
Kosovo vs. Israel - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「Kosovo vs. Israel - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,300% 获胜概率主导市场;Kosovo O/U 0.5 以 8,150% 位居第二,2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 7,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $117.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 0.5 (9,300%):O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,300¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Kosovo O/U 0.5 (8,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Kosovo O/U 0.5 保持着 8,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,150¢。
- 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,800%):以 7,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 1.5 (7,550%)、1st Half O/U 0.5 (7,050%),以及 Israel O/U 0.5 (6,450%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Kosovo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 9300.0% | $1.3K | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 2 | Kosovo O/U 0.5 | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 3 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 7800.0% | — | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 7550.0% | $1.5K | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 7050.0% | $439 | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 6 | Israel O/U 0.5 | 6450.0% | $5 | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 7 | Kosovo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 6100.0% | — | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score | 5350.0% | $98 | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 9 | Kosovo 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 | 5150.0% | $93.3K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 11 | Kosovo O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | $730 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 12 | Kosovo 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Israel 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Israel 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 16 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 17 | Israel 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 18 | Israel 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 3750.0% | $175 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 19 | 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 20 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 3350.0% | $705 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 21 | O/U 3.5 | 2850.0% | $3.2K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 22 | Kosovo (-1.5) | 2750.0% | $2.2K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 23 | Israel O/U 1.5 | 2700.0% | $52 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 25 | Kosovo 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 26 | Kosovo O/U 2.5 | 2350.0% | $17 | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams to Score in First Half | 1950.0% | $845 | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 28 | Kosovo 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1700.0% | $6 | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 29 | O/U 4.5 | 1350.0% | $1.5K | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 30 | Kosovo (-2.5) | 1250.0% | $1.4K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 31 | 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1250.0% | $83 | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 32 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 33 | Israel 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 34 | Israel 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 35 | Kosovo O/U 3.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 36 | Israel O/U 2.5 | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 37 | Israel 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 805.0% | — | 805¢ | -705¢ |
| 38 | Israel (-1.5) | 750.0% | $1.1K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 39 | Kosovo 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 40 | Kosovo (-4.5) | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 41 | Kosovo O/U 4.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 42 | Kosovo 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 43 | Israel 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 44 | Kosovo O/U 5.5 | 650.0% | — | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 45 | Israel O/U 3.5 | 630.0% | — | 630¢ | -530¢ |
| 46 | 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 600.0% | — | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 47 | O/U 5.5 | 550.0% | $5.5K | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 48 | Kosovo 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 49 | Kosovo (-5.5) | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 50 | 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 475.0% | — | 475¢ | -375¢ |
| 51 | Kosovo (-3.5) | 420.0% | $562 | 420¢ | -320¢ |
| 52 | Israel O/U 4.5 | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 53 | Israel O/U 5.5 | 365.0% | — | 365¢ | -265¢ |
| 54 | Israel (-4.5) | 295.0% | — | 295¢ | -195¢ |
| 55 | O/U 6.5 | 210.0% | $561 | 210¢ | -110¢ |
| 56 | Israel (-2.5) | 205.0% | $4.0K | 205¢ | -105¢ |
| 57 | Israel (-5.5) | 130.0% | — | 130¢ | -30¢ |
| 58 | O/U 7.5 | 100.0% | $73 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 59 | Israel (-3.5) | 55.0% | — | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 60 | O/U 8.5 | 30.0% | — | 30¢ | 70¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Kosovo and Israel, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 14, 2026
- 10:07 AMDOdoganjr$297.00
Bought 300 Kosovo for Spread: Israel (-2.5) at 0.99
- 10:06 AMDEDenariusX$2.00
Bought 3.846154 Over for Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5 at 0.52
- 09:54 AMSUsuntori$1.14
Bought 2.150944 Yes for Kosovo vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score at 0.53
- 09:29 AMTEteadesuyo$1.88
Bought 2 Kosovo for Spread: Israel (-1.5) at 0.94
- 09:29 AMTATaihung$100.00
Bought 117.647053 No for Kosovo vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.85
- 09:28 AMTATaihung$100.00
Bought 117.647053 No for Kosovo vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.85
- 09:28 AMTATaihung$100.35
Bought 118.059406 No for Kosovo vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.85
- 09:28 AMTATaihung$100.00
Bought 119.047618 No for Kosovo vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.84
- 09:28 AMTATaihung$100.25
Bought 119.345237 No for Kosovo vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.84
- 09:08 AM0X0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408$2.45
Bought 5 Under for Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5 at 0.49
- 09:08 AMVIviper0310$5,231.23
Bought 10257.31 Over for Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5 at 0.51
- 08:58 AMBIBibX$300.91
Bought 341.940791 Under for Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 4.5 at 0.88
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Kosovo vs. Israel - More Markets」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 0.5 以 9,300% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Kosovo O/U 0.5(8,150%),以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5(7,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $117.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
