ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar

$320.5K Vol
2026年11月22日
Active
機率趨勢
Alexander Zverev 72.5%
Rafael Jodar 27.5%

核心摘要

根據「ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5 以壓倒性的 7,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar 以 7,350% 位居第二,ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner 以 6,850% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $320.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5 (7,500%):ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $9.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar (7,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar 保持著 7,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,350¢。
  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner (6,850%):以 6,850% 的機率位列第三,市場對 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner (6,150%)、ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%),以及 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.57500.0%$9.9K7500¢-7400¢
2ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar7350.0%$276.7K7350¢-7250¢
3ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner6850.0%$686850¢-6750¢
4ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner6150.0%$26.8K6150¢-6050¢
5ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.55000.0%$4565000¢-4900¢
6ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.55000.0%$1185000¢-4900¢
7ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.55000.0%$4515000¢-4900¢
8ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%$5.1K4950¢-4850¢
9ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Total Sets: O/U 2.54250.0%$1.0K4250¢-4150¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Rafael Jodar in the ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Rafael Jodar.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alexander Zverev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 15, 2026

  • 12:10 PM
    BAbaciouny
    $5.00

    Bought 6.944445 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.72

  • 12:10 PM
    MIMigRodr
    $7,093.60

    Bought 23645.334334 Rafael Jodar for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.3

  • 12:10 PM
    ——
    $14.85

    Bought 20.625 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.72

  • 12:10 PM
    0X0x8ee758dB003028735fbEDF89be7f48A3DAc28291-1794737202477
    $1.00

    Bought 1.388889 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.72

  • 12:06 PM
    TOtoninhotz
    $5.15

    Bought 11.444445 Alexander Zverev for Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Rafael Jodar (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 12:05 PM
    MAmainz
    $135.44

    Bought 190.756389 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:03 PM
    CHChungChung1
    $71.00

    Bought 100 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    EKEksantik
    $7.75

    Bought 10.915493 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    RERealTraderx
    $2.00

    Bought 2.8169 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    DADaigiadinhngocson
    $200.00

    Bought 281.690141 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:00 PM
    0X0x0Ae0FCC13Eb698A01EE3D6431AA430057267c51e-1791505730076
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Rafael Jodar for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.3

  • 11:59 AM
    0X0x5666090A964238825D100B2B7e241B135976682a-1768874604029
    $140.61

    Bought 198.042251 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MI1
MigRodr
事件損益
-$344.50
成交量
$40,351.82
持倉數
Rafael Jodar
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$71.46
成交量
$14,217.35
持倉數
Alexander ZverevRafael JodarUnder 2.5
2C3
0x2c33…5465
事件損益
+$192.24
成交量
$12,816.07
持倉數
Alexander Zverev
FA4
faatchoi01
事件損益
-$30.00
成交量
$6,000.00
持倉數
Rafael Jodar
HE5
0xheavy888
事件損益
+$20.00
成交量
$3,999.99
持倉數
Alexander Zverev
FV6
fvckjumpjanestreet
事件損益
+$30.70
成交量
$2,496.16
持倉數
Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev
MA7
manvsrice42
事件損益
+$0.25
成交量
$2,000.00
持倉數
Alexander Zverev
848
0x84f6…9308
事件損益
+$12.68
成交量
$1,649.35
持倉數
Alexander Zverev

常見問題

目前市場對「ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5 以 7,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar(7,350%),以及 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner(6,850%)。該市場總成交量已達 $320.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易