
USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears
核心摘要
根據「USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -7.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -8.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $185.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears (9,995%):USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $149.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -7.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -7.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- Spread -8.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -8.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 160.5 (5%)、O/U 161.5 (5%),以及 O/U 159.5 (5%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 160.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears | 9995.0% | $149.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -7.5 | 9995.0% | $14.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Spread -8.5 | 9995.0% | $12.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | O/U 160.5 | 5.0% | $4.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 5 | O/U 161.5 | 5.0% | $3.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 6 | O/U 159.5 | 5.0% | $893 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming CBB game between USC Trojans and California Golden Bears, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 11, 2026
- 11:59 PMMOmooseborzoi$19.11
Bought 39 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.49
- 11:53 PMCEceteris-paribus$3.00
Bought 5.660378 California Golden Bears for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.53
- 10:35 PMROroberpkr$2.45
Bought 5 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.49
- 10:35 PMMOmooseborzoi$6.86
Bought 14 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.49
- 10:08 PMMOmooseborzoi$30.24
Bought 56 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-7.5) at 0.54
- 09:45 PMMOmooseborzoi$23.76
Bought 44 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-7.5) at 0.54
- 09:39 PMMOmooseborzoi$1.47
Bought 3 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.49
- 09:24 PMCOcoulee$4.24
Bought 8 Under for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.53
- 09:24 PMMOmooseborzoi$1.92
Bought 4 Over for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.48
- 09:23 PMCOcoulee$5.33
Bought 10.056604 Under for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.53
- 09:23 PMHOHomeRunHazard$2.60
Bought 5 Under for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.52
- 06:33 PMMOmooseborzoi$9.18
Bought 18 Under for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.51
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -7.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -8.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $185.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
