
Louisville vs. North Carolina
核心摘要
根據「Louisville vs. North Carolina」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以壓倒性的 9,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,900% 位居第二,Louisville O/U 20.5 以 8,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $124K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,000%):Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,900%):作為最可行的替代選項,2Q O/U 7.5 保持著 8,900% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,900¢。
- Louisville O/U 20.5 (8,450%):以 8,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Louisville O/U 20.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 35.5 (8,350%)、2Q O/U 10.5 (8,300%),以及 O/U 37.5 (8,150%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 3 | Louisville O/U 20.5 | 8450.0% | — | 8450¢ | -8350¢ |
| 4 | O/U 35.5 | 8350.0% | — | 8350¢ | -8250¢ |
| 5 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 8300.0% | — | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 6 | O/U 37.5 | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 7 | O/U 39.5 | 8050.0% | — | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 8 | O/U 43.5 | 7950.0% | — | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 9 | O/U 41.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 10 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 11 | O/U 49.5 | 7550.0% | — | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 12 | North Carolina O/U 23.5 | 7550.0% | — | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 13 | O/U 45.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 14 | O/U 47.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 15 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 16 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 17 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 18 | Louisville vs. North Carolina | 6150.0% | $37.4K | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 19 | O/U 51.5 | 6000.0% | — | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 20 | Spread -1.5 | 5800.0% | $10 | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 21 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 5800.0% | — | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 22 | O/U 53.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 23 | Spread -2.5 | 5550.0% | $316 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 24 | O/U 55.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 25 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 26 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 27 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Louisville O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Louisville O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Louisville O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Louisville O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | North Carolina O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | North Carolina O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | North Carolina O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | North Carolina O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Louisville 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Louisville 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Louisville 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | North Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | North Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | North Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Louisville 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Louisville 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Louisville 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | North Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | North Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | North Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 126 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 127 | Spread -3.5 | 4850.0% | $31.1K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 128 | O/U 57.5 | 4800.0% | $43.6K | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 129 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 130 | Spread -4.5 | 4700.0% | $4.6K | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 131 | O/U 61.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 132 | O/U 59.5 | 4500.0% | $4.2K | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 133 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 134 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 135 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 136 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 137 | O/U 63.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 138 | Spread -4.5 | 3900.0% | $4.6K | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 139 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 140 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 141 | Spread -6.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 142 | Spread -5.5 | 3750.0% | $89 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 143 | Spread -1.5 | 3550.0% | $10 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 144 | Spread -7.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 145 | O/U 65.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 146 | Spread -2.5 | 3050.0% | $316 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 147 | Spread -3.5 | 3050.0% | $31.1K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 148 | Spread -8.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 149 | Spread -8.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 150 | O/U 69.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 151 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 152 | O/U 71.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 153 | Spread -5.5 | 2650.0% | $89 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 154 | O/U 75.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 155 | Spread -10.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 156 | Spread -6.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 157 | Spread -10.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 158 | O/U 67.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 159 | Spread -16.5 | 2300.0% | $1.4K | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 160 | Spread -13.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 161 | Spread -13.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 162 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 163 | O/U 73.5 | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 164 | Spread -14.5 | 1800.0% | $636 | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 165 | Spread -7.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 166 | Spread -17.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 167 | Spread -20.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 168 | Spread -17.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 169 | Spread -14.5 | 800.0% | $636 | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 170 | Spread -16.5 | 750.0% | $1.4K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 171 | 1Q Moneyline | 50.0% | $161 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 172 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 5.0% | $462 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 173 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 174 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 175 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and North Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.
This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 14, 2026
- 10:21 PMWAWASDqe$2.00
Bought 3.921569 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PMBBbb238957$6.15
Bought 12.06 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PMSUsuperaiapi$1.09
Bought 2.137255 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PMLIlightotunnel35$784.21
Bought 1537.67 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PM——$2.48
Bought 4.862746 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:08 PMLILimousin$1.29
Bought 6.142858 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21
- 10:02 PM——$9.84
Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63
- 10:02 PM——$9.80
Bought 19.6 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5
- 09:55 PM——$2.94
Bought 5.88 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5
- 09:54 PM——$2.95
Bought 4.68254 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63
- 09:51 PMLILimousin$10.60
Bought 50.476191 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21
- 09:51 PM——$9.84
Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Louisville vs. North Carolina」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以 9,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 2Q O/U 7.5(8,900%),以及 Louisville O/U 20.5(8,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $124K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
