Geelong Cats vs. Melbourne Demons
核心摘要
根據「Geelong Cats vs. Melbourne Demons」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Geelong Cats 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Melbourne Demons 以 5,000% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Geelong Cats (5,000%):Geelong Cats 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Melbourne Demons (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Melbourne Demons 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geelong Cats | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Melbourne Demons | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming AFL Women match between Geelong Cats and Melbourne Demons, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 9:05 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Geelong Cats" if Geelong Cats is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
常見問題
目前市場對「Geelong Cats vs. Melbourne Demons」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Geelong Cats 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Melbourne Demons(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
