Michigan vs. Oregon

$521.1K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Oregon 87.5%
Michigan 5.5%

核心摘要

根據「Michigan vs. Oregon」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 35.5 以壓倒性的 8,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -1.5 以 8,900% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 8,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $521.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (8,950%):O/U 35.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $44 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -1.5 (8,900%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -1.5 保持著 8,900% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,900¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (8,750%):以 8,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 37.5 (8,400%)、Spread -3.5 (8,300%),以及 Spread -4.5 (8,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 2Q O/U 7.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.58950.0%$448950¢-8850¢
2Spread -1.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
3Spread -2.58750.0%$7688750¢-8650¢
4O/U 37.58400.0%$3.6K8400¢-8300¢
5Spread -3.58300.0%$1218300¢-8200¢
6Spread -4.58000.0%$6798000¢-7900¢
72Q O/U 7.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
8Spread -5.57900.0%$107900¢-7800¢
9O/U 39.57900.0%$24.7K7900¢-7800¢
10Oregon O/U 23.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
11Spread -6.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
12O/U 41.57250.0%$3.6K7250¢-7150¢
13Spread -7.56900.0%$2.6K6900¢-6800¢
144Q O/U 7.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
15O/U 43.56650.0%$16.7K6650¢-6550¢
16Spread -8.56150.0%$2706150¢-6050¢
17Spread -10.56100.0%$13.5K6100¢-6000¢
18O/U 47.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
191H O/U 27.55800.0%$6165800¢-5700¢
20O/U 45.55750.0%$4.9K5750¢-5650¢
21Spread -11.55750.0%$8.8K5750¢-5650¢
222Q O/U 13.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
23Spread -13.55450.0%$2375450¢-5350¢
242Q O/U 16.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
252H O/U 27.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
264Q O/U 16.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
27Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
28Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
29Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
311H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
321H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
331H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
352H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
362H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
373Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Michigan O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Michigan O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Oregon O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Oregon O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Oregon O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Oregon O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Michigan 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Michigan 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Oregon 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Oregon 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Michigan 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Michigan 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Michigan 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Oregon 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Oregon 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Oregon 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Michigan vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Michigan vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Michigan vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Michigan vs. Oregon: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Michigan vs. Oregon: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1132H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1141H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1163Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1174Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Michigan O/U 32.54995.0%$94995¢-4895¢
119O/U 71.54955.0%—4955¢-4855¢
120O/U 73.54955.0%—4955¢-4855¢
121O/U 75.54955.0%—4955¢-4855¢
122Spread -20.54950.0%$4.3K4950¢-4850¢
123Spread -17.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
124Spread -16.54950.0%$1604950¢-4850¢
125Spread -8.54950.0%$2704950¢-4850¢
126Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
127Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
128Michigan vs. Oregon: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
129Spread -14.54750.0%$4734750¢-4650¢
130O/U 49.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
131Spread -16.54550.0%$1604550¢-4450¢
1322Q O/U 10.54200.0%$3924200¢-4100¢
1334Q O/U 10.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
134O/U 53.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
135Spread -17.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
136O/U 51.53750.0%$1.6K3750¢-3650¢
1374Q O/U 13.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
138Michigan O/U 20.53350.0%$10003350¢-3250¢
139O/U 55.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
1402H O/U 30.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
141Spread -20.53150.0%$4.3K3150¢-3050¢
142O/U 59.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
1431H O/U 30.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
144O/U 61.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
145Michigan O/U 23.52850.0%$562850¢-2750¢
146O/U 65.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
147O/U 67.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
148O/U 69.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
1492Q O/U 19.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
1503Q O/U 13.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
151O/U 57.52150.0%$3082150¢-2050¢
1523Q O/U 10.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
1533Q O/U 16.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
1544Q O/U 19.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
155Michigan 1H O/U 15.51655.0%—1655¢-1555¢
1563Q O/U 19.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
157O/U 63.5980.0%—980¢-880¢
158Spread -1.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
159Michigan vs. Oregon850.0%$431.8K850¢-750¢
160Spread -2.5850.0%$768850¢-750¢
161Spread -3.5540.0%$121540¢-440¢
162Spread -5.5395.0%$10395¢-295¢
163Spread -4.5390.0%$679390¢-290¢
164Spread -6.5290.0%—290¢-190¢
165Spread -7.5280.0%$2.6K280¢-180¢
166Spread -10.5150.0%$13.5K150¢-50¢
167Spread -13.580.0%$23780¢20¢
168Spread -14.550.0%$47350¢50¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Oregon, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.

This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 08:52 AM
    SASanago
    $5.00

    Bought 6.329114 Oregon for Michigan vs. Oregon at 0.79

  • 06:17 AM
    FRfrenchflair14
    $6.72

    Bought 14.297873 Oregon for Spread: Oregon (-11.5) at 0.47

  • 06:17 AM
    ——
    $1.02

    Bought 1.888889 Michigan for Spread: Oregon (-11.5) at 0.54

  • 06:09 AM
    YOyoooogo
    $24.84

    Bought 46 Michigan for Spread: Oregon (-11.5) at 0.54

  • 06:09 AM
    SWSwiftcvb
    $26.32

    Bought 56 Oregon for Spread: Oregon (-11.5) at 0.47

  • 06:09 AM
    ALAliced-354
    $18.90

    Bought 35 Michigan for Spread: Oregon (-11.5) at 0.54

  • 06:09 AM
    ARArmstrongbvn
    $11.88

    Bought 22 Michigan for Spread: Oregon (-11.5) at 0.54

  • 02:00 AM
    DIdiscoverilla
    $4.91

    Bought 6.22 Oregon for Michigan vs. Oregon at 0.79

  • 01:59 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.265823 Oregon for Michigan vs. Oregon at 0.79

  • 12:53 AM
    GOGolftango
    $100.00

    Bought 196.078432 Michigan for Spread: Oregon (-10.5) at 0.51

Nov 13, 2026

  • 09:28 PM
    SMsmallniprick
    $6.57

    Bought 12.64 Under for Michigan vs. Oregon: O/U 39.5 at 0.52

  • 08:23 PM
    SMsmallniprick
    $1,449.63

    Sold 3151.37 Oregon for Spread: Oregon (-11.5) at 0.46

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

991
999585
事件損益
-$5,777.60
成交量
$404,289.11
持倉數
Oregon
2C2
0x2c33…5465
事件損益
+$4,500.00
成交量
$300,000.00
持倉數
Michigan
CU3
CUTJALENHURTS
事件損益
+$992.87
成交量
$66,191.08
持倉數
Michigan
PR4
primm
事件損益
+$2,221.88
成交量
$26,288.98
持倉數
OverMichiganOver+2
KE5
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件損益
-$2,741.93
成交量
$21,047.17
持倉數
UnderUnderMichigan+2
CM6
cm2897
事件損益
+$169.83
成交量
$11,055.00
持倉數
MichiganMichigan
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$97.50
成交量
$11,025.00
持倉數
OverOverOregon+2
FL8
Flipadelphia
事件損益
-$1,466.17
成交量
$10,260.35
持倉數
MichiganMichigan

常見問題

目前市場對「Michigan vs. Oregon」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 8,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(8,900%),以及 Spread -2.5(8,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $521.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易