New Mexico vs. Nevada

$105.4K Vol
2026年11月7日
Active
機率趨勢
New Mexico 78.5%
Nevada 21.5%

核心摘要

根據「New Mexico vs. Nevada」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,New Mexico vs. Nevada 以壓倒性的 7,850% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -0.5 以 7,800% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 7,650% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $105.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • New Mexico vs. Nevada (7,850%):New Mexico vs. Nevada 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,850¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $45.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -0.5 (7,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -0.5 保持著 7,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,800¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (7,650%):以 7,650% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -2.5 (7,450%)、1H Moneyline (7,450%),以及 1Q Moneyline (6,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -3.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1New Mexico vs. Nevada7850.0%$45.6K7850¢-7750¢
2Spread -0.57800.0%$67800¢-7700¢
3Spread -1.57650.0%$107650¢-7550¢
4Spread -2.57450.0%$2067450¢-7350¢
51H Moneyline7450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
61Q Moneyline6950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
7Spread -3.56850.0%$4756850¢-6750¢
8Spread -4.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
91H Spread -2.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
10New Mexico O/U 20.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
11Spread -5.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
12Spread -6.56200.0%$7086200¢-6100¢
13O/U 35.56100.0%$1.1K6100¢-6000¢
14Spread -7.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
15O/U 37.55450.0%$16.6K5450¢-5350¢
16New Mexico O/U 23.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
17Spread -8.55350.0%$55350¢-5250¢
181H Spread -4.55350.0%$715350¢-5250¢
19Spread -9.55250.0%$6.0K5250¢-5150¢
204Q Spread -2.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
211H Spread -5.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
221H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
231H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
24New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
25New Mexico 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
26New Mexico 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
27Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
28Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
29New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
30New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
31New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
32Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
33Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
34Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
35New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
37New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
40Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
421Q Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
431Q Spread -1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44New Mexico O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Nevada O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
462H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
552Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
573Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
583Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
593Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
603Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
624Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
634Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
644Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
654Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66New Mexico 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67New Mexico 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68New Mexico 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Nevada 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Nevada 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Nevada 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72New Mexico 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73New Mexico 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74New Mexico 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Nevada 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Nevada 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Nevada 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1272H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1282H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302H Spread -0.55000.0%$35000¢-4900¢
1311Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1321Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1331Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1341Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1352Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1403Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1413Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1444Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1454Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1464Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1492H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1502Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1513Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1524Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
153Spread -16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
154Spread -17.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
155Spread -20.54950.0%$2.8K4950¢-4850¢
1561Q O/U 13.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1571H Spread -6.54950.0%$2824950¢-4850¢
1581Q O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1591Q O/U 16.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1601Q O/U 19.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1613Q Spread -0.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
162Spread -10.54750.0%$28.1K4750¢-4650¢
163O/U 39.54750.0%$2.6K4750¢-4650¢
1642Q Spread -3.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
165Spread -13.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
166O/U 41.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
167Nevada O/U 35.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
1681Q O/U 7.54000.0%$64000¢-3900¢
1691H Spread -7.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
170Spread -14.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
1711H Spread -9.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
172O/U 43.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
173Spread -16.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
1741H O/U 33.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
175Spread -17.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
176New Mexico O/U 26.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
177New Mexico O/U 29.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
178New Mexico O/U 32.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
179O/U 45.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1802H Spread -5.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
181O/U 47.52650.0%$5132650¢-2550¢
182O/U 71.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
183O/U 73.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
1843Q Spread -1.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
185Spread -20.52550.0%$2.8K2550¢-2450¢
186O/U 75.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
187Spread -14.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
1881H O/U 27.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
189Spread -0.52150.0%$62150¢-2050¢
190Spread -1.52050.0%$102050¢-1950¢
191O/U 51.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
192Spread -2.51850.0%$2061850¢-1750¢
193O/U 49.51850.0%$621850¢-1750¢
194Nevada O/U 23.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
195Spread -3.51550.0%$4751550¢-1450¢
196O/U 53.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
1971H O/U 30.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
198Spread -4.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
199O/U 55.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
200O/U 57.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
201Spread -5.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
202Nevada O/U 29.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
203Spread -6.51150.0%$7081150¢-1050¢
204Nevada O/U 26.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
205Nevada O/U 32.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
206O/U 67.51065.0%—1065¢-965¢
207O/U 69.51065.0%—1065¢-965¢
208Spread -8.5950.0%$5950¢-850¢
209Spread -7.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
210O/U 61.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
211O/U 63.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
212O/U 59.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
213Spread -10.5590.0%$28.1K590¢-490¢
214Spread -13.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
215O/U 65.5400.0%—400¢-300¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Nevada, scheduled for November 6 at 9:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game.

This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 6, 2026

  • 10:56 PM
    KAkanardmd
    $39.75

    Bought 75 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:52 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $47.70

    Bought 90 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:48 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.31

    Bought 27 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:41 PM
    0X0x9674de4A6Cf9988c629CafaC79C6803984E11302-1764965311959
    $580.79

    Bought 1095.836982 Under for New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 39.5 at 0.53

  • 10:39 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.12

    Bought 4 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:37 PM
    MAMalosi
    $4.90

    Bought 5 New Mexico for Spread: Nevada (-8.5) at 0.98

  • 10:36 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $311.11

    Bought 587 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:31 PM
    A5a5us80t
    $65.08

    Bought 122.8 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:31 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.38

    Bought 46 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:28 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $30.21

    Bought 57 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:27 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $210.41

    Bought 397 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:26 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.54

    Bought 18 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
nigiri99
事件損益
-$84.21
成交量
$24,383.00
持倉數
New MexicoUnderOver
SI2
sinasinner
事件損益
+$81.26
成交量
$16,225.10
持倉數
Over
FO3
Forecastication2
事件損益
-$96.50
成交量
$16,185.99
持倉數
New MexicoNew Mexico
PR4
primm
事件損益
+$71.37
成交量
$13,875.39
持倉數
NevadaOver
LI5
lightotunnel35
事件損益
-$60.85
成交量
$12,171.61
持倉數
Nevada
JU6
justwins
事件損益
+$51.84
成交量
$11,420.87
持倉數
New Mexico
HO7
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$34.54
成交量
$10,820.08
持倉數
UnderNew MexicoOver+2
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$51.41
成交量
$10,726.97
持倉數
NevadaNew MexicoUnder+2

常見問題

目前市場對「New Mexico vs. Nevada」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,New Mexico vs. Nevada 以 7,850% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -0.5(7,800%),以及 Spread -1.5(7,650%)。該市場總成交量已達 $105.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易