UMass vs. Toledo

$217.8K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Toledo 90.5%
UMass 9.5%

核心摘要

根據「UMass vs. Toledo」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Spread -1.5 以壓倒性的 8,700% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 35.5 以 8,650% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 8,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $217.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Spread -1.5 (8,700%):Spread -1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,700¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 35.5 (8,650%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 35.5 保持著 8,650% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,650¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (8,400%):以 8,400% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (8,300%)、Toledo O/U 23.5 (8,300%),以及 Spread -4.5 (8,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 37.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Spread -1.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
2O/U 35.58650.0%$628650¢-8550¢
3Spread -2.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
4Spread -3.58300.0%$428300¢-8200¢
5Toledo O/U 23.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
6Spread -4.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
7O/U 37.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
8Spread -5.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
9Spread -6.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
10O/U 39.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
11O/U 41.57450.0%$8037450¢-7350¢
12Spread -7.57200.0%$5147200¢-7100¢
13Spread -9.57000.0%$1047000¢-6900¢
14O/U 43.56900.0%$56900¢-6800¢
15Spread -10.56600.0%$1.1K6600¢-6500¢
16O/U 45.56550.0%$1436550¢-6450¢
17Spread -11.56350.0%$1.7K6350¢-6250¢
18Spread -8.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
19Spread -13.55850.0%$15.6K5850¢-5750¢
20Spread -12.55800.0%$2735800¢-5700¢
21O/U 47.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
22O/U 49.55650.0%$755650¢-5550¢
23Spread -14.55550.0%$109.6K5550¢-5450¢
24Spread -16.55250.0%$2905250¢-5150¢
25Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
26UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
27Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
28Spread -20.55000.0%$4065000¢-4900¢
29Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -16.55000.0%$2905000¢-4900¢
31Spread -14.55000.0%$109.6K5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
341H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
361H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
372H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
421Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
431Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
441Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
451Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
461Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
523Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
533Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
543Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
553Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
574Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
604Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62UMass O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63UMass O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64UMass O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Toledo O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Toledo O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Toledo O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Toledo O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69UMass 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70UMass 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71UMass 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Toledo 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Toledo 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Toledo 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75UMass 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76UMass 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77UMass 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Toledo 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Toledo 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Toledo 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94UMass vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95UMass vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138UMass vs. Toledo: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139UMass vs. Toledo: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140UMass vs. Toledo: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Spread -34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1431H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1441Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1452Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148O/U 51.54950.0%$68.9K4950¢-4850¢
149Both Teams to Score Points - Q14950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
150UMass vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
151UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
152Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
153Spread -17.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
154Spread -15.54800.0%$464800¢-4700¢
155Spread -18.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
156O/U 53.54400.0%$1.0K4400¢-4300¢
157Spread -19.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
158Spread -20.54250.0%$4064250¢-4150¢
1591H O/U 27.54150.0%$894150¢-4050¢
160O/U 57.53950.0%$33950¢-3850¢
161Spread -21.53900.0%$13900¢-3800¢
162O/U 55.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
163Spread -22.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
164UMass O/U 20.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1651H O/U 30.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
166Spread -24.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
167O/U 61.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
168O/U 63.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
169UMass O/U 23.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
170Spread -27.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
171O/U 67.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
172Spread -28.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
173O/U 59.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
174O/U 69.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
175Spread -31.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
176O/U 73.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
177O/U 75.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
178Spread -30.51950.0%$3841950¢-1850¢
179O/U 65.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
180UMass vs. Toledo1150.0%$16.7K1150¢-1050¢
181Spread -2.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
182Spread -1.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
183Spread -4.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
184O/U 71.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
185Spread -3.5750.0%$42750¢-650¢
186Spread -6.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
187Spread -5.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
188Spread -7.5515.0%$514515¢-415¢
189Spread -10.5260.0%$1.1K260¢-160¢
190Spread -13.5195.0%$15.6K195¢-95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Toledo, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game.

This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 11:48 PM
    SOsoylentgoy
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-21.5) at 0.71

  • 11:20 PM
    ——
    $1.13

    Sold 2.82 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.4

  • 10:50 PM
    SIsionnach
    $2.38

    Bought 5.804879 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41

  • 10:50 PM
    MUmuhittinov
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439025 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41

  • 10:50 PM
    ——
    $1.16

    Bought 2.829269 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41

  • 10:50 PM
    SAsanten
    $5.00

    Bought 12.195122 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41

  • 10:50 PM
    PRprimm
    $31.33

    Bought 78.32 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.4

  • 10:39 PM
    MAMadridTime
    $15.13

    Bought 252.24138 UMass for Spread: UMass (-7.5) at 0.06

  • 10:07 PM
    ——
    $25.30

    Bought 46 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-15.5) at 0.55

  • 09:49 PM
    JLjlangan
    $25.00

    Bought 48.076922 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-14.5) at 0.52

  • 09:38 PM
    BUBunter.Hiden
    $5.00

    Bought 29.411765 UMass for UMass vs. Toledo at 0.17

  • 09:20 PM
    NInigiri99
    $18.62

    Bought 38 Over for UMass vs. Toledo: 1H O/U 27.5 at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PR1
primm
事件損益
-$199.33
成交量
$21,779.09
持倉數
UnderUMassUMass+1
NI2
nigiri99
事件損益
-$74.50
成交量
$17,046.00
持倉數
UMassOverUMass
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$125.11
成交量
$16,373.19
持倉數
ToledoUnderUMass+2
LI4
lightotunnel35
事件損益
-$29.97
成交量
$15,150.95
持倉數
Over
PW5
Pwaddler
事件損益
+$74.45
成交量
$14,887.06
持倉數
Toledo
386
38791873984189
事件損益
+$23.57
成交量
$7,187.52
持倉數
UnderToledoToledo+6
JA7
jaytee158
事件損益
-$30.25
成交量
$6,050.25
持倉數
Toledo
MA8
MAGATheeStallion
事件損益
-$16.89
成交量
$5,681.73
持倉數
Over

常見問題

目前市場對「UMass vs. Toledo」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 8,700% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 35.5(8,650%),以及 Spread -2.5(8,400%)。該市場總成交量已達 $217.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易