
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
核心摘要
根據「Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,400% 獲勝機率主導市場;Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 7,400% 位居第二,Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5 以 6,300% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $36.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,400%):Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,400¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 (7,400%):作為最可行的替代選項,Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 保持著 7,400% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,400¢。
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5 (6,300%):以 6,300% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot (5,850%)、Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 22.5 (5,850%),以及 Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 Winner (5,550%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 2 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 3 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 4 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot | 5850.0% | $32.2K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 5 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 22.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 6 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 Winner | 5550.0% | $2 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 7 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 Winner | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 8 | Completed Match | 5300.0% | $140 | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 9 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 23.5 | 5200.0% | $3.8K | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 10 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 11 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 12 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 13 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4350.0% | $22 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 14 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 4250.0% | $10 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 15 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Game Spread +/-0.5 | 4150.0% | $12 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 16 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 3350.0% | $714 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Valentin Vacherot.
This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Holger Rune.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 30, 2026
- 01:57 AMCLclarey$50.00
Bought 116.27907 Valentin Vacherot for Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.43
- 01:15 AMUMumalytic$24.94
Bought 58 Valentin Vacherot for Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.43
- 12:30 AMK2K2899743$1.00
Bought 2.325582 Valentin Vacherot for Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.43
Oct 29, 2026
- 11:12 PM——$25.00
Bought 43.103447 Holger Rune for Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.58
- 09:38 PMDFdfsdfsdfB2$6.00
Bought 100 No for Swiss Indoors Basel: Completed Match: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.06
- 09:36 PMLAlarame$3.66
Bought 8.5 Valentin Vacherot for Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.43
- 08:24 PMDFdfsdfsdfB2$1.00
Sold 20 No for Swiss Indoors Basel: Completed Match: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.05
- 08:21 PMDFdfsdfsdfB2$18.20
Bought 20 No for Swiss Indoors Basel: Completed Match: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.91
- 08:15 PM0X0x949A26cC421829f58b2f8F71aA663ccC219e748b-1778142974573$6.30
Bought 10.862069 Holger Rune for Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.58
- 07:58 PMCHChomiks$0.70
Bought 1.22 Holger Rune for Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.57
- 07:51 PMFUfullwillm$5.00
Bought 8.77193 Holger Rune for Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.57
- 07:46 PMFLFlaznorp$0.14
Bought 0.25 Holger Rune for Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.56
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常見問題
目前市場對「Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,400% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5(7,400%),以及 Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5(6,300%)。該市場總成交量已達 $36.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
