Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu

$214.2K Vol
2026年11月22日
Active
機率趨勢
Michael Vrbensky 100.0%
Vadym Ursu 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 2 Winner 以 9,755% 位居第二,Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 1 Winner 以 5,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $214.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu (9,995%):Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $214.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 2 Winner (9,755%):作為最可行的替代選項,Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 2 Winner 保持著 9,755% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,755¢。
  • Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 1 Winner (5,050%):以 5,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%),以及 Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Match O/U 22.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Match O/U 23.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu9995.0%$214.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 2 Winner9755.0%—9755¢-9655¢
3Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 1 Winner5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
4Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Match O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Match O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Vrbensky and Vadym Ursu in the Helsinki, Finland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 5:10AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Vadym Ursu.

This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Michael Vrbensky.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 15, 2026

  • 12:31 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.24

    Bought 5.24 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:31 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.36

    Bought 5.36 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:31 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.12

    Bought 5.12 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:31 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.31

    Bought 5.31 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:31 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.42

    Bought 5.42 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:30 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.38

    Bought 5.38 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:30 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.42

    Bought 5.42 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:30 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.10

    Bought 5.1 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:30 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.15

    Bought 5.15 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:30 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.02

    Bought 5.02 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:30 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.45

    Bought 5.45 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

  • 12:30 PM
    MOmomo-0916
    $5.43

    Bought 5.43 Michael Vrbensky for Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu at 1

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

HV1
HVAB
事件損益
+$2,916.99
成交量
$109,024.01
持倉數
Michael Vrbensky
KE2
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件損益
-$1,491.96
成交量
$74,158.81
持倉數
Vadym Ursu
RN3
RN1
事件損益
-$1,953.82
成交量
$25,388.29
持倉數
Vadym Ursu
5F4
0x5fD2…3a18
事件損益
+$477.25
成交量
$24,378.80
持倉數
Michael Vrbensky
LO5
LoyaltyToRussia
事件損益
+$4,629.72
成交量
$24,029.73
持倉數
Michael Vrbensky
IT6
itsonlyamatteroftime
事件損益
-$355.37
成交量
$15,981.86
持倉數
Vadym Ursu
AL7
alpheclabs
事件損益
-$413.10
成交量
$15,374.65
持倉數
Vadym Ursu
FA8
Fahim.1
事件損益
-$2,982.81
成交量
$11,872.66
持倉數
Vadym Ursu

常見問題

目前市場對「Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 2 Winner(9,755%),以及 Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu Set 1 Winner(5,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $214.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易