Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch

$379 Vol
2026年11月7日
Active
機率趨勢
Darwin Blanch 58.0%
Liam Draxl 42.0%

核心摘要

根據「Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 21.5 以壓倒性的 6,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 5,800% 位居第二,Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 22.5 以 5,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $379,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 21.5 (6,000%):Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 21.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (5,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 5,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,800¢。
  • Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 22.5 (5,150%):以 5,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 22.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,150%)、Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 Winner (5,000%),以及 Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 1 O/U 9.5 (4,900%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 21.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
2Completed Match5800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
3Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 22.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
4Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Game Spread +/-1.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
5Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
7Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 23.54500.0%$44500¢-4400¢
11Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 1 Winner4400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
12Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch4150.0%$3964150¢-4050¢
13Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 1 O/U 8.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
14Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Total Sets: O/U 2.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
15Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set Handicap +/-1.53650.0%$33650¢-3550¢
16Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Set 1 O/U 10.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Darwin Blanch in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Darwin Blanch.

This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Liam Draxl.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 30, 2026

  • 01:34 PM
    0X0x1793797BDEDAab854f300cf2b587b98B8c644Ebb-1766156231767
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Darwin Blanch for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch at 0.59

  • 01:08 PM
    ——
    $4.71

    Bought 7.983051 Darwin Blanch for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch at 0.59

  • 08:47 AM
    PRprintbibi
    $2.50

    Bought 5.952381 Liam Draxl for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch at 0.42

  • 07:26 AM
    0X0xd3a002df88d0ba9dc07a2caaa9d3fa13b0245ca1-1792762871306
    $1.63

    Bought 3.880953 Liam Draxl for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch at 0.42

  • 07:02 AM
    HIhivexyz
    $4.00

    Bought 9.302326 Liam Draxl for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch at 0.43

  • 07:00 AM
    EFeFMBS
    $46.62

    Bought 80.379311 Darwin Blanch for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch at 0.58

  • 07:00 AM
    PApaulaoofc
    $40.75

    Bought 97.02 Liam Draxl for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch at 0.42

  • 06:37 AM
    MYmymilly
    $1.25

    Bought 2.98 Liam Draxl for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch at 0.42

  • 06:10 AM
    HHhhhizli
    $60.35

    Bought 140.348838 Liam Draxl for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch at 0.43

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PA1
paulaoofc
事件損益
+$0.00
成交量
$177.40
持倉數
Liam Draxl
CE2
0xCe3e…9747
事件損益
+$1.50
成交量
$149.65
持倉數
Darwin Blanch
HH3
hhhizli
事件損益
-$1.40
成交量
$140.35
持倉數
Liam Draxl
PO4
Po1yamory
事件損益
+$0.00
成交量
$109.83
持倉數
Darwin Blanch
EF5
eFMBS
事件損益
+$0.00
成交量
$80.38
持倉數
Darwin Blanch
636
0x6318…2041
事件損益
+$0.16
成交量
$16.46
持倉數
Liam Draxl
HI7
hivexyz
事件損益
-$0.09
成交量
$9.30
持倉數
Liam Draxl
178
0x1793…1767
事件損益
-$0.08
成交量
$8.47
持倉數
Darwin Blanch

常見問題

目前市場對「Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 21.5 以 6,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,800%),以及 Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch Match O/U 22.5(5,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $379,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易