
Utah vs. Arizona
核心摘要
根據「Utah vs. Arizona」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 39.5 以壓倒性的 8,600% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 43.5 以 8,350% 位居第二,O/U 37.5 以 8,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $164.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 39.5 (8,600%):O/U 39.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,600¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 43.5 (8,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 43.5 保持著 8,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,350¢。
- O/U 37.5 (8,250%):以 8,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 37.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 41.5 (8,150%)、Utah O/U 20.5 (7,700%),以及 O/U 45.5 (7,400%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1H O/U 21.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 39.5 | 8600.0% | — | 8600¢ | -8500¢ |
| 2 | O/U 43.5 | 8350.0% | — | 8350¢ | -8250¢ |
| 3 | O/U 37.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 4 | O/U 41.5 | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 5 | Utah O/U 20.5 | 7700.0% | — | 7700¢ | -7600¢ |
| 6 | O/U 45.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 7 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 8 | O/U 47.5 | 7050.0% | — | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 9 | Utah O/U 23.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 10 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 6700.0% | — | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 11 | O/U 49.5 | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 12 | Arizona O/U 23.5 | 6450.0% | — | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 13 | Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 6450.0% | — | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 14 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 15 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 16 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 6200.0% | — | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 17 | O/U 51.5 | 6150.0% | $38 | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 18 | Utah O/U 26.5 | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 19 | O/U 53.5 | 5750.0% | $341 | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 20 | Arizona 1H O/U 12.5 | 5750.0% | — | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 21 | Arizona O/U 26.5 | 5650.0% | $80 | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 22 | Utah 2H O/U 13.5 | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 23 | Utah 1H O/U 11.5 | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 24 | Spread -0.5 | 5400.0% | $5 | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 25 | Utah vs. Arizona | 5350.0% | $110.8K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 26 | Utah 1H O/U 13.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 27 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 28 | 1Q Moneyline | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 29 | 2Q Moneyline | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 30 | Spread -1.5 | 5150.0% | $2.2K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 31 | O/U 55.5 | 5150.0% | $632 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 32 | 1H Moneyline | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 33 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 5100.0% | $523 | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 34 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 35 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 36 | Utah 2H O/U 11.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 37 | 3Q Moneyline | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 38 | 4Q Moneyline | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 39 | O/U 35.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 40 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 41 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 42 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Arizona 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Arizona 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Arizona 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Utah vs. Arizona: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Utah vs. Arizona: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Utah vs. Arizona: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Utah Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Utah Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Utah Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Utah Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Utah Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Utah Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Utah vs. Arizona: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Utah vs. Arizona: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Utah vs. Arizona: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | Spread -2.5 | 4850.0% | $626 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 124 | Utah O/U 29.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 125 | Arizona 1H O/U 16.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 126 | Spread -0.5 | 4650.0% | $5 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 127 | Utah 1H O/U 15.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 128 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 129 | O/U 57.5 | 4550.0% | $1.0K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 130 | Spread -1.5 | 4450.0% | $2.2K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 131 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 132 | Utah 2H O/U 15.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 133 | Arizona 1H O/U 14.5 | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 134 | Arizona O/U 29.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 135 | Spread -2.5 | 4250.0% | $626 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 136 | Spread -3.5 | 4050.0% | $788 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 137 | O/U 59.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 138 | Spread -4.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 139 | Spread -5.5 | 3750.0% | $852 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 140 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 141 | Spread -3.5 | 3600.0% | $788 | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 142 | O/U 61.5 | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 143 | Utah O/U 32.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 144 | Spread -6.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 145 | Spread -4.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 146 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 147 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 148 | O/U 63.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 149 | Arizona O/U 32.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 150 | Spread -5.5 | 3150.0% | $852 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 151 | Spread -6.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 152 | Spread -7.5 | 2950.0% | $5 | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 153 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 154 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 155 | Spread -8.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 156 | O/U 65.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 157 | Spread -7.5 | 2450.0% | $5 | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 158 | Spread -10.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 159 | O/U 67.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 160 | Spread -8.5 | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 161 | Arizona O/U 35.5 | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 162 | Spread -10.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 163 | Spread -13.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 164 | O/U 69.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 165 | Spread -17.5 | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 166 | Spread -14.5 | 1750.0% | $70 | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 167 | O/U 73.5 | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 168 | Spread -13.5 | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 169 | Spread -20.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 170 | Spread -17.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 171 | Spread -20.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 172 | Spread -16.5 | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 173 | O/U 71.5 | 1400.0% | — | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 174 | Spread -14.5 | 1350.0% | $70 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 175 | Spread -16.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 176 | O/U 75.5 | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Utah and Arizona, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Utah" if Utah win the game.
This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 14, 2026
- 10:22 PMNInigiri99$197.60
Bought 380 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52
- 10:05 PM0X0xB06E1d5a08B3616B937b8d3dBa8a9373425C4423-1789692837446$1.00
Bought 1.923077 Utah for Utah vs. Arizona at 0.52
- 10:03 PMKAkanardmd$49.50
Bought 90 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-2.5) at 0.55
- 10:03 PMFRfrenchflair14$6.16
Bought 14.325582 Under for Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 53.5 at 0.43
- 10:02 PM——$1.02
Bought 2.081633 Utah for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.49
- 10:02 PMNInigiri99$24.44
Bought 47 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52
- 09:59 PMNInigiri99$39.00
Bought 75 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52
- 09:52 PMNInigiri99$172.12
Bought 331 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52
- 09:52 PMNInigiri99$2.60
Bought 5 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52
- 09:46 PMNInigiri99$1.04
Bought 2 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52
- 09:44 PMSUSubandiduuu$2.43
Bought 4.959184 Utah for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.49
- 09:44 PMNInigiri99$11.96
Bought 23 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Utah vs. Arizona」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 39.5 以 8,600% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 43.5(8,350%),以及 O/U 37.5(8,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $164.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
