
English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27
核心摘要
根据「English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Erling Haaland 以压倒性的 5,950% 获胜概率主导市场;João Pedro 以 1,450% 位居第二,Alexander Isak 以 1,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $79.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Erling Haaland (5,950%):Erling Haaland 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $18.8K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- João Pedro (1,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,João Pedro 保持着 1,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 1,450¢。
- Alexander Isak (1,250%):以 1,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Alexander Isak 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Igor Thiago (450%)、Kai Havertz (355%),以及 Cole Palmer (340%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Yoane Wissa 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erling Haaland | 5950.0% | $18.8K | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 2 | João Pedro | 1450.0% | $12.1K | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 3 | Alexander Isak | 1250.0% | $9.0K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 4 | Igor Thiago | 450.0% | $2.6K | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 5 | Kai Havertz | 355.0% | $2.1K | 355¢ | -255¢ |
| 6 | Cole Palmer | 340.0% | $2.0K | 340¢ | -240¢ |
| 7 | Yoane Wissa | 145.0% | $2.3K | 145¢ | -45¢ |
| 8 | Benjamin Šeško | 130.0% | $3.4K | 130¢ | -30¢ |
| 9 | Bruno Fernandes | 120.0% | $1.3K | 120¢ | -20¢ |
| 10 | Bryan Mbeumo | 100.0% | $1.7K | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 11 | Cody Gakpo | 65.0% | $1.8K | 65¢ | 35¢ |
| 12 | Marcus Rashford | 65.0% | $1.3K | 65¢ | 35¢ |
| 13 | Viktor Gyökeres | 60.0% | $1.7K | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 14 | Morgan Rogers | 60.0% | $1.7K | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 15 | Dominic Solanke | 50.0% | $1.5K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 16 | Antoine Semenyo | 50.0% | $1.6K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 17 | Morgan Gibbs-White | 50.0% | $1.8K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 18 | Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 45.0% | $1.7K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 19 | Ollie Watkins | 35.0% | $5.0K | 35¢ | 65¢ |
| 20 | Liam Delap | 30.0% | $1.5K | 30¢ | 70¢ |
| 21 | Jean-Philippe Mateta | 25.0% | $1.3K | 25¢ | 75¢ |
| 22 | Hugo Ekitike | 20.0% | $1.5K | 20¢ | 80¢ |
| 23 | Chris Wood | 15.0% | $1.1K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 24 | Nick Woltemade | 5.0% | $15 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 25 | João Gomes | 5.0% | $10 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 26 | Bruno Guimarães | 5.0% | $651 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 27 | Callum Wilson | 5.0% | $221 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.
Only goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.
If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 8, 2026
- 07:55 AMWAwaitaaa$1.86
Bought 93.03 Yes for Will Kai Havertz (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 0.02
- 06:43 AMSAsayaakanlawannnn$10.00
Bought 16.666667 Yes for Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 0.6
- 04:52 AM0X0x06D52b01C053F53f3BDe5bbe77FA2e1561640417-1766022086380$10.00
Bought 76.923077 Yes for Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 0.13
- 04:51 AM0X0x63ADda169cA8F3311b361E3E7dc1a98FA882C072-1774822849424$12.33
Bought 12.32925 No for Will Marcus Rashford (Man Utd) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 1
- 04:51 AM0X0x63ADda169cA8F3311b361E3E7dc1a98FA882C072-1774822849424$12.33
Bought 12.32925 No for Will Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 1
- 04:51 AM0X0x63ADda169cA8F3311b361E3E7dc1a98FA882C072-1774822849424$12.33
Bought 12.32925 No for Will Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 1
- 04:51 AM0X0x63ADda169cA8F3311b361E3E7dc1a98FA882C072-1774822849424$12.33
Bought 12.326666 No for Will Antoine Semenyo (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 1
- 04:51 AM0X0x63ADda169cA8F3311b361E3E7dc1a98FA882C072-1774822849424$11.84
Bought 12.333325 No for Will Igor Thiago (Brentford) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 0.96
- 04:51 AM0X0x63ADda169cA8F3311b361E3E7dc1a98FA882C072-1774822849424$12.33
Bought 12.326666 No for Will Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 1
- 04:51 AM0X0x63ADda169cA8F3311b361E3E7dc1a98FA882C072-1774822849424$12.33
Bought 12.3316 No for Will Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 1
- 04:51 AMBAbalthazar$25.01
Bought 25.267333 No for Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 0.99
- 04:51 AMJUJustClickeverywhere$19.83
Bought 20.03 No for Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? at 0.99
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Erling Haaland 以 5,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 João Pedro(1,450%),以及 Alexander Isak(1,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $79.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
