Arizona State vs. UCF

$133.7K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
UCF 60.5%
Arizona State 39.5%

核心摘要

根據「Arizona State vs. UCF」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Arizona State vs. UCF 以壓倒性的 7,900% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 35.5 以 7,800% 位居第二,O/U 37.5 以 7,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $133.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Arizona State vs. UCF (7,900%):Arizona State vs. UCF 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,900¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $65.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 35.5 (7,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 35.5 保持著 7,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,800¢。
  • O/U 37.5 (7,100%):以 7,100% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 37.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 4Q O/U 7.5 (7,050%)、Spread -2.5 (7,000%),以及 Spread -1.5 (6,850%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Arizona State vs. UCF7900.0%$65.1K7900¢-7800¢
2O/U 35.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
3O/U 37.57100.0%$2.8K7100¢-7000¢
44Q O/U 7.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
5Spread -2.57000.0%$6857000¢-6900¢
6Spread -1.56850.0%$1.5K6850¢-6750¢
7O/U 39.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
8Spread -3.56200.0%$1.7K6200¢-6100¢
9Spread -4.56150.0%$2.3K6150¢-6050¢
10O/U 41.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
11Spread -5.55150.0%$4.5K5150¢-5050¢
12O/U 45.55050.0%$27.9K5050¢-4950¢
13Arizona State O/U 20.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
14Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
16Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
192H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
224Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
234Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Arizona State O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Arizona State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Arizona State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Arizona State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28UCF O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29UCF O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30UCF O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31UCF O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Arizona State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Arizona State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34UCF 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35UCF 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36UCF 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87UCF Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88UCF Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89UCF Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93UCF Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94UCF Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95UCF Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Arizona State vs. UCF: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
982H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
991Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1003Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1014Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
103O/U 71.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
104UCF O/U 26.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
105Arizona State 2H O/U 13.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
106Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
107Spread -17.54945.0%$3.2K4945¢-4845¢
1083Q O/U 16.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1093Q O/U 19.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
110Spread -13.54895.0%$2504895¢-4795¢
111Spread -8.54850.0%$54850¢-4750¢
112Spread -10.54845.0%$1.2K4845¢-4745¢
113Spread -16.54840.0%$1.3K4840¢-4740¢
114Spread -7.54750.0%$104750¢-4650¢
115Spread -8.54700.0%$54700¢-4600¢
116O/U 43.54550.0%$1.4K4550¢-4450¢
117Spread -6.54450.0%$744450¢-4350¢
1184Q O/U 13.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
119Spread -10.54200.0%$1.2K4200¢-4100¢
1202H O/U 24.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
121Spread -20.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
122Spread -13.53400.0%$2503400¢-3300¢
123Spread -16.53000.0%$1.3K3000¢-2900¢
124Spread -14.53000.0%$2453000¢-2900¢
125O/U 51.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1263Q O/U 7.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1274Q O/U 16.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
128O/U 47.52850.0%$9.6K2850¢-2750¢
1293Q O/U 10.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
130O/U 53.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
131Spread -17.52600.0%$3.2K2600¢-2500¢
132O/U 57.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
133O/U 59.52500.0%$52500¢-2400¢
134Spread -20.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
135Spread -5.52450.0%$4.5K2450¢-2350¢
136Spread -6.52400.0%$742400¢-2300¢
137O/U 49.52400.0%$972400¢-2300¢
138O/U 63.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
139O/U 65.52400.0%$52400¢-2300¢
140O/U 69.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
141O/U 55.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
1422H O/U 27.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1433Q O/U 13.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
144Spread -1.51650.0%$1.5K1650¢-1550¢
145O/U 61.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
146Spread -2.51350.0%$6851350¢-1250¢
147Spread -3.51150.0%$1.7K1150¢-1050¢
148Spread -4.5900.0%$2.3K900¢-800¢
149Spread -7.5900.0%$10900¢-800¢
150O/U 67.5530.0%$5.6K530¢-430¢
151Spread -14.5400.0%$245400¢-300¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and UCF, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.

This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:27 PM
    0X0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $11.60

    Bought 20 UCF for Spread: UCF (-2.5) at 0.58

  • 10:25 PM
    VIviking501
    $2.90

    Bought 5 UCF for Spread: UCF (-2.5) at 0.58

  • 10:25 PM
    VIviking501
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Over for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.5

  • 10:25 PM
    VIviking501
    $1.60

    Bought 4 Arizona State for Arizona State vs. UCF at 0.4

  • 10:24 PM
    DOdontcallmegambler
    $23.63

    Bought 45.45 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:24 PM
    GLglennyorkshire
    $472.73

    Bought 909.09 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:24 PM
    IUIulii
    $24.09

    Bought 45.45 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 10:19 PM
    ILilqar330
    $2.90

    Bought 5.576922 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $1.03

    Bought 2.06 Over for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.5

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $302.94

    Bought 594 Under for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.51

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $687.48

    Bought 1348 Under for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.51

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1,374.36

    Bought 2643 Under for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
nigiri99
事件損益
-$94.59
成交量
$31,850.00
持倉數
UnderUnderUCF
PR2
primm
事件損益
+$2,576.36
成交量
$18,853.58
持倉數
Arizona StateOverArizona State+6
RN3
RN1
事件損益
-$1,875.22
成交量
$13,196.64
持倉數
UCFUCFUCF+7
384
38791873984189
事件損益
-$511.64
成交量
$10,700.92
持倉數
UnderUCFArizona State+10
BB5
bbcvvcbv
事件損益
-$48.30
成交量
$9,675.55
持倉數
Arizona State
656
6512395314597884
事件損益
-$618.97
成交量
$8,612.05
持倉數
UCFUCFUCF+10
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$164.55
成交量
$8,320.93
持倉數
OverOverUCF+1
SA8
SaylorMoon
事件損益
-$135.22
成交量
$6,520.89
持倉數
OverUCF

常見問題

目前市場對「Arizona State vs. UCF」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Arizona State vs. UCF 以 7,900% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 35.5(7,800%),以及 O/U 37.5(7,100%)。該市場總成交量已達 $133.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易