
Serie A: 2027 Champion
核心摘要
根据「Serie A: 2027 Champion」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Inter Milan 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Roma 以 1,880% 位居第二,Juventus 以 1,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $304.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Inter Milan (5,050%):Inter Milan 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $62.6K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Roma (1,880%):作为最可行的替代选项,Roma 保持着 1,880% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 1,880¢。
- Juventus (1,050%):以 1,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Juventus 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 AC Milan (850%)、Como (750%),以及 Napoli (550%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Atalanta 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 5050.0% | $62.6K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Roma | 1880.0% | $58.3K | 1880¢ | -1780¢ |
| 3 | Juventus | 1050.0% | $16.8K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 4 | AC Milan | 850.0% | $21.5K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 5 | Como | 750.0% | $28.2K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 6 | Napoli | 550.0% | $12.4K | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 7 | Atalanta | 280.0% | $14.9K | 280¢ | -180¢ |
| 8 | Lazio | 125.0% | $15.3K | 125¢ | -25¢ |
| 9 | Bologna | 15.0% | $11.0K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 10 | Fiorentina | 15.0% | $7.9K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 11 | Genoa | 15.0% | $8.1K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 15.0% | $8.3K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 13 | Torino | 15.0% | $8.4K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 14 | Udinese | 15.0% | $8.8K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 15 | Cagliari | 5.0% | $3.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 16 | Lecce | 5.0% | $4.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 17 | Parma | 5.0% | $3.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 18 | Venezia | 5.0% | $4.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 19 | Frosinone | 5.0% | $4.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 20 | Monza | 5.0% | $3.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 8, 2026
- 07:38 AMVIViscaElBarca$13.81
Sold 17.26 No for Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.8
- 07:38 AM0X0xcc9Ade08Ae2DFB1C25fA259520c7E68Db07bA82E-1782232651838$30.20
Bought 158.950741 Yes for Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.19
- 06:39 AM0X0xdE126a30c728eF12c57C308a2d56d03A2658799e-1724126026525$5.13
Bought 5.4 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95
- 06:29 AMCEce4ww920$7.01
Sold 7.46 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.94
- 05:11 AMXQxqnn27v0$4.77
Sold 5.07 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.94
- 03:31 AMCOcornishon2$1.86
Sold 2 No for Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93
- 03:31 AMCOcornishon2$116.25
Sold 125 No for Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93
- 03:07 AMLJljb6djir$7.07
Bought 7.6 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93
- 02:46 AMP7p7fstfh3$5.80
Sold 6.37 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.91
- 12:24 AMCEce4ww920$7.09
Bought 7.46 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95
Sep 7, 2026
- 11:42 PM0X0x61cF643Ab3954588e7aB586FA779E36D42c9346a-1724225477241$1.13
Bought 1.22 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93
- 11:10 PMXQxqnn27v0$4.82
Bought 5.07 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Serie A: 2027 Champion」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Inter Milan 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Roma(1,880%),以及 Juventus(1,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $304.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
