
UMass vs. Toledo
核心摘要
根據「UMass vs. Toledo」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread -1.5 以壓倒性的 8,700% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 35.5 以 8,650% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 8,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $217.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread -1.5 (8,700%):Spread -1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,700¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 35.5 (8,650%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 35.5 保持著 8,650% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,650¢。
- Spread -2.5 (8,400%):以 8,400% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (8,300%)、Toledo O/U 23.5 (8,300%),以及 Spread -4.5 (8,050%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 37.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -1.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 2 | O/U 35.5 | 8650.0% | $62 | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 3 | Spread -2.5 | 8400.0% | — | 8400¢ | -8300¢ |
| 4 | Spread -3.5 | 8300.0% | $42 | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 5 | Toledo O/U 23.5 | 8300.0% | — | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 6 | Spread -4.5 | 8050.0% | — | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 7 | O/U 37.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 8 | Spread -5.5 | 7800.0% | — | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 9 | Spread -6.5 | 7750.0% | — | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 10 | O/U 39.5 | 7750.0% | — | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 11 | O/U 41.5 | 7450.0% | $803 | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 12 | Spread -7.5 | 7200.0% | $514 | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 13 | Spread -9.5 | 7000.0% | $104 | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 14 | O/U 43.5 | 6900.0% | $5 | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 15 | Spread -10.5 | 6600.0% | $1.1K | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 16 | O/U 45.5 | 6550.0% | $143 | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 17 | Spread -11.5 | 6350.0% | $1.7K | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 18 | Spread -8.5 | 6200.0% | — | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 19 | Spread -13.5 | 5850.0% | $15.6K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 20 | Spread -12.5 | 5800.0% | $273 | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 21 | O/U 47.5 | 5750.0% | — | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 22 | O/U 49.5 | 5650.0% | $75 | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 23 | Spread -14.5 | 5550.0% | $109.6K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 24 | Spread -16.5 | 5250.0% | $290 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 25 | Spread -8.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 26 | UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 27 | Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 28 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | $406 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Spread -16.5 | 5000.0% | $290 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Spread -14.5 | 5000.0% | $109.6K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | UMass O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | UMass O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | UMass O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Toledo O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Toledo O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Toledo O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Toledo O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | UMass 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | UMass 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | UMass 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Toledo 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Toledo 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Toledo 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | UMass 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | UMass 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | UMass 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Toledo 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Toledo 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Toledo 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | UMass vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | UMass vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 135 | UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 136 | Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 137 | Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 138 | UMass vs. Toledo: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 139 | UMass vs. Toledo: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 140 | UMass vs. Toledo: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 141 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 142 | Spread -34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 143 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 144 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 145 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 146 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 147 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 148 | O/U 51.5 | 4950.0% | $68.9K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 149 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 150 | UMass vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 151 | UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 152 | Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 153 | Spread -17.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 154 | Spread -15.5 | 4800.0% | $46 | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 155 | Spread -18.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 156 | O/U 53.5 | 4400.0% | $1.0K | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 157 | Spread -19.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 158 | Spread -20.5 | 4250.0% | $406 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 159 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 4150.0% | $89 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 160 | O/U 57.5 | 3950.0% | $3 | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 161 | Spread -21.5 | 3900.0% | $1 | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 162 | O/U 55.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 163 | Spread -22.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 164 | UMass O/U 20.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 165 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 166 | Spread -24.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 167 | O/U 61.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 168 | O/U 63.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 169 | UMass O/U 23.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 170 | Spread -27.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 171 | O/U 67.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 172 | Spread -28.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 173 | O/U 59.5 | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 174 | O/U 69.5 | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 175 | Spread -31.5 | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 176 | O/U 73.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 177 | O/U 75.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 178 | Spread -30.5 | 1950.0% | $384 | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 179 | O/U 65.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 180 | UMass vs. Toledo | 1150.0% | $16.7K | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 181 | Spread -2.5 | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 182 | Spread -1.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 183 | Spread -4.5 | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 184 | O/U 71.5 | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 185 | Spread -3.5 | 750.0% | $42 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 186 | Spread -6.5 | 600.0% | — | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 187 | Spread -5.5 | 600.0% | — | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 188 | Spread -7.5 | 515.0% | $514 | 515¢ | -415¢ |
| 189 | Spread -10.5 | 260.0% | $1.1K | 260¢ | -160¢ |
| 190 | Spread -13.5 | 195.0% | $15.6K | 195¢ | -95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Toledo, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game.
This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 11, 2026
- 11:48 PMSOsoylentgoy$1.00
Bought 1.408451 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-21.5) at 0.71
- 11:20 PM——$1.13
Sold 2.82 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.4
- 10:50 PMSIsionnach$2.38
Bought 5.804879 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41
- 10:50 PMMUmuhittinov$1.00
Bought 2.439025 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41
- 10:50 PM——$1.16
Bought 2.829269 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41
- 10:50 PMSAsanten$5.00
Bought 12.195122 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41
- 10:50 PMPRprimm$31.33
Bought 78.32 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.4
- 10:39 PMMAMadridTime$15.13
Bought 252.24138 UMass for Spread: UMass (-7.5) at 0.06
- 10:07 PM——$25.30
Bought 46 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-15.5) at 0.55
- 09:49 PMJLjlangan$25.00
Bought 48.076922 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-14.5) at 0.52
- 09:38 PMBUBunter.Hiden$5.00
Bought 29.411765 UMass for UMass vs. Toledo at 0.17
- 09:20 PMNInigiri99$18.62
Bought 38 Over for UMass vs. Toledo: 1H O/U 27.5 at 0.49
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「UMass vs. Toledo」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 8,700% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 35.5(8,650%),以及 Spread -2.5(8,400%)。該市場總成交量已達 $217.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
