Sharks vs. Kings

$93.9K Vol
2026年11月5日
Active
概率趋势
Kings 85.5%
Sharks 14.5%

核心摘要

根据「Sharks vs. Kings」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 4.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 以 9,300% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 8,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $93.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 4.5 (9,995%):Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 4.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $146 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 (9,300%):作为最可行的替代选项,Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 保持着 9,300% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,300¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (8,950%):以 8,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -2.5 (7,950%)、Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 (7,650%),以及 Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 7.5 (5,150%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 4.59995.0%$1469995¢-9895¢
2Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.59300.0%$3.0K9300¢-9200¢
3Spread -1.58950.0%$658950¢-8850¢
4Spread -2.57950.0%$117950¢-7850¢
5Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.57650.0%$25.5K7650¢-7550¢
6Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 7.55150.0%$55150¢-5050¢
7Spread -3.54900.0%$3034900¢-4800¢
8O/U 8.53000.0%$73000¢-2900¢
9O/U 9.51350.0%$1471350¢-1250¢
10Spread -3.5550.0%$303550¢-450¢
11Sharks vs. Kings350.0%$62.6K350¢-250¢
12Spread -1.585.0%$6585¢15¢
13Spread -2.540.0%$1140¢60¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 4 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks".

If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 5, 2026

  • 12:54 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.62

    Bought 22 Sharks for Spread: Sharks (-1.5) at 0.21

  • 12:54 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.25 Kings for Spread: Sharks (-1.5) at 0.8

  • 12:53 AM
    JOJobear2
    $3.30

    Bought 5.322581 Sharks for Spread: Kings (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 12:28 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $18.98

    Bought 73 Kings for Spread: Kings (-2.5) at 0.26

  • 12:09 AM
    KIKingSheep
    $3.60

    Bought 5.806452 Sharks for Spread: Kings (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 12:08 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $7.77

    Bought 37 Sharks for Spread: Sharks (-1.5) at 0.21

  • 12:07 AM
    NANathan0376
    $5.00

    Bought 8.064515 Sharks for Spread: Kings (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 12:05 AM
    0X0x46c2e6a748140F108846c96E23890082A4312Cc7-1789712013374
    $30.00

    Bought 48.387097 Sharks for Spread: Kings (-1.5) at 0.62

Nov 4, 2026

  • 11:58 PM
    HAHan88
    $9.90

    Bought 15.967742 Sharks for Spread: Kings (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 11:54 PM
    TRTrumanChen
    $5.00

    Bought 8.064515 Sharks for Spread: Kings (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 11:52 PM
    JOJobear2
    $3.40

    Bought 5.483871 Sharks for Spread: Kings (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 11:51 PM
    HOHooolaaa
    $6.60

    Bought 10.64516 Sharks for Spread: Kings (-1.5) at 0.62

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$37.71
成交量
$31,456.11
持仓数
KingsKings
MU2
Multicoloured-Serf
事件盈亏
+$6.92
成交量
$25,911.33
持仓数
Sharks
ST3
starg
事件盈亏
-$74.93
成交量
$15,004.92
持仓数
Under
AN4
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
+$20.58
成交量
$12,415.41
持仓数
SharksSharksOver
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$15.92
成交量
$5,195.30
持仓数
OverUnderSharks
126
12monkeys
事件盈亏
-$76.00
成交量
$3,799.99
持仓数
Under
GE7
geraldo777
事件盈亏
+$18.75
成交量
$3,750.00
持仓数
Kings
RO8
roldy
事件盈亏
+$0.49
成交量
$3,298.70
持仓数
Kings

常见问题

当前市场对「Sharks vs. Kings」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 4.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5(9,300%),以及 Spread -1.5(8,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $93.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易