
Notre Dame vs. Navy
核心摘要
根據「Notre Dame vs. Navy」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Navy 以壓倒性的 7,505% 獲勝機率主導市場;Notre Dame 以 2,495% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $1.2M,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Navy (7,505%):Navy 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,505¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Notre Dame (2,495%):作為最可行的替代選項,Notre Dame 保持著 2,495% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 2,495¢。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navy | 7505.0% | — | 7505¢ | -7405¢ |
| 2 | Notre Dame | 2495.0% | — | 2495¢ | -2395¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and Navy, scheduled for October 31 at 12:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game.
This market will resolve to "Navy" if Navy win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 31, 2026
- 12:09 PMCECeujwk$100.00
Bought 204.081633 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
- 12:09 PMHOHoechst$3.16
Bought 6.44 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
- 12:09 PMTRTrufa-Negra$1.00
Bought 2.040817 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
- 12:09 PMXJxJared$24.00
Bought 48.979592 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
- 12:09 PM——$7.64
Bought 15.591837 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
- 12:09 PMNOnoosh3$57.60
Bought 117.551021 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
- 12:09 PMPTptf-taiwan$288.00
Bought 587.755103 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
- 12:09 PMLOLoneForestWolf$19.72
Bought 40.244898 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
- 12:09 PM_T_test_i075_CAND_11b7$8.42
Bought 17.183674 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
- 09:37 AM3838791873984189$17.50
Bought 50 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-35.5) at 0.35
- 09:34 AM——$2.01
Bought 2.047043 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. Navy at 0.98
- 09:11 AMMRmrkns$10.00
Bought 20.408164 Navy for Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) at 0.49
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Notre Dame vs. Navy」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Navy 以 7,505% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Notre Dame(2,495%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.2M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
