
Washington vs. Michigan State
核心摘要
根據「Washington vs. Michigan State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,2Q O/U 7.5 以壓倒性的 8,300% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 35.5 以 7,250% 位居第二,3Q O/U 7.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $224.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,300%):2Q O/U 7.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,300¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 35.5 (7,250%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 35.5 保持著 7,250% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,250¢。
- 3Q O/U 7.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 3Q O/U 7.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 37.5 (6,600%)、O/U 39.5 (6,250%),以及 Washington O/U 20.5 (5,850%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Washington vs. Michigan State 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 8300.0% | — | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 2 | O/U 35.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 3 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 4 | O/U 37.5 | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 5 | O/U 39.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 6 | Washington O/U 20.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 7 | Washington vs. Michigan State | 5750.0% | $177.0K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 8 | O/U 41.5 | 5750.0% | $5.1K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 9 | Spread -0.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 10 | Spread -1.5 | 5450.0% | $10 | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 11 | 1H Moneyline | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 12 | 1Q Moneyline | 5300.0% | $30 | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 13 | Spread -2.5 | 5150.0% | $1.4K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 14 | O/U 43.5 | 5150.0% | $133 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 15 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Washington 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Washington 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Washington 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Michigan State 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Michigan State 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Michigan State 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Washington 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Washington 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Washington 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Michigan State 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Michigan State 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Michigan State 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Spread -20.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 120 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 121 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 122 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 123 | Washington O/U 23.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 124 | Michigan State O/U 35.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 125 | O/U 45.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 126 | Washington O/U 32.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 127 | Michigan State O/U 32.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 128 | Spread -3.5 | 4250.0% | $21.5K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 129 | Spread -0.5 | 4200.0% | — | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 130 | Spread -1.5 | 4150.0% | $10 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 131 | Spread -4.5 | 4050.0% | $1.4K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 132 | O/U 47.5 | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 133 | Washington O/U 29.5 | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 134 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 135 | Michigan State O/U 23.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 136 | Spread -2.5 | 3900.0% | $1.4K | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 137 | O/U 63.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 138 | Spread -5.5 | 3850.0% | $5.9K | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 139 | O/U 67.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 140 | O/U 69.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 141 | O/U 71.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 142 | Spread -6.5 | 3700.0% | $583 | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 143 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 144 | O/U 75.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 145 | Spread -3.5 | 3350.0% | $21.5K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 146 | O/U 49.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 147 | O/U 55.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 148 | Spread -4.5 | 3050.0% | $1.4K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 149 | Spread -7.5 | 3000.0% | $10 | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 150 | O/U 73.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 151 | Michigan State O/U 26.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 152 | Spread -5.5 | 2900.0% | $5.9K | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 153 | Spread -8.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 154 | Spread -6.5 | 2700.0% | $583 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 155 | O/U 51.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 156 | Washington O/U 26.5 | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 157 | O/U 53.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 158 | Spread -10.5 | 2350.0% | $263 | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 159 | Michigan State O/U 29.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 160 | Spread -7.5 | 2200.0% | $10 | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 161 | Spread -8.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 162 | Spread -13.5 | 1950.0% | $33 | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 163 | O/U 57.5 | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 164 | Spread -10.5 | 1700.0% | $263 | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 165 | Spread -14.5 | 1650.0% | $10 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 166 | Spread -16.5 | 1450.0% | $4.4K | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 167 | O/U 59.5 | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 168 | Spread -13.5 | 1350.0% | $33 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 169 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 1350.0% | — | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 170 | Spread -17.5 | 1250.0% | $1.4K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 171 | O/U 61.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 172 | Spread -14.5 | 1100.0% | $10 | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 173 | Spread -20.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 174 | Spread -16.5 | 850.0% | $4.4K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 175 | O/U 65.5 | 800.0% | $1.3K | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 176 | Spread -17.5 | 750.0% | $1.4K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Michigan State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game.
This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 14, 2026
- 09:54 AMCACasebres$355.00
Bought 724.489796 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-2.5) at 0.49
- 09:03 AMP4P4UL92$1.00
Bought 1.11111 Under for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 65.5 at 0.9
- 07:06 AMIMImaTakova$1.04
Bought 1.793104 Over for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 41.5 at 0.58
- 07:06 AMIMImaTakova$1.05
Bought 1.810345 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-3.5) at 0.58
- 01:33 AMBIbigish$41.34
Sold 689.08 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-17.5) at 0.06
- 01:33 AMBIbigish$147.53
Sold 2107.62 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.07
- 01:07 AMBIbigish$68.91
Bought 689.08 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-17.5) at 0.1
- 01:07 AMBIbigish$121.00
Bought 1100 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.11
- 01:06 AMBIbigish$100.76
Bought 1007.62 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.1
- 12:54 AMGOGolftango$100.00
Bought 175.438597 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-3.5) at 0.57
- 12:44 AMNAnaggingbets$10.00
Bought 100 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.1
- 12:34 AMLULuckyPunch99$17.33
Bought 157.53 Over for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 65.5 at 0.11
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Washington vs. Michigan State」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,300% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 35.5(7,250%),以及 3Q O/U 7.5(7,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $224.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
