
James Madison vs. UConn
核心摘要
根據「James Madison vs. UConn」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 以壓倒性的 9,200% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 39.5 以 9,150% 位居第二,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $132.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 (9,200%):Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,200¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 39.5 (9,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 39.5 保持著 9,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,150¢。
- Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,000%):以 9,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 35.5 (8,700%)、O/U 37.5 (8,250%),以及 O/U 45.5 (8,150%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 41.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 9200.0% | — | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 2 | O/U 39.5 | 9150.0% | $5 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 4 | O/U 35.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 5 | O/U 37.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 6 | O/U 45.5 | 8150.0% | $1 | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 7 | O/U 41.5 | 8000.0% | — | 8000¢ | -7900¢ |
| 8 | O/U 43.5 | 7650.0% | — | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 9 | UConn O/U 23.5 | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 10 | James Madison O/U 20.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 11 | O/U 47.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 12 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 13 | O/U 51.5 | 6450.0% | $58 | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 14 | O/U 49.5 | 6400.0% | $1 | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 15 | James Madison O/U 23.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 16 | Spread -0.5 | 6000.0% | $15 | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 17 | O/U 53.5 | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 18 | James Madison O/U 26.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 19 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 20 | Spread -1.5 | 5450.0% | $419 | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 21 | O/U 55.5 | 5350.0% | $38.9K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 22 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 5300.0% | $137 | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 23 | Spread -2.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 24 | James Madison 1H O/U 15.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 25 | UConn O/U 29.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 26 | James Madison 1H O/U 11.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 27 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 28 | UConn 1H O/U 12.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 29 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | UConn O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | James Madison 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | UConn 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | James Madison 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | James Madison 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | James Madison 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | UConn 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | UConn 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | UConn 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | UConn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | UConn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | UConn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | UConn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | UConn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | UConn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | UConn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | UConn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | UConn 1H O/U 14.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 126 | UConn O/U 35.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 127 | UConn O/U 32.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 128 | O/U 57.5 | 4550.0% | $15.7K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 129 | Spread -3.5 | 4450.0% | $63 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 130 | James Madison O/U 29.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 131 | James Madison vs. UConn | 4350.0% | $24.5K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 132 | Spread -4.5 | 4250.0% | $23.7K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 133 | O/U 59.5 | 4150.0% | $2 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 134 | Spread -0.5 | 4100.0% | $15 | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 135 | Spread -1.5 | 4050.0% | $419 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 136 | Spread -5.5 | 3950.0% | $15.4K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 137 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 138 | Spread -2.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 139 | O/U 61.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 140 | James Madison O/U 32.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 141 | Spread -6.5 | 3650.0% | $6 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 142 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 143 | Spread -8.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 144 | Spread -7.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 145 | O/U 63.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 146 | O/U 65.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 147 | Spread -8.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 148 | Spread -20.5 | 2950.0% | $415 | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 149 | O/U 67.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 150 | Spread -3.5 | 2850.0% | $63 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 151 | 1H Moneyline | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 152 | Spread -4.5 | 2550.0% | $23.7K | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 153 | Spread -5.5 | 2450.0% | $15.4K | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 154 | O/U 71.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 155 | Spread -10.5 | 2350.0% | $29 | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 156 | O/U 73.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 157 | Spread -6.5 | 2250.0% | $6 | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 158 | Spread -13.5 | 1800.0% | $981 | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 159 | O/U 69.5 | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 160 | Spread -7.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 161 | Spread -14.5 | 1450.0% | $15 | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 162 | Spread -16.5 | 1300.0% | $169 | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 163 | Spread -10.5 | 1200.0% | $29 | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 164 | Spread -17.5 | 1100.0% | $1.0K | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 165 | Spread -13.5 | 1000.0% | $981 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 166 | 1Q Moneyline | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 167 | Spread -14.5 | 950.0% | $15 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 168 | O/U 75.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 169 | Spread -16.5 | 650.0% | $169 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 170 | Spread -17.5 | 550.0% | $1.0K | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 171 | Spread -20.5 | 350.0% | $415 | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 172 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 173 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and UConn, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game.
This market will resolve to "UConn" if UConn win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 14, 2026
- 09:16 AMSHShirleyF$33.47
Bought 68.3 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.49
- 09:16 AMCACamillaDF$19.76
Bought 38 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.52
- 09:16 AMHAHaledsdf$16.12
Bought 31 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.52
- 08:47 AMMAMarianax$1.00
Bought 1.724138 Over for James Madison vs. UConn: 1H O/U 27.5 at 0.58
- 04:56 AMMRMr.Kirk$714.00
Bought 1400 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-4.5) at 0.51
- 04:56 AMFIFiestaIncommingPapa$2.85
Bought 5.69 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-4.5) at 0.5
- 01:13 AMLOlovefield$80.00
Bought 1000 UConn for Spread: UConn (-17.5) at 0.08
- 01:13 AM——$2.00
Bought 25 UConn for Spread: UConn (-17.5) at 0.08
- 12:47 AMGOGolftango$50.00
Bought 138.888889 UConn for James Madison vs. UConn at 0.36
- 12:46 AMGOGolftango$100.00
Bought 192.307693 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.52
Nov 13, 2026
- 11:37 PMEREryhazHunter13$1.10
Bought 2.115385 Under for James Madison vs. UConn: O/U 57.5 at 0.52
- 09:28 PMSMsmallniprick$5.49
Bought 9.98 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-6.5) at 0.55
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「James Madison vs. UConn」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 以 9,200% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(9,150%),以及 Both Teams to Score Points - Q1(9,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $132.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
