
Wisconsin vs. Maryland
核心摘要
根據「Wisconsin vs. Maryland」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Wisconsin vs. Maryland 以壓倒性的 9,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -1.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 8,900% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $141.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Wisconsin vs. Maryland (9,050%):Wisconsin vs. Maryland 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $26.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -1.5 (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -1.5 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
- Spread -2.5 (8,900%):以 8,900% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (8,450%)、Spread -4.5 (8,250%),以及 Spread -5.5 (8,150%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -6.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland | 9050.0% | $26.3K | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 2 | Spread -1.5 | 9000.0% | $27 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Spread -2.5 | 8900.0% | $6 | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 4 | Spread -3.5 | 8450.0% | $760 | 8450¢ | -8350¢ |
| 5 | Spread -4.5 | 8250.0% | $2.3K | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 6 | Spread -5.5 | 8150.0% | $1.4K | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 7 | Spread -6.5 | 7950.0% | $3.1K | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 8 | Spread -8.5 | 7550.0% | $42.7K | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 9 | Spread -7.5 | 7350.0% | $20.3K | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 10 | Wisconsin O/U 20.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 11 | Spread -10.5 | 6550.0% | $68 | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 12 | Wisconsin O/U 23.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 13 | Spread -0.5 | 6000.0% | — | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 14 | Spread -13.5 | 5950.0% | $60 | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 15 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 5750.0% | — | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 16 | 1H Moneyline | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 17 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 18 | Spread -14.5 | 5450.0% | $1.3K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 19 | Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 20 | Spread -16.5 | 5050.0% | $2.8K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 21 | O/U 35.5 | 5050.0% | $303 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 22 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Wisconsin O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Wisconsin 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Wisconsin 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Wisconsin 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Wisconsin 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Maryland 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Maryland 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Maryland 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Spread -16.5 | 4995.0% | $2.8K | 4995¢ | -4895¢ |
| 99 | O/U 73.5 | 4995.0% | — | 4995¢ | -4895¢ |
| 100 | O/U 75.5 | 4995.0% | — | 4995¢ | -4895¢ |
| 101 | O/U 71.5 | 4985.0% | — | 4985¢ | -4885¢ |
| 102 | O/U 67.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 103 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 104 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 105 | Spread -8.5 | 4900.0% | $42.7K | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 106 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 107 | Wisconsin 1H O/U 13.5 | 4900.0% | $12 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 108 | Maryland 1H O/U 12.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 109 | Spread -17.5 | 4850.0% | $1.6K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 110 | Wisconsin O/U 26.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 111 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 112 | Spread -17.5 | 4550.0% | $1.6K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 113 | O/U 69.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 114 | Maryland O/U 32.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 115 | Maryland O/U 29.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 116 | O/U 37.5 | 4250.0% | $23 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 117 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 118 | Maryland 1H O/U 16.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 119 | O/U 39.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 120 | Wisconsin O/U 32.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 121 | Wisconsin 1H O/U 15.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 122 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 123 | Spread -20.5 | 3550.0% | $5 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 124 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 125 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 126 | Maryland O/U 26.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 127 | Spread -20.5 | 3350.0% | $5 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 128 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 129 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 130 | O/U 41.5 | 2950.0% | $23.9K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 131 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 132 | O/U 43.5 | 2650.0% | $10.2K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 133 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 134 | Maryland O/U 35.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 135 | O/U 45.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 136 | O/U 55.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 137 | O/U 57.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 138 | O/U 61.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 139 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 140 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 141 | O/U 63.5 | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 142 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 1750.0% | $147 | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 143 | O/U 47.5 | 1650.0% | $1 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 144 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 145 | O/U 51.5 | 1350.0% | — | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 146 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 147 | O/U 49.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 148 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 149 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 150 | O/U 53.5 | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 151 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 152 | Spread -1.5 | 750.0% | $27 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 153 | Spread -2.5 | 750.0% | $6 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 154 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 155 | Maryland O/U 23.5 | 650.0% | — | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 156 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 157 | Spread -3.5 | 495.0% | $760 | 495¢ | -395¢ |
| 158 | O/U 59.5 | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 159 | Spread -4.5 | 360.0% | $2.3K | 360¢ | -260¢ |
| 160 | Maryland 1H O/U 14.5 | 345.0% | — | 345¢ | -245¢ |
| 161 | Spread -5.5 | 325.0% | $1.4K | 325¢ | -225¢ |
| 162 | Spread -6.5 | 290.0% | $3.1K | 290¢ | -190¢ |
| 163 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 250.0% | — | 250¢ | -150¢ |
| 164 | Spread -7.5 | 100.0% | $20.3K | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 165 | O/U 65.5 | 100.0% | $2.1K | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 166 | Spread -10.5 | 90.0% | $68 | 90¢ | 10¢ |
| 167 | Spread -13.5 | 45.0% | $60 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 168 | Spread -14.5 | 45.0% | $1.3K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and Maryland, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game.
This market will resolve to "Maryland" if Maryland win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 14, 2026
- 06:14 AMIMImaTakova$1.01
Bought 1.346667 Wisconsin for Wisconsin vs. Maryland at 0.75
- 12:46 AMGOGolftango$50.00
Bought 192.307693 Maryland for Wisconsin vs. Maryland at 0.26
- 12:46 AMGOGolftango$100.00
Bought 200 Maryland for Spread: Wisconsin (-8.5) at 0.5
Nov 13, 2026
- 09:28 PMSMsmallniprick$5.63
Bought 11.03 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 09:28 PMSMsmallniprick$7.57
Bought 10.09 Wisconsin for Wisconsin vs. Maryland at 0.75
- 08:41 PMELeliteelite$10.00
Bought 19.607844 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PM0X0x0abdea0ECe95A$2.65
Bought 5.196079 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PM——$15.21
Bought 29.82353 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PM——$1.78
Bought 3.490197 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PM——$1.80
Bought 3.529412 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PMNInigiri99$228.50
Bought 457 Under for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.5
- 07:25 PMNInigiri99$1,996.00
Bought 3992 Under for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.5
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Wisconsin vs. Maryland」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Wisconsin vs. Maryland 以 9,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,000%),以及 Spread -2.5(8,900%)。該市場總成交量已達 $141.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
