Toledo vs. Sacramento State

$710K Vol
2026年11月5日
Active
機率趨勢
Toledo 94.7%
Sacramento State 5.3%

核心摘要

根據「Toledo vs. Sacramento State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Toledo vs. Sacramento State 以壓倒性的 9,790% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -2.5 以 9,160% 位居第二,Spread -5.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $710K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Toledo vs. Sacramento State (9,790%):Toledo vs. Sacramento State 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,790¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $505.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -2.5 (9,160%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -2.5 保持著 9,160% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,160¢。
  • Spread -5.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -5.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -6.5 (7,100%)、Spread -8.5 (6,050%),以及 Toledo 2H O/U 11.5 (5,300%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -4.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Toledo vs. Sacramento State9790.0%$505.6K9790¢-9690¢
2Spread -2.59160.0%$839160¢-9060¢
3Spread -5.57250.0%$1.7K7250¢-7150¢
4Spread -6.57100.0%$11.2K7100¢-7000¢
5Spread -8.56050.0%$106050¢-5950¢
6Toledo 2H O/U 11.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
7Spread -4.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
8Spread -3.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
9Spread -1.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
10Spread -0.55100.0%$1605100¢-5000¢
11Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
12Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
13Pick-Six Scored5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
14Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
16Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
172H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
182H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
192H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
224Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
234Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
244Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
254Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
264Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Toledo 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Toledo 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Sacramento State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Sacramento State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Sacramento State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
802H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Sacramento State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Toledo O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
834Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
842H Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
852H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
862H Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
872H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
882H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
892H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
904Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
914Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
924Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
934Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
944Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
954Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Sacramento State O/U 35.54995.0%—4995¢-4895¢
97Spread -1.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
98Spread -2.54990.0%$834990¢-4890¢
99Spread -4.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
100Spread -5.54990.0%$1.7K4990¢-4890¢
101Spread -6.54990.0%$11.2K4990¢-4890¢
102Spread -7.54990.0%$104990¢-4890¢
103Spread -8.54990.0%$104990¢-4890¢
104Spread -10.54990.0%$104990¢-4890¢
105Spread -13.54990.0%$104990¢-4890¢
106Spread -14.54990.0%$104990¢-4890¢
107Spread -16.54990.0%$104990¢-4890¢
108Spread -17.54990.0%$104990¢-4890¢
109Spread -20.54990.0%$104990¢-4890¢
110O/U 57.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
111O/U 59.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
112O/U 63.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
113O/U 65.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
114O/U 69.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
115O/U 71.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
116O/U 75.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
117Spread -42.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
118Spread -40.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
119Spread -39.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
120Spread -36.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
121Spread -34.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
122Spread -32.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
123Spread -31.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
124Spread -29.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
125Spread -28.54990.0%—4990¢-4890¢
126Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
127Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
128Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
129Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
130Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
131Spread -25.54945.0%$41.8K4945¢-4845¢
132Spread -22.54930.0%$1144930¢-4830¢
133O/U 35.54900.0%$104900¢-4800¢
134O/U 39.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
135O/U 41.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
136O/U 45.54900.0%$1584900¢-4800¢
137O/U 47.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
138Toledo O/U 26.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
139Toledo O/U 29.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
140Toledo O/U 32.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
141Sacramento State O/U 26.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
142Sacramento State O/U 29.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
143Sacramento State O/U 32.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
144Spread -46.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
145Spread -43.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
146Spread -19.54900.0%$1524900¢-4800¢
147Spread -18.54900.0%$1484900¢-4800¢
148Spread -7.54700.0%$104700¢-4600¢
149Spread -0.54700.0%$1604700¢-4600¢
150Spread -9.54600.0%$3.5K4600¢-4500¢
151Toledo O/U 20.52515.0%—2515¢-2415¢
152Toledo O/U 23.51650.0%$761650¢-1550¢
153Spread -12.51250.0%$4651250¢-1150¢
154Sacramento State O/U 23.51110.0%—1110¢-1010¢
155O/U 37.51000.0%$1.4K1000¢-900¢
156Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q31000.0%—1000¢-900¢
157Spread -15.5900.0%$775900¢-800¢
158Spread -10.5850.0%$10850¢-750¢
159Spread -11.5850.0%$8.5K850¢-750¢
160Spread -13.5700.0%$10700¢-600¢
161O/U 43.5600.0%$5.6K600¢-500¢
162Spread -14.5550.0%$10550¢-450¢
163Spread -16.5500.0%$10500¢-400¢
164Spread -3.5245.0%—245¢-145¢
165O/U 51.5210.0%$28.6K210¢-110¢
166O/U 49.5200.0%$8.2K200¢-100¢
167Spread -20.5160.0%$10160¢-60¢
168O/U 53.5160.0%$28.6K160¢-60¢
169O/U 55.5135.0%$5.0K135¢-35¢
170Spread -24.5120.0%$11.2K120¢-20¢
171Spread -23.5115.0%$2.7K115¢-15¢
172Spread -17.5100.0%$10100¢0¢
173O/U 67.595.0%$50095¢5¢
174O/U 73.595.0%$2595¢5¢
175Spread -30.595.0%$96495¢5¢
176Spread -27.595.0%$6.1K95¢5¢
177Spread -33.590.0%$8.7K90¢10¢
178Spread -21.590.0%$5.7K90¢10¢
179Spread -26.585.0%$3.0K85¢15¢
180O/U 61.575.0%$375¢25¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Sacramento State, scheduled for November 4 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 5, 2026

