
Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals
核心摘要
根据「Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Baltimore Ravens 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Los Angeles Rams 以 5,000% 位居第二,Buffalo Bills 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Baltimore Ravens (5,000%):Baltimore Ravens 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Los Angeles Rams (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Los Angeles Rams 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- Buffalo Bills (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Buffalo Bills 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Detroit Lions (5,000%)、Green Bay Packers (5,000%),以及 Kansas City Chiefs (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Los Angeles Chargers 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Ravens | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Los Angeles Rams | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Buffalo Bills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Detroit Lions | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Green Bay Packers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Kansas City Chiefs | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Los Angeles Chargers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | San Francisco 49ers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Seattle Seahawks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Chicago Bears | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Cincinnati Bengals | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Dallas Cowboys | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Denver Broncos | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Houston Texans | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | New England Patriots | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Minnesota Vikings | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | New York Giants | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Atlanta Falcons | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Carolina Panthers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Indianapolis Colts | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | New Orleans Saints | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Washington Commanders | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Cleveland Browns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Tennessee Titans | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | New York Jets | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Las Vegas Raiders | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Arizona Cardinals | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Miami Dolphins | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Philadelphia Eagles | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁决规则
This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 NFL Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Over". Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than the listed number of wins per the rules of the NFL, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Under".
If the NFL Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Football League (https://www.nfl.com); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常见问题
当前市场对「Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Baltimore Ravens 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Los Angeles Rams(5,000%),以及 Buffalo Bills(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
