Fresno State vs. Texas State

$185.7K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Texas State 76.5%
Fresno State 23.5%

核心摘要

根據「Fresno State vs. Texas State」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 35.5 以壓倒性的 9,400% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 39.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,O/U 41.5 以 8,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $185.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (9,400%):O/U 35.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,400¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 39.5 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
  • O/U 41.5 (8,800%):以 8,800% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 41.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 43.5 (8,600%)、Texas State O/U 23.5 (8,600%),以及 O/U 45.5 (8,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 47.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
2O/U 39.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3O/U 41.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
4O/U 43.58600.0%—8600¢-8500¢
5Texas State O/U 23.58600.0%—8600¢-8500¢
6O/U 45.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7O/U 47.57950.0%—7950¢-7850¢
8Texas State O/U 26.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
9O/U 49.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
10Spread -1.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
11O/U 37.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
12Spread -2.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
133Q O/U 7.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
14Texas State O/U 29.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
15O/U 51.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
163Q O/U 10.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
171Q O/U 7.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
18Spread -3.56850.0%$16850¢-6750¢
19O/U 53.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
20Spread -4.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
21Spread -5.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
22O/U 55.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
23Spread -6.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
24Texas State O/U 32.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
251Q O/U 10.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
261H O/U 27.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
27O/U 57.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
28Spread -7.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
291H O/U 24.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
30Spread -8.55550.0%$1255550¢-5450¢
311H O/U 21.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
321Q O/U 13.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
33Fresno State O/U 23.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
34Spread -9.55350.0%$127.2K5350¢-5250¢
351H O/U 30.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
363Q O/U 13.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
37O/U 59.55150.0%$53.1K5150¢-5050¢
38Fresno State O/U 20.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
39Spread -0.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
40Spread -0.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
41Fresno State 1H O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
42Fresno State 1H O/U 15.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
43Texas State 1H O/U 12.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
44Texas State 2H O/U 16.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
452H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
462H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
472H O/U 27.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
482H O/U 30.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
492H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
50Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
51Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
52Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
53Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
54Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
55Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
56Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
57Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
58Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
59Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
60Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
61Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
62Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
63Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
64Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
65Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
66Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
67Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
68Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
69Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
70Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
71Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
72Texas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
73Texas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
74Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
75Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
76Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
77Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
78Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
79Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
80Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
81Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
82Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
83Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
84Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
85Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
86Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
87Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
88Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
89Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
90Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
91Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
922Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
932Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
942Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
952Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
962Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
974Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
984Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
994Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1004Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1014Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Fresno State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Texas State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Texas State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Fresno State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Fresno State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Fresno State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Texas State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Texas State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1312H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1333Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Spread -16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
136Both Teams to Score Points - Q14950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
137Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
138Spread -20.54900.0%$5894900¢-4800¢
139Spread -17.54900.0%$664900¢-4800¢
140Spread -8.54900.0%$1254900¢-4800¢
141Texas State O/U 35.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
142Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q44900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
143Spread -10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1441H O/U 33.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
145O/U 61.54550.0%$2.3K4550¢-4450¢
146Spread -13.54300.0%$9034300¢-4200¢
147O/U 63.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
148Spread -14.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
149O/U 65.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
150Spread -16.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1511Q O/U 16.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
152O/U 67.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
153Spread -17.53200.0%$663200¢-3100¢
1541Q Moneyline3200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
1553Q O/U 16.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1563Q O/U 19.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
157Fresno State O/U 29.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
158Spread -20.52700.0%$5892700¢-2600¢
159O/U 69.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
1601H Moneyline2700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
161Fresno State O/U 32.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
162Fresno State O/U 26.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
163Fresno State vs. Texas State2350.0%$1.5K2350¢-2250¢
164O/U 71.52350.0%$262350¢-2250¢
1651Q O/U 19.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
166Spread -1.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
167Spread -2.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
168O/U 73.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
169Spread -3.51650.0%$11650¢-1550¢
170Spread -4.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
171Spread -5.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
172O/U 75.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
173Spread -6.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
174Spread -7.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
175Spread -10.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
176Spread -13.5540.0%$903540¢-440¢
177Spread -14.5350.0%—350¢-250¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and Texas State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 04:05 AM
    CLclownfishbets
    $32.64

    Bought 68 Fresno State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.48

  • 03:51 AM
    0X0x4D5BbBEe74D185bE8fA1cD955081884F9b36aCDC-1768296371678
    $5.30

    Bought 10 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.53

  • 03:51 AM
    PWPwaddler
    $814.42

    Bought 1566.2 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.52

Nov 13, 2026

  • 09:28 PM
    SMsmallniprick
    $6.25

    Bought 12.76 Fresno State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.49

  • 07:51 PM
    0X0x44Aa5F441221043c351aFC029c8CA90032D9EB45-1776520943631
    $4.99

    Bought 20.791667 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.24

  • 05:06 PM
    FIFiestaIncommingPapa
    $4.72

    Bought 19.66 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.24

  • 05:06 PM
    WEWearyWanderer
    $781.55

    Bought 1015 Texas State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.77

  • 01:33 PM
    ——
    $3.85

    Bought 5 Texas State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.77

  • 11:22 AM
    PAPassssssssskai
    $500.00

    Bought 980.4 Under for Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 at 0.51

  • 06:05 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.04

    Bought 27 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 06:04 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.88

    Bought 12 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.24

  • 03:40 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.64

    Bought 11 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.24

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

JU1
justwins
事件損益
+$81.89
成交量
$109,999.93
持倉數
Fresno State
KE2
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件損益
+$207.13
成交量
$41,418.02
持倉數
Texas State
PW3
Pwaddler
事件損益
+$73.38
成交量
$29,485.88
持倉數
Texas State
B44
0xb4F9…0186
事件損益
+$140.39
成交量
$28,071.81
持倉數
Texas State
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$0.23
成交量
$18,766.69
持倉數
Texas State
HI6
hi774c
事件損益
-$26.54
成交量
$7,274.97
持倉數
Fresno StateFresno State
387
38791873984189
事件損益
-$2.59
成交量
$1,275.72
持倉數
Texas StateOver
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$7.48
成交量
$1,140.52
持倉數
Fresno StateOver

常見問題

目前市場對「Fresno State vs. Texas State」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 9,400% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(9,000%),以及 O/U 41.5(8,800%)。該市場總成交量已達 $185.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易