Liberty vs. New Mexico State

$127K Vol
2026年11月8日
Active
機率趨勢
Liberty 85.5%
New Mexico State 14.5%

核心摘要

根據「Liberty vs. New Mexico State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Liberty vs. New Mexico State 以壓倒性的 8,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -0.5 以 8,550% 位居第二,O/U 35.5 以 8,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $127K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Liberty vs. New Mexico State (8,550%):Liberty vs. New Mexico State 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $3.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -0.5 (8,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -0.5 保持著 8,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,550¢。
  • O/U 35.5 (8,550%):以 8,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 35.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -1.5 (8,350%)、O/U 37.5 (8,350%),以及 Spread -2.5 (8,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Liberty O/U 20.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Liberty vs. New Mexico State8550.0%$3.6K8550¢-8450¢
2Spread -0.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
3O/U 35.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
4Spread -1.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
5O/U 37.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
6Spread -2.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7Liberty O/U 20.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
8Spread -8.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
91H Moneyline7950.0%—7950¢-7850¢
10Spread -3.57800.0%$8707800¢-7700¢
11Spread -4.57550.0%$87550¢-7450¢
12Liberty O/U 23.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
13Spread -5.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
141Q Moneyline7450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
15Spread -6.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
16O/U 39.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
17Spread -7.56750.0%$56750¢-6650¢
18Liberty O/U 26.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
19Spread -9.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
20O/U 41.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
211H Spread -6.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
22Spread -10.55900.0%$185900¢-5800¢
23O/U 43.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
24Spread -12.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
25Spread -11.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
26O/U 45.55550.0%$4825550¢-5450¢
27Liberty O/U 29.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
28Spread -13.55350.0%$42.7K5350¢-5250¢
294Q Spread -2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
301H O/U 24.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
311H O/U 21.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
32Spread -14.55050.0%$13.9K5050¢-4950¢
332H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
34Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
35Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
37Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
40New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
42New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
46Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
47Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
48New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
49New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
50New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
51Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
52Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
53Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
54New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
55New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
56New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
57Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
581H Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
592H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
622H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
631Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
641Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
651Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
661Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
671Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
682Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
692Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
702Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
722Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
733Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
743Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
753Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
763Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
773Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
784Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
794Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
804Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
814Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
824Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Liberty 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Liberty 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Liberty 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86New Mexico State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87New Mexico State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88New Mexico State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Liberty 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Liberty 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Liberty 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92New Mexico State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93New Mexico State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94New Mexico State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1422H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1431Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1441Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1451Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1461Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1471Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1482Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1492Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1502Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1512Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1522Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1533Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1543Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1553Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1563Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1573Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1583Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1594Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1604Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1614Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1624Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1634Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1642H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
165New Mexico State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
166Liberty O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1672Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1683Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1694Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
170Spread -14.54950.0%$13.9K4950¢-4850¢
171Spread -16.54950.0%$56.3K4950¢-4850¢
172Spread -17.54950.0%$7504950¢-4850¢
173Spread -20.54950.0%$1794950¢-4850¢
1741H O/U 33.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
175Spread -36.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1761H Spread -9.54950.0%$5664950¢-4850¢
1772Q Spread -4.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
178O/U 47.54850.0%$2.1K4850¢-4750¢
179Spread -15.54750.0%$5.0K4750¢-4650¢
180Spread -16.54550.0%$56.3K4550¢-4450¢
1811Q Spread -4.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
182O/U 49.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
183Liberty O/U 32.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
184Spread -17.54200.0%$7504200¢-4100¢
1851H Spread -10.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
186Spread -18.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
187Spread -19.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1881H Spread -11.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
189O/U 51.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
190Spread -20.53650.0%$1793650¢-3550¢
1911H O/U 27.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1921H Spread -13.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
193O/U 53.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
194Spread -21.53250.0%$1963250¢-3150¢
195Spread -22.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
196Spread -23.53000.0%$493000¢-2900¢
1971H O/U 30.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
198O/U 55.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
199Spread -24.52600.0%$2362600¢-2500¢
200O/U 57.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
201Spread -26.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
202New Mexico State O/U 23.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
203O/U 59.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
204New Mexico State O/U 35.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
205O/U 61.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
206Spread -29.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
207New Mexico State O/U 26.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
208Spread -30.51600.0%$181600¢-1500¢
209Spread -0.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
210Spread -1.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
211Spread -2.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
212O/U 63.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
213Spread -32.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
214New Mexico State O/U 29.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
215New Mexico State O/U 32.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
216Spread -3.51050.0%$8701050¢-950¢
217Spread -33.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
218Spread -4.5950.0%$8950¢-850¢
219O/U 65.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
220Spread -5.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
221Spread -6.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
222Spread -8.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
223O/U 67.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
224O/U 69.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
225O/U 75.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
226Spread -7.5560.0%$5560¢-460¢
227O/U 71.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
228O/U 73.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
229Spread -10.5415.0%$18415¢-315¢
230Spread -13.5345.0%$42.7K345¢-245¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Liberty and New Mexico State, scheduled for November 7 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game.

This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 7, 2026

  • 11:45 PM
    KIKissscb
    $300.00

    Bought 566.037736 New Mexico State for 1H Spread: Liberty (-9.5) at 0.53

  • 10:52 PM
    HUhunt111
    $7.00

    Bought 14 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.5

  • 10:51 PM
    HAHaagiSports
    $18.36

    Bought 36 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $4.77

    Bought 9.352942 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    ——
    $28.38

    Bought 55.647059 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    ——
    $1.35

    Bought 2.647059 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    FLFlipso007
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.5

  • 10:51 PM
    JUjustwins
    $4,658.22

    Bought 9506.57 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.49

  • 10:46 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.50

    Bought 10 New Mexico State for Liberty vs. New Mexico State at 0.15

  • 10:34 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.25

    Bought 15 New Mexico State for Liberty vs. New Mexico State at 0.15

  • 10:22 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Under for Liberty vs. New Mexico State: O/U 47.5 at 0.53

  • 10:17 PM
    JCjcasino
    $150.00

    Bought 306.12 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FE1
FeedTheBigBird
事件損益
-$59.04
成交量
$48,362.79
持倉數
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
MO2
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$324.18
成交量
$37,559.00
持倉數
New Mexico StateNew Mexico StateNew Mexico State+3
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$52.30
成交量
$22,458.27
持倉數
LibertyNew Mexico StateLiberty+3
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
事件損益
+$149.84
成交量
$20,996.75
持倉數
LibertyLiberty
HI5
hi774c
事件損益
+$55.23
成交量
$15,212.70
持倉數
LibertyLibertyLiberty
JU6
justwins
事件損益
+$56.89
成交量
$11,369.22
持倉數
Liberty
BA7
Bagwell306
事件損益
+$99.99
成交量
$9,999.00
持倉數
LibertyLiberty
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$16.84
成交量
$9,623.84
持倉數
LibertyUnderNew Mexico State+2

常見問題

目前市場對「Liberty vs. New Mexico State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Liberty vs. New Mexico State 以 8,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -0.5(8,550%),以及 O/U 35.5(8,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $127K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易