
Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen
核心摘要
根據「Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 145.5 以壓倒性的 9,960% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 146.5 以 9,960% 位居第二,O/U 148.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $95.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 145.5 (9,960%):O/U 145.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,960¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $20 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 146.5 (9,960%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 146.5 保持著 9,960% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,960¢。
- O/U 148.5 (9,955%):以 9,955% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 148.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Spread -9.5 (40%)、Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen (20%),以及 Spread -10.5 (5%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 145.5 | 9960.0% | $20 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 2 | O/U 146.5 | 9960.0% | $21 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 3 | O/U 148.5 | 9955.0% | $386 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 4 | Spread -9.5 | 40.0% | $4.7K | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 5 | Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen | 20.0% | $77.5K | 20¢ | 80¢ |
| 6 | Spread -10.5 | 5.0% | $1.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 7 | Spread -8.5 | 5.0% | $3.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 8 | Spread -7.5 | 5.0% | $7.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming CBB game between Penn Quakers and Navy Midshipmen, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 12, 2026
- 12:30 AMXBxba111222$10.00
Bought 18.518519 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 148.5 at 0.54
- 12:30 AMEDedisonn$20.00
Bought 37.037036 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 148.5 at 0.54
- 12:30 AM11111577$7.00
Bought 12.96 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 148.5 at 0.54
- 12:19 AMGOGooperask$4.84
Bought 4.994841 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.97
- 12:19 AMFEferdinand2$4.85
Bought 5 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.97
- 12:19 AMFLFlaznorp$53.34
Bought 54.989666 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.97
- 12:17 AMCOcoulee$9.86
Sold 10.06 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-10.5) at 0.98
- 12:11 AMISisuckatsports$315.76
Sold 343.22 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.92
- 12:08 AMEDEdgePilot$10.00
Bought 20 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 145.5 at 0.5
- 12:06 AMFLFlaznorp$32.20
Bought 35 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.92
- 12:04 AMGOGooperask$1.00
Bought 7.142858 Penn Quakers for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.14
- 12:04 AMFEferdinand2$1.20
Bought 8.571429 Penn Quakers for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.14
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 145.5 以 9,960% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 146.5(9,960%),以及 O/U 148.5(9,955%)。該市場總成交量已達 $95.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