  • 12:56 AM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $115.42

    Bought 199 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-15.5) at 0.58

  • 12:51 AM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $18.46

    Bought 26 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-21.5) at 0.71

  • 12:51 AM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $150.70

    Bought 274 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-15.5) at 0.55

  • 12:51 AM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $15.77

    Bought 19 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-27.5) at 0.83

  • 12:50 AM
    BIbiying88888
    $172.00

    Bought 400 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-12.5) at 0.43

  • 12:45 AM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $12.54

    Bought 19 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-22.5) at 0.66

  • 12:45 AM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $198.32

    Bought 296 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-23.5) at 0.67

  • 12:43 AM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $42.90

    Bought 78 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-19.5) at 0.55

  • 12:32 AM
    TATAIWANNUMBERONE
    $641.94

    Bought 823 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-33.5) at 0.78

  • 12:32 AM
    TATAIWANNUMBERONE
    $649.08

    Bought 832.15 Sacramento State for Spread: Toledo (-33.5) at 0.78

  • 12:31 AM
    BABaguettebiencuite
    $2.70

    Bought 5.294118 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-23.5) at 0.51

  • 12:31 AM
    SAsanten
    $4.95

    Bought 9.528302 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-23.5) at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
-$3,848.15
成交量
$71,992.41
持倉數
ToledoToledoToledo
NI2
nigiri99
事件損益
-$347.05
成交量
$35,410.00
持倉數
ToledoUnderUnder+4
MO3
mooseborzoi
事件損益
+$190.30
成交量
$35,356.00
持倉數
UnderUnderSacramento State+7
MU4
Multicoloured-Serf
事件損益
+$6,075.97
成交量
$26,417.24
持倉數
Sacramento State
385
38791873984189
事件損益
-$2.73
成交量
$20,789.78
持倉數
OverOverToledo+11
HI6
hi774c
事件損益
+$878.74
成交量
$18,782.86
持倉數
Sacramento StateSacramento StateOver
MI7
misterblobby
事件損益
+$83.10
成交量
$16,620.50
持倉數
Sacramento State
OU8
Outsid3rTrading
事件損益
-$16.71
成交量
$16,196.61
持倉數
OverOverToledo

常見問題

目前市場對「Toledo vs. Sacramento State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Toledo vs. Sacramento State 以 9,790% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(9,160%),以及 Spread -5.5(7,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $710K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易