Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?

根据「Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，December 31, 2026 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场；December 31, 2027 以 5,000% 位居第二，June 30, 2027 以 4,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• December 31, 2026 (5,000%)：December 31, 2026 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• December 31, 2027 (5,000%)：作为最可行的替代选项，December 31, 2027 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
• June 30, 2027 (4,550%)：以 4,550% 的概率位列第三，市场对 June 30, 2027 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.

If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.