Florida vs. Kentucky

$177.8K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Kentucky 59.5%
Florida 40.5%

核心摘要

根據「Florida vs. Kentucky」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Spread -1.5 以壓倒性的 7,100% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -2.5 以 6,550% 位居第二,4Q O/U 7.5 以 6,200% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $177.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Spread -1.5 (7,100%):Spread -1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,100¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -2.5 (6,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -2.5 保持著 6,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,550¢。
  • 4Q O/U 7.5 (6,200%):以 6,200% 的機率位列第三,市場對 4Q O/U 7.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (6,150%)、Spread -4.5 (5,750%),以及 Spread -5.5 (5,100%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Spread -1.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
2Spread -2.56550.0%$11.8K6550¢-6450¢
34Q O/U 7.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
4Spread -3.56150.0%$12.6K6150¢-6050¢
5Spread -4.55750.0%$4.6K5750¢-5650¢
6Spread -5.55100.0%$1.7K5100¢-5000¢
7Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
83Q O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
9Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
11Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 65.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14O/U 69.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15O/U 71.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
171H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
181H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
191H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
222H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
233Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
244Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
254Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Florida O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Florida O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Florida O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Kentucky O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Kentucky O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Kentucky O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Kentucky O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Florida 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Florida 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Kentucky 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Kentucky 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Florida 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Florida 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Florida 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Kentucky 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Kentucky 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Kentucky 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Florida vs. Kentucky: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
982H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
991H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1002Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1013Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1024Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103O/U 35.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1042Q O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
105Florida O/U 20.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
106Both Teams to Score a Touchdown4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
107Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
108Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
109Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
110Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
111Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
112Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
113Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
114Spread -6.54750.0%$6.7K4750¢-4650¢
1154Q O/U 13.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
116Kentucky 1H O/U 16.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
117Spread -7.54300.0%$3.5K4300¢-4200¢
118Kentucky O/U 23.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1194Q O/U 10.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
120Florida 1H O/U 15.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
121Spread -8.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1223Q O/U 10.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
123O/U 39.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
124O/U 37.53600.0%$603600¢-3500¢
1253Q O/U 13.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1262H O/U 27.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
127Spread -10.53350.0%$2.6K3350¢-3250¢
128O/U 41.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
1292Q O/U 13.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
1302H O/U 30.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1312Q O/U 16.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
132O/U 45.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
133O/U 47.52750.0%$3162750¢-2650¢
134Florida vs. Kentucky2650.0%$125.6K2650¢-2550¢
135Spread -13.52450.0%$2.1K2450¢-2350¢
136O/U 57.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
137O/U 59.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
138O/U 63.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
139Spread -8.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
140Spread -1.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
141Spread -14.52250.0%$7652250¢-2150¢
1423Q O/U 16.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
143O/U 43.51950.0%$401950¢-1850¢
144Spread -2.51850.0%$11.8K1850¢-1750¢
145Florida O/U 23.51850.0%$7831850¢-1750¢
146Spread -16.51800.0%$1.7K1800¢-1700¢
147Spread -17.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
1482Q O/U 10.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
149Spread -3.51500.0%$12.6K1500¢-1400¢
150Spread -4.51350.0%$4.6K1350¢-1250¢
151Spread -5.51050.0%$1.7K1050¢-950¢
152Spread -20.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
153Spread -6.5900.0%$6.7K900¢-800¢
154O/U 49.5900.0%$115900¢-800¢
155Spread -7.5800.0%$3.5K800¢-700¢
156O/U 51.5750.0%$68750¢-650¢
1571H O/U 27.5750.0%$1.1K750¢-650¢
158O/U 53.5500.0%$1.1K500¢-400¢
159Spread -10.5425.0%$2.6K425¢-325¢
160Spread -13.5400.0%$2.1K400¢-300¢
161O/U 55.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
162O/U 61.5250.0%—250¢-150¢
1631H O/U 30.5250.0%—250¢-150¢
1642Q O/U 19.5250.0%—250¢-150¢
165Spread -14.5240.0%$765240¢-140¢
166O/U 67.5205.0%—205¢-105¢
167Spread -16.5180.0%$1.7K180¢-80¢
168Spread -17.5150.0%—150¢-50¢
169O/U 73.545.0%$10345¢55¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Kentucky, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:23 PM
    NInigiri99
    $215.10

    Bought 478 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:23 PM
    NInigiri99
    $347.40

    Bought 772 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:13 PM
    NInigiri99
    $19.35

    Bought 43 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:10 PM
    GRGroky2000
    $5.00

    Bought 8.33 Kentucky for Florida vs. Kentucky at 0.6

  • 10:08 PM
    NInigiri99
    $73.35

    Bought 163 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:07 PM
    KEKeF666
    $60.00

    Bought 100 Kentucky for Florida vs. Kentucky at 0.6

  • 10:05 PM
    MAMartinDondukov
    $72.76

    Sold 123.33 Kentucky for Florida vs. Kentucky at 0.59

  • 10:04 PM
    OLOleksandr9
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 10:04 PM
    OLOleksandr9
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666667 Kentucky for Florida vs. Kentucky at 0.6

  • 10:03 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.90

    Bought 22 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $96.30

    Bought 214 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $187.20

    Bought 416 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件損益
+$54.35
成交量
$38,672.69
持倉數
Kentucky
362
3648393489047
事件損益
+$110.61
成交量
$36,815.26
持倉數
Kentucky
NI3
nigiri99
事件損益
-$3,248.36
成交量
$21,528.00
持倉數
FloridaKentuckyFlorida+2
PR4
primm
事件損益
-$3,555.69
成交量
$19,104.74
持倉數
FloridaFloridaFlorida+2
RN5
RN1
事件損益
+$671.39
成交量
$16,896.04
持倉數
KentuckyFloridaKentucky+4
B46
0xb4F9…0186
事件損益
-$22.46
成交量
$12,480.58
持倉數
Florida
FL7
Flipadelphia
事件損益
-$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
Florida
KE8
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件損益
-$842.10
成交量
$8,455.97
持倉數
KentuckyFloridaFlorida

常見問題

目前市場對「Florida vs. Kentucky」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 7,100% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(6,550%),以及 4Q O/U 7.5(6,200%)。該市場總成交量已達 $177.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易