Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg

$449.7K Vol
2026年11月19日
Active
機率趨勢
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 89.5%
Mattia Bellucci 10.5%

核心摘要

根據「Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Mattia Bellucci 以 5% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $449.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (9,995%):Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Mattia Bellucci (5%):作為最可行的替代選項,Mattia Bellucci 保持著 5% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Mattia Bellucci5.0%—5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg.

This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Mattia Bellucci.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 12:36 PM
    ALalois17
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 10:03 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.05

    Bought 15 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

  • 05:49 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $442.26

    Sold 1053 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 05:40 AM
    50500kDollars
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941177 Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.34

  • 05:38 AM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985075 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

  • 04:45 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanestreet
    $334.99

    Bought 499.99 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

  • 03:28 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $102.15

    Bought 227 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 03:28 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $122.40

    Bought 272 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 03:27 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $122.40

    Bought 272 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 03:27 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $126.90

    Bought 282 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 12:44 AM
    OLolivzer
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

Nov 10, 2026

  • 10:06 PM
    CHCharlieEcho71
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985075 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PA1
papillon1
事件損益
-$23.91
成交量
$2,927.54
持倉數
Mattia Bellucci
KK2
Kkunn
事件損益
+$41.07
成交量
$2,680.48
持倉數
Mattia Bellucci
GQ3
gq3g31egv1eq
事件損益
-$64.65
成交量
$2,586.00
持倉數
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
FL4
Flaznorp
事件損益
+$41.35
成交量
$1,653.94
持倉數
Mattia Bellucci
NE5
neutralwave23
事件損益
-$26.70
成交量
$1,544.90
持倉數
Mattia Bellucci
996
0x99F0…6382
事件損益
+$24.18
成交量
$1,291.17
持倉數
Sascha Gueymard-WayenburgMattia Bellucci
CL7
clownly
事件損益
+$54.00
成交量
$1,200.00
持倉數
Mattia BellucciSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
MO8
mouzsynapse
事件損益
+$5.35
成交量
$1,069.39
持倉數
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg

常見問題

目前市場對「Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Mattia Bellucci(5%)。該市場總成交量已達 $449.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易