
Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals
核心摘要
根据「Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Chicago Bears 以压倒性的 9,150% 获胜概率主导市场;Buffalo Bills 以 9,000% 位居第二,Arizona Cardinals 以 8,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $80.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Chicago Bears (9,150%):Chicago Bears 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,150¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $3.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Buffalo Bills (9,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Buffalo Bills 保持着 9,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,000¢。
- Arizona Cardinals (8,950%):以 8,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Arizona Cardinals 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Minnesota Vikings (8,850%)、San Francisco 49ers (8,800%),以及 Cleveland Browns (8,800%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Las Vegas Raiders 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Bears | 9150.0% | $3.0K | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | 9000.0% | $263 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Arizona Cardinals | 8950.0% | $1.7K | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 4 | Minnesota Vikings | 8850.0% | $231 | 8850¢ | -8750¢ |
| 5 | San Francisco 49ers | 8800.0% | $3.4K | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 6 | Cleveland Browns | 8800.0% | $1.7K | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 7 | Las Vegas Raiders | 8650.0% | $146 | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 8 | Denver Broncos | 8600.0% | $2.5K | 8600¢ | -8500¢ |
| 9 | Cincinnati Bengals | 8550.0% | $789 | 8550¢ | -8450¢ |
| 10 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 8550.0% | $958 | 8550¢ | -8450¢ |
| 11 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 8050.0% | $417 | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 12 | New York Giants | 6650.0% | $1.8K | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 13 | New England Patriots | 6350.0% | $584 | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 14 | Kansas City Chiefs | 6250.0% | $1.3K | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 15 | Detroit Lions | 5950.0% | $7.0K | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 16 | Carolina Panthers | 5100.0% | $3.7K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 17 | Atlanta Falcons | 4350.0% | $3.8K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 18 | New York Jets | 3750.0% | $1.4K | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 19 | Seattle Seahawks | 3550.0% | $3.8K | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 20 | Green Bay Packers | 3150.0% | $460 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 21 | Miami Dolphins | 2850.0% | $1.1K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 22 | Houston Texans | 2750.0% | $3.6K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 23 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2750.0% | $467 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 24 | Washington Commanders | 2750.0% | $6.3K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 25 | New Orleans Saints | 2650.0% | $1.4K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 26 | Tennessee Titans | 1835.0% | $406 | 1835¢ | -1735¢ |
| 27 | Los Angeles Rams | 1450.0% | $2.8K | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 28 | Dallas Cowboys | 1250.0% | $3.5K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 29 | Indianapolis Colts | 1250.0% | $4.2K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 30 | Baltimore Ravens | 255.0% | $8.8K | 255¢ | -155¢ |
| 31 | Philadelphia Eagles | 165.0% | $6.4K | 165¢ | -65¢ |
裁决规则
This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 NFL Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Over". Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than the listed number of wins per the rules of the NFL, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Under".
If the NFL Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Football League (https://www.nfl.com); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 6, 2026
- 07:26 PMERerdos-baconator$1.00
Sold 10 U 6.5 for Will the Cleveland Browns win more than 6.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.1
- 06:34 PMERerdos-baconator$1.40
Bought 10 U 6.5 for Will the Cleveland Browns win more than 6.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.14
- 01:56 PMDAdarkaurora$2.40
Sold 20 U 8.5 for Will the Minnesota Vikings win more than 8.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.12
- 01:54 PMANannont$0.08
Sold 0.16 U 7.5 for Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.47
- 01:52 PMHFhfv$2.21
Sold 8.5 O 7.5 for Will the Washington Commanders win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.26
- 01:50 PM——$53.55
Sold 109.28 O 7.5 for Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.49
- 01:50 PMANannont$4.72
Bought 9.44 U 7.5 for Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.5
- 01:50 PM——$5.09
Sold 5.25 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
- 01:50 PM——$8.57
Sold 8.83 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
- 01:50 PM——$73.44
Sold 75.71 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
- 01:50 PM——$5.82
Sold 6 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
- 01:50 PM——$10.77
Sold 11.1 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Chicago Bears 以 9,150% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Buffalo Bills(9,000%),以及 Arizona Cardinals(8,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $80.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
