
Purdue vs. Penn State
核心摘要
根據「Purdue vs. Penn State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Penn State O/U 3.5 以壓倒性的 9,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown 以 5,000% 位居第二,Pick-Six Scored 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $258.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Penn State O/U 3.5 (9,000%):Penn State O/U 3.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Pick-Six Scored (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Pick-Six Scored 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 (5,000%)、Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 (5,000%),以及 Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State O/U 3.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Purdue vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Purdue O/U 2.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Penn State O/U 4.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Purdue and Penn State, scheduled for October 31 at 4:15PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Purdue" if Purdue win the game.
This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 31, 2026
- 10:07 PMCMcm2897$214.76
Bought 413 Purdue for Spread: Penn State (-13.5) at 0.52
- 10:07 PMIWiWasEnough$7.96
Bought 15.3 Purdue for Spread: Penn State (-13.5) at 0.52
- 10:07 PMJUjustaluckydude$135.20
Bought 260 Purdue for Spread: Penn State (-13.5) at 0.52
- 10:03 PMOMomrish$4.29
Sold 4.87 Penn State for Purdue vs. Penn State at 0.88
- 09:45 PMANantec$125.00
Bought 250 Purdue for Spread: Penn State (-13.5) at 0.5
- 09:45 PMSASabovi$330.50
Bought 661 Purdue for Spread: Penn State (-13.5) at 0.5
- 09:45 PMDCDCAAA$44.50
Bought 89 Purdue for Spread: Penn State (-13.5) at 0.5
- 09:45 PMGPgpimente407$4.33
Bought 10.309524 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-14.5) at 0.42
- 09:43 PMNANatoAlfista$70.52
Bought 164 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-14.5) at 0.43
- 09:43 PMCMcm2897$422.40
Bought 480 Penn State for Purdue vs. Penn State at 0.88
- 09:42 PMBIBillBenter2026$19.36
Bought 22 Penn State for Purdue vs. Penn State at 0.88
- 09:42 PMBIBillBenter2026$24.92
Bought 28 Penn State for Purdue vs. Penn State at 0.89
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常見問題
目前市場對「Purdue vs. Penn State」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Penn State O/U 3.5 以 9,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown(5,000%),以及 Pick-Six Scored(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $258.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
