Washington vs. Michigan State

$224.2K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Washington 57.5%
Michigan State 42.5%

核心摘要

根據「Washington vs. Michigan State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,2Q O/U 7.5 以壓倒性的 8,300% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 35.5 以 7,250% 位居第二,3Q O/U 7.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $224.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,300%):2Q O/U 7.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,300¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 35.5 (7,250%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 35.5 保持著 7,250% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,250¢。
  • 3Q O/U 7.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 3Q O/U 7.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 37.5 (6,600%)、O/U 39.5 (6,250%),以及 Washington O/U 20.5 (5,850%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Washington vs. Michigan State 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
12Q O/U 7.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
2O/U 35.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
33Q O/U 7.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
4O/U 37.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
5O/U 39.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
6Washington O/U 20.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
7Washington vs. Michigan State5750.0%$177.0K5750¢-5650¢
8O/U 41.55750.0%$5.1K5750¢-5650¢
9Spread -0.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
10Spread -1.55450.0%$105450¢-5350¢
111H Moneyline5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
121Q Moneyline5300.0%$305300¢-5200¢
13Spread -2.55150.0%$1.4K5150¢-5050¢
14O/U 43.55150.0%$1335150¢-5050¢
151H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
161H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
172H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
182H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
192H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
221Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
231Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
241Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
251Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
262Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
272Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
282Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
303Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
313Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
323Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
333Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
344Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
354Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
364Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
374Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Washington 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Washington 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Washington 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Michigan State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Michigan State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Michigan State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Washington 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Washington 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Washington 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Michigan State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Michigan State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Michigan State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Washington vs. Michigan State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1162Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1173Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1184Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Spread -20.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1201Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1211H O/U 21.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
122Game Goes to Overtime4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
123Washington O/U 23.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
124Michigan State O/U 35.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
125O/U 45.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
126Washington O/U 32.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
127Michigan State O/U 32.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
128Spread -3.54250.0%$21.5K4250¢-4150¢
129Spread -0.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
130Spread -1.54150.0%$104150¢-4050¢
131Spread -4.54050.0%$1.4K4050¢-3950¢
132O/U 47.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
133Washington O/U 29.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1341H O/U 27.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
135Michigan State O/U 23.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
136Spread -2.53900.0%$1.4K3900¢-3800¢
137O/U 63.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
138Spread -5.53850.0%$5.9K3850¢-3750¢
139O/U 67.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
140O/U 69.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
141O/U 71.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
142Spread -6.53700.0%$5833700¢-3600¢
1434Q O/U 7.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
144O/U 75.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
145Spread -3.53350.0%$21.5K3350¢-3250¢
146O/U 49.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
147O/U 55.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
148Spread -4.53050.0%$1.4K3050¢-2950¢
149Spread -7.53000.0%$103000¢-2900¢
150O/U 73.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
151Michigan State O/U 26.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
152Spread -5.52900.0%$5.9K2900¢-2800¢
153Spread -8.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
154Spread -6.52700.0%$5832700¢-2600¢
155O/U 51.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
156Washington O/U 26.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
157O/U 53.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
158Spread -10.52350.0%$2632350¢-2250¢
159Michigan State O/U 29.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
160Spread -7.52200.0%$102200¢-2100¢
161Spread -8.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
162Spread -13.51950.0%$331950¢-1850¢
163O/U 57.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
164Spread -10.51700.0%$2631700¢-1600¢
165Spread -14.51650.0%$101650¢-1550¢
166Spread -16.51450.0%$4.4K1450¢-1350¢
167O/U 59.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
168Spread -13.51350.0%$331350¢-1250¢
1691H O/U 30.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
170Spread -17.51250.0%$1.4K1250¢-1150¢
171O/U 61.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
172Spread -14.51100.0%$101100¢-1000¢
173Spread -20.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
174Spread -16.5850.0%$4.4K850¢-750¢
175O/U 65.5800.0%$1.3K800¢-700¢
176Spread -17.5750.0%$1.4K750¢-650¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Michigan State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game.

This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 09:54 AM
    CACasebres
    $355.00

    Bought 724.489796 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-2.5) at 0.49

  • 09:03 AM
    P4P4UL92
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 Under for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 65.5 at 0.9

  • 07:06 AM
    IMImaTakova
    $1.04

    Bought 1.793104 Over for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 41.5 at 0.58

  • 07:06 AM
    IMImaTakova
    $1.05

    Bought 1.810345 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-3.5) at 0.58

  • 01:33 AM
    BIbigish
    $41.34

    Sold 689.08 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-17.5) at 0.06

  • 01:33 AM
    BIbigish
    $147.53

    Sold 2107.62 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.07

  • 01:07 AM
    BIbigish
    $68.91

    Bought 689.08 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-17.5) at 0.1

  • 01:07 AM
    BIbigish
    $121.00

    Bought 1100 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.11

  • 01:06 AM
    BIbigish
    $100.76

    Bought 1007.62 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.1

  • 12:54 AM
    GOGolftango
    $100.00

    Bought 175.438597 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-3.5) at 0.57

  • 12:44 AM
    NAnaggingbets
    $10.00

    Bought 100 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.1

  • 12:34 AM
    LULuckyPunch99
    $17.33

    Bought 157.53 Over for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 65.5 at 0.11

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

KC1
Kch-Temp
事件損益
+$691.98
成交量
$90,181.34
持倉數
Washington
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$1.86
成交量
$53,180.60
持倉數
Michigan StateMichigan StateWashington+1
9F3
0x9f15…bdb3
事件損益
-$166.06
成交量
$33,211.14
持倉數
Michigan State
2C4
0x2c33…5465
事件損益
+$164.37
成交量
$32,851.64
持倉數
Washington
JO5
JokerTheClown
事件損益
+$100.00
成交量
$20,000.00
持倉數
Washington
IM6
imjustkenisghey
事件損益
-$192.61
成交量
$19,202.67
持倉數
Michigan StateUnder
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$716.31
成交量
$16,646.66
持倉數
WashingtonWashingtonWashington+2
828
0x82ff…6f16
事件損益
-$31.00
成交量
$16,500.70
持倉數
Michigan State

常見問題

目前市場對「Washington vs. Michigan State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,300% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 35.5(7,250%),以及 3Q O/U 7.5(7,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $224.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易