Louisville vs. North Carolina

$124K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Louisville 62.5%
North Carolina 37.5%

核心摘要

根據「Louisville vs. North Carolina」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以壓倒性的 9,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,900% 位居第二,Louisville O/U 20.5 以 8,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $124K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,000%):Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,900%):作為最可行的替代選項,2Q O/U 7.5 保持著 8,900% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,900¢。
  • Louisville O/U 20.5 (8,450%):以 8,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Louisville O/U 20.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 35.5 (8,350%)、2Q O/U 10.5 (8,300%),以及 O/U 37.5 (8,150%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Both Teams to Score Points - Q19000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
22Q O/U 7.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
3Louisville O/U 20.58450.0%—8450¢-8350¢
4O/U 35.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
52Q O/U 10.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
6O/U 37.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
7O/U 39.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
8O/U 43.57950.0%—7950¢-7850¢
9O/U 41.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
104Q O/U 7.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
11O/U 49.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
12North Carolina O/U 23.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
13O/U 45.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
14O/U 47.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
153Q O/U 7.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
164Q O/U 10.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
172Q O/U 16.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
18Louisville vs. North Carolina6150.0%$37.4K6150¢-6050¢
19O/U 51.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
20Spread -1.55800.0%$105800¢-5700¢
211H O/U 27.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
22O/U 53.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
23Spread -2.55550.0%$3165550¢-5450¢
24O/U 55.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
253Q O/U 10.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
263Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
27Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
291H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
301H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
311H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Louisville O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Louisville O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Louisville O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Louisville O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39North Carolina O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40North Carolina O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41North Carolina O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42North Carolina O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Louisville 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Louisville 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Louisville 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46North Carolina 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47North Carolina 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48North Carolina 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Louisville 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Louisville 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Louisville 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52North Carolina 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53North Carolina 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54North Carolina 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1202H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1211H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1233Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1244Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1262H O/U 27.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
127Spread -3.54850.0%$31.1K4850¢-4750¢
128O/U 57.54800.0%$43.6K4800¢-4700¢
1292Q O/U 13.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
130Spread -4.54700.0%$4.6K4700¢-4600¢
131O/U 61.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
132O/U 59.54500.0%$4.2K4500¢-4400¢
1332Q O/U 19.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1341H O/U 30.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1352H O/U 30.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1364Q O/U 19.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
137O/U 63.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
138Spread -4.53900.0%$4.6K3900¢-3800¢
1394Q O/U 13.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1404Q O/U 16.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
141Spread -6.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
142Spread -5.53750.0%$893750¢-3650¢
143Spread -1.53550.0%$103550¢-3450¢
144Spread -7.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
145O/U 65.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
146Spread -2.53050.0%$3163050¢-2950¢
147Spread -3.53050.0%$31.1K3050¢-2950¢
148Spread -8.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
149Spread -8.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
150O/U 69.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
1513Q O/U 16.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
152O/U 71.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
153Spread -5.52650.0%$892650¢-2550¢
154O/U 75.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
155Spread -10.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
156Spread -6.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
157Spread -10.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
158O/U 67.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
159Spread -16.52300.0%$1.4K2300¢-2200¢
160Spread -13.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
161Spread -13.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
1623Q O/U 19.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
163O/U 73.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
164Spread -14.51800.0%$6361800¢-1700¢
165Spread -7.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
166Spread -17.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
167Spread -20.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
168Spread -17.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
169Spread -14.5800.0%$636800¢-700¢
170Spread -16.5750.0%$1.4K750¢-650¢
1711Q Moneyline50.0%$16150¢50¢
1721Q O/U 10.55.0%$4625¢95¢
1731Q O/U 13.55.0%—5¢95¢
1741Q O/U 16.55.0%—5¢95¢
1751Q O/U 19.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and North Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:21 PM
    WAWASDqe
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921569 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    BBbb238957
    $6.15

    Bought 12.06 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    SUsuperaiapi
    $1.09

    Bought 2.137255 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    LIlightotunnel35
    $784.21

    Bought 1537.67 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    ——
    $2.48

    Bought 4.862746 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:08 PM
    LILimousin
    $1.29

    Bought 6.142858 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $9.84

    Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $9.80

    Bought 19.6 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5

  • 09:55 PM
    ——
    $2.94

    Bought 5.88 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5

  • 09:54 PM
    ——
    $2.95

    Bought 4.68254 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63

  • 09:51 PM
    LILimousin
    $10.60

    Bought 50.476191 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21

  • 09:51 PM
    ——
    $9.84

    Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

KE1
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件損益
-$416.08
成交量
$41,938.20
持倉數
OverLouisville
MU2
Multicoloured-Serf
事件損益
+$197.86
成交量
$39,572.47
持倉數
Under
NI3
nigiri99
事件損益
+$185.64
成交量
$19,318.00
持倉數
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina
JU4
justwins
事件損益
+$85.16
成交量
$17,104.31
持倉數
Louisville
KC5
Kch-Temp
事件損益
+$79.96
成交量
$15,989.17
持倉數
Louisville
IM6
imjustkenisghey
事件損益
-$51.69
成交量
$10,337.00
持倉數
North Carolina
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$76.89
成交量
$9,536.82
持倉數
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina
FL8
Flipadelphia
事件損益
-$855.47
成交量
$7,777.00
持倉數
Louisville

常見問題

目前市場對「Louisville vs. North Carolina」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以 9,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 2Q O/U 7.5(8,900%),以及 Louisville O/U 20.5(8,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $124K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易