Kansas State vs. TCU

$103.4K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
TCU 81.5%
Kansas State 18.5%

核心摘要

根據「Kansas State vs. TCU」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Spread -1.5 以壓倒性的 9,800% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -2.5 以 9,550% 位居第二,Spread -3.5 以 9,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $103.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,800%):Spread -1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,800¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $442 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -2.5 (9,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -2.5 保持著 9,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,550¢。
  • Spread -3.5 (9,550%):以 9,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -5.5 (9,500%)、Spread -6.5 (9,400%),以及 Spread -4.5 (9,300%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -7.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Spread -1.59800.0%$4429800¢-9700¢
2Spread -2.59550.0%—9550¢-9450¢
3Spread -3.59550.0%—9550¢-9450¢
4Spread -5.59500.0%—9500¢-9400¢
5Spread -6.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
6Spread -4.59300.0%—9300¢-9200¢
7Spread -7.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
8Spread -10.58400.0%$6.3K8400¢-8300¢
9Spread -13.58150.0%$41.9K8150¢-8050¢
10TCU O/U 23.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
11Spread -14.57400.0%$30.5K7400¢-7300¢
12Spread -16.57100.0%$2517100¢-7000¢
13Spread -8.57050.0%$3.6K7050¢-6950¢
143Q O/U 7.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
15Spread -12.56750.0%$8666750¢-6650¢
164Q O/U 13.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
17Spread -17.56400.0%$3476400¢-6300¢
183Q O/U 13.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
19Spread -20.55300.0%$1.7K5300¢-5200¢
20TCU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
21Spread -20.55000.0%$1.7K5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -17.55000.0%$3475000¢-4900¢
23Spread -16.55000.0%$2515000¢-4900¢
24Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 57.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
26O/U 59.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27O/U 63.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 65.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 69.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30O/U 71.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Kansas State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Kansas State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Kansas State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38TCU O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39TCU O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40TCU O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41TCU O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Kansas State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Kansas State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Kansas State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45TCU 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46TCU 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47TCU 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64TCU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65TCU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66TCU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69TCU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71TCU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75TCU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76TCU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77TCU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81TCU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82TCU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85TCU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86TCU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90TCU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91TCU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92TCU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96TCU Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97TCU Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100TCU Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101TCU Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102TCU Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Kansas State vs. TCU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1064Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
108TCU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
109TCU Total Receptions: O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
110Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
111Spread -8.54900.0%$3.6K4900¢-4800¢
112Spread -0.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1133Q O/U 10.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1144Q O/U 10.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
115O/U 35.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
116O/U 75.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1172H O/U 27.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1184Q O/U 7.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
119Spread -3.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
120O/U 37.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
1213Q O/U 16.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
122O/U 39.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
1234Q O/U 16.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
124O/U 41.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
125O/U 53.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1264Q O/U 19.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
127O/U 51.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
128Kansas State O/U 23.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
1292H O/U 30.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
130O/U 43.51550.0%$561550¢-1450¢
1312H Moneyline1250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
1323Q O/U 19.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
133O/U 45.5950.0%$874950¢-850¢
134Kansas State O/U 20.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1353Q Moneyline850.0%—850¢-750¢
136O/U 47.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
137O/U 49.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
138O/U 55.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
139Spread -2.5370.0%—370¢-270¢
140Spread -7.5300.0%—300¢-200¢
141Spread -4.5300.0%—300¢-200¢
142Spread -1.5300.0%$442300¢-200¢
143Spread -6.5265.0%—265¢-165¢
144Kansas State vs. TCU250.0%$16.4K250¢-150¢
145Spread -13.5250.0%$41.9K250¢-150¢
146O/U 61.5245.0%—245¢-145¢
147Spread -14.5205.0%$30.5K205¢-105¢
148O/U 67.5165.0%—165¢-65¢
149Spread -10.5160.0%$6.3K160¢-60¢
150Spread -5.5145.0%—145¢-45¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Kansas State and TCU, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Kansas State" if Kansas State win the game.

This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:29 AM
    TRTR0GL0DIT
    $37.24

    Bought 45.414633 TCU for Kansas State vs. TCU at 0.82

  • 10:27 AM
    VEVenusian
    $6.48

    Bought 15.069768 TCU for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.43

  • 07:59 AM
    TETennysonfgb
    $22.00

    Bought 50 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-10.5) at 0.44

  • 07:59 AM
    DADanfgt
    $13.11

    Bought 23 TCU for Spread: TCU (-10.5) at 0.57

  • 07:59 AM
    RIRichardfgb
    $15.39

    Bought 27 TCU for Spread: TCU (-10.5) at 0.57

  • 04:32 AM
    GAGarmonbozia
    $3.78

    Bought 9 TCU for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.42

  • 04:32 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $7.14

    Bought 17 TCU for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.42

  • 12:47 AM
    GOGolftango
    $100.51

    Bought 193.282116 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-13.5) at 0.52

  • 12:22 AM
    7777ebitda77
    $1.95

    Bought 3.305085 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.59

  • 12:21 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $575.75

    Bought 1010.08 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.57

  • 12:21 AM
    ——
    $4.52

    Bought 7.793104 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.58

Nov 13, 2026

  • 11:56 PM
    VEVenusian
    $45.72

    Bought 147.483871 TCU for Spread: TCU (-20.5) at 0.31

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PU1
purplegatto
事件損益
+$97.68
成交量
$11,981.00
持倉數
TCUTCU
CI2
cigarettes
事件損益
-$39.47
成交量
$10,500.00
持倉數
TCU
HE3
0xheavy888
事件損益
-$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
Kansas State
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
事件損益
+$31.67
成交量
$6,334.00
持倉數
Kansas State
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件損益
+$364.41
成交量
$6,227.00
持倉數
TCUKansas State
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$66.18
成交量
$5,026.06
持倉數
Kansas StateKansas StateKansas State+1
FL7
Flipadelphia
事件損益
-$75.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持倉數
Kansas State
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$179.13
成交量
$3,842.08
持倉數
Kansas StateKansas StateUnder

常見問題

目前市場對「Kansas State vs. TCU」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 9,800% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(9,550%),以及 Spread -3.5(9,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $103.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易