Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club - Exact Score

$89.5K Vol
2026年11月5日
Active
概率趋势
Yes 94.3%
No 5.7%

核心摘要

根据「Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club - Exact Score」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 以压倒性的 94.2% 获胜概率主导市场;Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 以 5.4% 位居第二,Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 以 2.1% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $89.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (94.2%):Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 94¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $65.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (5.4%):作为最可行的替代选项,Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 保持着 5.4% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5¢。
  • Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (2.1%):以 2.1% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (1.8%)、Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (1.3%),以及 Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (1.3%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Al Kholood Saudi Club 3 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club94.2%$65.8K94¢6¢
2Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club5.3%$3685¢95¢
3Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club2.1%$7182¢98¢
4Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.8%$4852¢98¢
5Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.3%$3491¢99¢
6Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.3%$3381¢99¢
7Al Kholood Saudi Club 3 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.7%$2961¢99¢
8Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.4%$3360¢100¢
9Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.3%$3410¢100¢
10Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.3%$2890¢100¢
11Any Other Score0.1%$19.2K0¢100¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Kholood Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:25 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve based on the final score of the Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club match, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "0-0". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the match is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned match. If a result is awarded by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the match as played. If the match is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "0-0". Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from Saudi Professional League (https://www.slstat.com/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "0-0".

AI 估值分析:发现市场错误定价与 EV 差

人群共识与投机成交塑造了更宏观的预测市场,而我们的量化算法提供了数据驱动的反向视角。通过分析基本面信号、底层趋势与历史分布,我们的 AI 估值模型为每个结果独立测算出一个「公允价值」概率。

将该公允价值与当前交易价值对比,可揭示出重大背离——即期望值(EV)差。正 EV 差代表统计上被低估的结果,而负 EV 差则提示市场可能存在反应过度。

顶级 AI Alpha 与错误定价套利机会

根据最新一轮数据模型测算,以下几个关键合约存在显著偏离:

  • 最被高估的结果:Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 当前交易价为 94.2%,但我们的 AI 测算其公允价值仅为 59.8%,形成 -34.4% 的较大负 EV 差,表明人群可能过度炒作该结果、把溢价推得过高。
  • 最佳价值标的(最高 EV):我们的模型将 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 识别为盘面上最具价值的机会。市场仅给予其 2.1% 的交易概率,而我们 AI 的公允价值评估为 3.2%——形成可观的 +1.1% EV 差。
  • 被忽视的黑马:其他值得注意的偏离包括 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club(EV 差:+0.6%)以及 Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club(EV 差:+0%)。尽管我们的预测模型给予更强的统计支撑,这些长尾机会仍被实时订单簿大幅低估。
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club94.2%59.8%-34.4%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club5.3%0.8%-4.5%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi ClubBest EV2.1%3.2%+1.1%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.8%2.4%+0.6%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.3%0.6%-0.7%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.3%0.1%-1.2%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 3 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.7%0.1%-0.6%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.4%0.4%-0.1%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.3%0.1%-0.2%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.3%0.3%+0.0%
Any Other Score0.1%0.0%-0.0%

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 4, 2026

  • 11:26 AM
    0X0x2f547224DC01Fe49fc81edcf2Ee76e10faC5252C-1765179621924
    $0.06

    Sold 1.85 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 0.03

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 3 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293
    $7.82

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 0.96

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 3 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251
    $8.07

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 0.99

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    DIdips.
    $9.60

    Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 0.96

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FL1
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
-$24,457.87
成交量
$34,862.93
持仓数
No
HR2
HRAImail-.-
事件盈亏
+$16,362.52
成交量
$25,428.77
持仓数
Yes
SH3
shineforever
事件盈亏
+$9,731.57
成交量
$14,040.10
持仓数
Yes
SN4
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
-$5,019.06
成交量
$10,249.79
持仓数
No
A55
0xa5ef…2966
事件盈亏
+$0.00
成交量
$9,332.72
持仓数
NoNoNo+9
DI6
dips.
事件盈亏
-$633.58
成交量
$7,568.96
持仓数
Yes
TE7
testyeagles
事件盈亏
+$82.28
成交量
$4,098.15
持仓数
YesYesYes+8
E48
e46m3
事件盈亏
-$316.68
成交量
$1,839.13
持仓数
NoYesYes+7

常见问题

当前市场对「Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club - Exact Score」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 以 94.2% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club(5.4%),以及 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club(2.1%)。该市场总成交量已达 $89.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

AI 公允价值与实时市场交易价值有何不同?

实时市场交易价值反映的是公众情绪、订单簿动能与投机资金。我们的 AI 公允价值则由量化模型独立计算,剔除情绪炒作、专注底层数据。两者出现显著背离时即形成 EV 差,提示市场对某个结果可能存在错误定价。

当前哪个结果的期望值(EV)最高?

最新一轮测算显示,Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 是最显著的错误定价。市场对其隐含概率仅给到 2.1%,而我们的 AI 测算其公允价值为 3.2%——形成 +1.1% 的期望值差,是该市场中最具价值的标的。

市场共识是否对某个结果反应过度?

是的——数据显示市场对 Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 存在明显的反应过度。人群把其实时交易价值推高至 94.2%,但我们的公允价值评估认为其真实概率仅为 59.8%,形成 -34.4% 的负 EV 差,表明该合约被高估。

长尾数据中是否藏有高价值的黑马选项?

当然有。除了头部结果之外,我们的模型在排名靠后的选项中发现了被低估的潜力。Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 拥有 +0.6% 的正 EV 差,Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 则为 +0%。尽管量化层面更有支撑,这些合约仍被实时订单簿低估。

开始交易