Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston

$401K Vol
2026年11月16日
Active
機率趨勢
Matteo Martineau 100.0%
Hugo Gaston 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二,Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5 以 5% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $401K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston (9,995%):Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $399.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5 (5%):以 5% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston9995.0%$399.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$6809995¢-9895¢
3Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Hugo Gaston in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Hugo Gaston.

This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Matteo Martineau.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 11:43 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanestreet
    $7.40

    Bought 20 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

  • 11:06 AM
    0X0xd2150fc422E8313Bdf2527c92FDB957fE42A757A-1782777074064
    $9.62

    Bought 26 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

  • 10:21 AM
    RYRyancharran47
    $15.00

    Bought 23.4375 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:59 AM
    RORotnosaha
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:52 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.24

    Bought 16 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:19 AM
    EPepistemic
    $37.00

    Bought 100 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

  • 09:16 AM
    ANAnon-2
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:16 AM
    0X0x6Db8C97Cb7eC5c512E051902d8077960517bf7D4-1768407294085
    $10.00

    Bought 15.625 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:00 AM
    ——
    $884.48

    Bought 1382 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:00 AM
    ——
    $13.23

    Bought 21 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.63

  • 09:00 AM
    ——
    $377.37

    Bought 599 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.63

  • 09:00 AM
    0X0x56f536a014f55cC6F611ead63D3ac3f29337AeE1-1778093511228
    $5.92

    Bought 16 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

RU1
rubykd
事件損益
-$241.92
成交量
$6,911.93
持倉數
Matteo Martineau
TH2
thirdt1me
事件損益
+$128.39
成交量
$3,668.29
持倉數
Hugo Gaston
A03
0xa0f2…1848
事件損益
+$1.59
成交量
$2,336.41
持倉數
Hugo Gaston
654
6512395314597884
事件損益
+$70.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持倉數
Hugo Gaston
VE5
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$6.91
成交量
$1,581.90
持倉數
Matteo Martineau
476
0x4738…0211
事件損益
-$6.58
成交量
$1,316.00
持倉數
Matteo Martineau
FL7
Flaznorp
事件損益
+$2.09
成交量
$1,277.87
持倉數
Hugo Gaston
N18
n1ck10s
事件損益
-$11.64
成交量
$776.32
持倉數
Matteo Martineau

常見問題

目前市場對「Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%),以及 Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5(5%)。該市場總成交量已達 $401K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易