
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
核心摘要
根據「Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $540.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%):Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $11 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,995%)、Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 9995.0% | $11 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5 | 9995.0% | $6.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz | 2950.0% | $503.4K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 8 | Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-4.5 | 350.0% | $1.9K | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 9 | Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner | 5.0% | $6.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Taylor Fritz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 9:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Taylor Fritz.
This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Alex Molcan.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 4, 2026
- 01:56 PM——$2.20
Bought 10 Alex Molcan for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz at 0.22
- 01:52 PMP1p1nkfloyd$11.12
Sold 14.25 Taylor Fritz for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz at 0.78
- 01:52 PMT1t1winslol$119.15
Bought 541.59091 Alex Molcan for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz at 0.22
- 01:51 PM——$1.10
Bought 5 Alex Molcan for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz at 0.22
- 01:51 PMIDIdontKnowWhoIam604$4.88
Bought 8.271187 Alex Molcan for Game Spread: Taylor Fritz (-4.5) vs Alex Molcan (+4.5) at 0.59
- 01:50 PM0X0x72727f158295dCA92Da2e71F406399D1CB351A25-1783215702812$13.77
Bought 27.54 Over for Molcan vs. Fritz: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.5
- 01:46 PMP1p1nkfloyd$11.26
Bought 14.253161 Taylor Fritz for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz at 0.79
- 01:45 PM——$3.95
Bought 5 Taylor Fritz for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz at 0.79
- 01:45 PMMNmntsdxs$278.21
Bought 1264.59091 Alex Molcan for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz at 0.22
- 01:38 PM——$7.90
Bought 10 Taylor Fritz for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz at 0.79
- 01:36 PM——$13.80
Bought 23.793104 Over for Molcan vs. Fritz: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.58
- 01:34 PM——$2.20
Bought 10 Alex Molcan for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz at 0.22
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5(9,995%),以及 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $540.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
