
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
核心摘要
根据「Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? 以压倒性的 4,845% 获胜概率主导市场;Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? 以 4,305% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $94.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? (4,845%):Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 4,845¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $94.2K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? (4,305%):作为最可行的替代选项,Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? 保持着 4,305% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,305¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | 4845.0% | $94.2K | 4845¢ | -4745¢ |
| 2 | Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | 4305.0% | $94.2K | 4305¢ | -4205¢ |
裁决规则
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Solana’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Solana’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.
If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 8, 2026
- 04:23 AMLEleo1213$8.80
Bought 20 $60 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.44
- 04:23 AMETethanblack$96.17
Sold 168.72 $140 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.57
- 04:17 AMXFxf-bot$0.70
Sold 1.67 $60 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.42
Sep 6, 2026
- 02:21 PMSDsdfsdfsdfsdf2$37.38
Sold 89 $60 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.42
- 02:21 PM0X0xd13c1B0D56e2671C7eCa9BF3CDa75C86140602f4-1768221888770$64.34
Sold 153.19 $60 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.42
Sep 5, 2026
- 06:35 PMGYgydmasg$2.90
Sold 5 $140 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.58
- 05:19 PMBOBobbyBakedBeans$3.37
Bought 5.81 $140 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.58
- 07:44 AM0X0x95fE6465E960FF368921978a301D674D9cae3896-1768700202185$1.00
Bought 1.700679 $140 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.59
Sep 4, 2026
- 03:27 PMABABC12345654321$11.79
Bought 19.983192 $140 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.59
- 03:26 PMABABC12345654321$8.00
Bought 20 $60 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.4
- 02:15 PM0X0xd13c1B0D56e2671C7eCa9BF3CDa75C86140602f4-1768221888770$8.40
Sold 20 $60 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.42
- 02:06 PMXFxf-bot$7.71
Bought 18.816424 $60 for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? at 0.41
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? 以 4,845% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?(4,305%)。该市场总成交量已达 $94.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
