $552.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) (9,745%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) 保持著 9,745% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,745¢。
  • Map 2 Winner (9,740%):以 9,740% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) (7,700%)、Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9955.0%$552.5K9955¢-9855¢
2Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)9745.0%$38.6K9745¢-9645¢
3Map 2 Winner9740.0%$291.9K9740¢-9640¢
4Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)7700.0%$1567700¢-7600¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs TYLOO (+9.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-12.5) vs TYLOO (+12.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 2.5 Games250.0%$4.0K250¢-150¢
14Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)145.0%$2.9K145¢-45¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Liquid and TYLOO in the IEM Beijing Group B, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against TYLOO.

This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 4, 2026

  • 01:36 AM
    0X0xf2b43415f790c62f092822aA0A7Fe617edD4d45D-1774000455502
    $24.73

    Bought 37.469697 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:36 AM
    FAFateBlank
    $14.00

    Bought 21.21212 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:36 AM
    DAdabe341zz
    $12.58

    Bought 34 Liquid for Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 01:36 AM
    NEnessunren
    $25.00

    Bought 37.878788 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:35 AM
    NINiK0k0k0k
    $833.47

    Bought 2252.621622 Liquid for Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 01:34 AM
    NINiK0k0k0k
    $242.41

    Bought 655.162163 Liquid for Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 01:34 AM
    LULucasfla
    $99.63

    Bought 150.954544 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:34 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $8.20

    Sold 20 TYLOO for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 01:33 AM
    BLBl1zz3rd
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575758 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:33 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $19.04

    Bought 28.848485 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:33 AM
    KIKizi123
    $10.00

    Bought 16.949153 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner at 0.59

  • 01:32 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $28.57

    Bought 43.287879 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

TH1
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
事件損益
+$30,010.57
成交量
$160,039.98
持倉數
LiquidLiquid
JA2
jakepaulthegoat2008
事件損益
-$41,398.51
成交量
$119,999.94
持倉數
TYLOO
HE3
heyjason
事件損益
+$20,215.86
成交量
$108,924.79
持倉數
Liquid
C94
0xC9BF…255F
事件損益
-$35,886.25
成交量
$101,054.13
持倉數
TYLOOTYLOO
ME5
MeiGuNiuBi
事件損益
-$7,930.24
成交量
$56,808.97
持倉數
TYLOOLiquid
ZY6
Zywoo123
事件損益
-$10,464.06
成交量
$51,809.99
持倉數
TYLOO
CA7
caishenbaoyoufadacai888
事件損益
+$2,905.42
成交量
$42,599.84
持倉數
LiquidTYLOO
428
4217893367451
事件損益
+$4,536.72
成交量
$40,644.29
持倉數
Liquid

常見問題

目前市場對「Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,955% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)(9,745%),以及 Map 2 Winner(9,740%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易