Serie A: 2027 Champion

$304.4K Vol
2027年5月31日
Active
概率趋势
Inter Milan 49.5%
Roma 18.6%
Juventus 10.5%
Como 8.1%
AC Milan 8.0%

核心摘要

根据「Serie A: 2027 Champion」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Inter Milan 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Roma 以 1,880% 位居第二,Juventus 以 1,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $304.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Inter Milan (5,050%):Inter Milan 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $62.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Roma (1,880%):作为最可行的替代选项,Roma 保持着 1,880% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 1,880¢。
  • Juventus (1,050%):以 1,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Juventus 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 AC Milan (850%)、Como (750%),以及 Napoli (550%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Atalanta 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Inter Milan5050.0%$62.6K5050¢-4950¢
2Roma1880.0%$58.3K1880¢-1780¢
3Juventus1050.0%$16.8K1050¢-950¢
4AC Milan850.0%$21.5K850¢-750¢
5Como750.0%$28.2K750¢-650¢
6Napoli550.0%$12.4K550¢-450¢
7Atalanta280.0%$14.9K280¢-180¢
8Lazio125.0%$15.3K125¢-25¢
9Bologna15.0%$11.0K15¢85¢
10Fiorentina15.0%$7.9K15¢85¢
11Genoa15.0%$8.1K15¢85¢
12Sassuolo15.0%$8.3K15¢85¢
13Torino15.0%$8.4K15¢85¢
14Udinese15.0%$8.8K15¢85¢
15Cagliari5.0%$3.4K95¢
16Lecce5.0%$4.1K95¢
17Parma5.0%$3.6K95¢
18Venezia5.0%$4.1K95¢
19Frosinone5.0%$4.1K95¢
20Monza5.0%$3.3K95¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 07:38 AM
    VIViscaElBarca
    $13.81

    Sold 17.26 No for Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.8

  • 07:38 AM
    0X0xcc9Ade08Ae2DFB1C25fA259520c7E68Db07bA82E-1782232651838
    $30.20

    Bought 158.950741 Yes for Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.19

  • 06:39 AM
    0X0xdE126a30c728eF12c57C308a2d56d03A2658799e-1724126026525
    $5.13

    Bought 5.4 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95

  • 06:29 AM
    CEce4ww920
    $7.01

    Sold 7.46 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.94

  • 05:11 AM
    XQxqnn27v0
    $4.77

    Sold 5.07 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.94

  • 03:31 AM
    COcornishon2
    $1.86

    Sold 2 No for Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93

  • 03:31 AM
    COcornishon2
    $116.25

    Sold 125 No for Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93

  • 03:07 AM
    LJljb6djir
    $7.07

    Bought 7.6 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93

  • 02:46 AM
    P7p7fstfh3
    $5.80

    Sold 6.37 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.91

  • 12:24 AM
    CEce4ww920
    $7.09

    Bought 7.46 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95

Sep 7, 2026

  • 11:42 PM
    0X0x61cF643Ab3954588e7aB586FA779E36D42c9346a-1724225477241
    $1.13

    Bought 1.22 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93

  • 11:10 PM
    XQxqnn27v0
    $4.82

    Bought 5.07 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

A51
0xa5ef…2966
事件盈亏
+$77,242.42
成交量
$88,778.01
持仓数
NoNoNo+5
SA2
salahmh
事件盈亏
-$132.23
成交量
$10,960.19
持仓数
No
TI3
TimeTraveler
事件盈亏
+$46.11
成交量
$10,237.23
持仓数
YesYesYes
CY4
Cyberflems
事件盈亏
+$216.87
成交量
$10,140.87
持仓数
YesNoYes+2
TI5
TimSheHe
事件盈亏
+$317.57
成交量
$6,192.23
持仓数
NoNoYes+5
NO6
notoriousdo
事件盈亏
-$84.23
成交量
$4,949.97
持仓数
No
SH7
shovelingdigging
事件盈亏
-$172.79
成交量
$4,090.14
持仓数
Yes
AN8
Anjun
事件盈亏
+$5.61
成交量
$3,746.12
持仓数
NoYes

常见问题

当前市场对「Serie A: 2027 Champion」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Inter Milan 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Roma(1,880%),以及 Juventus(1,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $304.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始