Utah vs. Golden Knights

$110.1K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
概率趋势
Golden Knights 53.5%
Utah 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「Utah vs. Golden Knights」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 9,700% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 3.5 以 8,800% 位居第二,Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 以 8,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $110.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 2.5 (9,700%):O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,700¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 3.5 (8,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 3.5 保持着 8,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,800¢。
  • Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 (8,050%):以 8,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 (5,950%)、Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 (4,750%),以及 Utah vs. Golden Knights (4,650%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.59700.0%—9700¢-9600¢
2O/U 3.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
3Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
4Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.55950.0%$5415950¢-5850¢
5Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.54750.0%$4174750¢-4650¢
6Utah vs. Golden Knights4650.0%$99.5K4650¢-4550¢
7Spread -1.53250.0%$6.5K3250¢-3150¢
8Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.52800.0%$102800¢-2700¢
9Spread -1.52650.0%$6.5K2650¢-2550¢
10Spread -2.52050.0%$202050¢-1950¢
11O/U 8.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
12Spread -2.51600.0%$201600¢-1500¢
13Spread -3.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
14O/U 9.5850.0%$1.1K850¢-750¢
15Spread -3.5600.0%—600¢-500¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 11 at 9:30PM ET:

If the Utah win, the market will resolve to "Utah".

If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 12, 2026

  • 12:29 AM
    JOJobear2
    $3.30

    Bought 4.85294 Utah for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 12:05 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.84

    Bought 8 Golden Knights for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.73

  • 12:03 AM
    ——
    $3.61

    Bought 4.945203 Golden Knights for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.73

  • 12:03 AM
    NInigiri99
    $137.97

    Bought 189 Golden Knights for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.73

Nov 11, 2026

  • 11:35 PM
    NANathan0376
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35294 Utah for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:35 PM
    MIMing1997
    $10.00

    Bought 14.705881 Utah for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:33 PM
    SBSB1994
    $6.25

    Bought 9.191175 Utah for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:31 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.19

    Bought 43 Golden Knights for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 11:30 PM
    JOJobear2
    $3.40

    Bought 5 Utah for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:27 PM
    KIKingSheep
    $3.60

    Bought 5.294118 Utah for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:27 PM
    TRTrumanChen
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35294 Utah for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:21 PM
    ——
    $3.61

    Bought 4.945203 Golden Knights for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.73

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LA1
laser123
事件盈亏
-$218.40
成交量
$43,711.91
持仓数
Utah
CH2
ChonkVision
事件盈亏
+$150.00
成交量
$30,000.00
持仓数
Golden Knights
CH3
chubbytoro
事件盈亏
+$0.25
成交量
$28,033.02
持仓数
Utah
KE4
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
-$125.17
成交量
$25,039.43
持仓数
Golden Knights
NI5
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$12.29
成交量
$8,994.00
持仓数
UtahGolden KnightsGolden Knights
RO6
royalestake
事件盈亏
-$36.50
成交量
$7,299.98
持仓数
Golden Knights
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$4.67
成交量
$6,166.00
持仓数
UnderUtahGolden Knights+2
SH8
sha12345
事件盈亏
+$6.37
成交量
$6,000.00
持仓数
Golden Knights

常见问题

当前市场对「Utah vs. Golden Knights」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 以 9,700% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 3.5(8,800%),以及 Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5(8,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $110.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易