
Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
核心摘要
根據「Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -6.5 以 5% 位居第二,O/U 156.5 以 5% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $160.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (9,995%):Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $119.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -6.5 (5%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -6.5 保持著 5% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5¢。
- O/U 156.5 (5%):以 5% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 156.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 157.5 (5%)、Spread -7.5 (5%),以及 O/U 158.5 (5%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 9995.0% | $119.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -6.5 | 5.0% | $16.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 3 | O/U 156.5 | 5.0% | $1.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 4 | O/U 157.5 | 5.0% | $10.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 5 | Spread -7.5 | 5.0% | $2.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 6 | O/U 158.5 | 5.0% | $6.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 7 | Spread -8.5 | 5.0% | $3.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming CBB game between Portland Pilots and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 9, 2026
- 11:29 PMSPsportsnerdpt$2.48
Bought 5.16 Portland Pilots for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.48
- 10:28 PMJAJAMJAMJAM4$106.00
Bought 200 Under for Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5 at 0.53
- 09:28 PMANAntiVaxxer$1.20
Bought 5 Portland Pilots for Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at 0.24
- 07:27 PMMUMuqiang6215$4.86
Bought 9 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 07:26 PMMRMr.Kirk$23.21
Bought 42.98 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 07:25 PMMRMr.Kirk$38.42
Bought 71.14 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 07:25 PMMRMr.Kirk$88.02
Bought 163 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 07:25 PMMRMr.Kirk$325.73
Bought 603.2 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 06:31 PMSEsetls$3.87
Bought 5.025973 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at 0.77
- 06:31 PMHOHomeRunHazard$20.24
Bought 26.99 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at 0.75
- 06:14 PMSEsetls$2.62
Bought 5.038462 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.52
- 06:14 PMCOcoulee$2.62
Bought 5.038462 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.52
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -6.5(5%),以及 O/U 156.5(5%)。該市場總成交量已達 $160.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
