Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges

$751.3K Vol
2026年11月14日
Active
機率趨勢
Casper Ruud 92.5%
Nuno Borges 7.5%

核心摘要

根據「Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.5 以 9,955% 位居第二,Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.5 以 9,890% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $751.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner (9,995%):Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $24.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.5 (9,955%):作為最可行的替代選項,Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.5 保持著 9,955% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,955¢。
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.5 (9,890%):以 9,890% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges (7,450%)、Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 23.5 (6,900%),以及 Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,650%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner9995.0%$24.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.59955.0%$1399955¢-9855¢
3Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.59890.0%$2389890¢-9790¢
4Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges7450.0%$712.5K7450¢-7350¢
5Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 23.56900.0%$1.5K6900¢-6800¢
6Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set Handicap +/-1.55650.0%$3.7K5650¢-5550¢
7Completed Match5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
8Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 2 Winner5300.0%$1.8K5300¢-5200¢
9Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Total Sets: O/U 2.54600.0%$5324600¢-4500¢
10Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Game Spread +/-2.54100.0%$6.6K4100¢-4000¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Nuno Borges in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Nuno Borges.

This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Casper Ruud.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 6, 2026

  • 01:53 PM
    HEheycff
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23077 Over for Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.52

  • 01:53 PM
    HEheycff
    $10.00

    Bought 16.129031 Over for Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.62

  • 01:43 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Casper Ruud for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.67

  • 01:42 PM
    JHJherfry
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Nuno Borges for Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-2.5) vs Nuno Borges (+2.5) at 0.45

  • 01:32 PM
    LAlarame
    $3.69

    Bought 5.5 Casper Ruud for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.67

  • 12:40 PM
    686827491
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 Over for Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 23.5 at 0.44

  • 12:38 PM
    686827491
    $5.00

    Bought 14.705883 Nuno Borges for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.34

  • 12:32 PM
    ODOdileDeray
    $99.66

    Bought 151 Casper Ruud for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.66

  • 12:00 PM
    BLblazedbunny
    $25.00

    Bought 71.428572 Nuno Borges for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.35

  • 11:55 AM
    AUAurasi
    $45.00

    Bought 68.181819 Casper Ruud for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.66

  • 11:55 AM
    AUAurasi
    $43.71

    Sold 128.57 Nuno Borges for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.34

  • 11:55 AM
    AUAurasi
    $45.00

    Bought 128.571429 Nuno Borges for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.35

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

KK1
Kkunn
事件損益
-$165.52
成交量
$37,075.45
持倉數
Nuno Borges
GM2
gmpm2
事件損益
+$82.22
成交量
$31,510.34
持倉數
Casper Ruud
KK3
kkookkoo
事件損益
-$215.05
成交量
$22,039.07
持倉數
Casper Ruud
AN4
AnonymousUsername
事件損益
-$33.90
成交量
$12,004.97
持倉數
Nuno Borges
RN5
RN1
事件損益
+$132.30
成交量
$8,820.10
持倉數
Nuno Borges
SU6
SunflowaRebuildYear
事件損益
+$37.50
成交量
$7,500.00
持倉數
Nuno Borges
F17
0xf12f…3239
事件損益
-$28.02
成交量
$5,606.06
持倉數
Nuno Borges
658
6512395314597884
事件損益
+$21.25
成交量
$5,330.57
持倉數
Casper Ruud

常見問題

目前市場對「Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.5(9,955%),以及 Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.5(9,890%)。該市場總成交量已達 $751.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易