Penguins vs. Kings

$123.5K Vol
2026年11月8日
Active
概率趋势
Kings 52.5%
Penguins 47.5%

核心摘要

根据「Penguins vs. Kings」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 9,720% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 3.5 以 8,800% 位居第二,Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 4.5 以 8,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $123.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 2.5 (9,720%):O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,720¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 3.5 (8,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 3.5 保持着 8,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,800¢。
  • Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 4.5 (8,050%):以 8,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 4.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 (5,900%)、Penguins vs. Kings (4,850%),以及 Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 (4,800%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.59720.0%—9720¢-9620¢
2O/U 3.58800.0%$348800¢-8700¢
3Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 4.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
4Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 5.55900.0%$565900¢-5800¢
5Penguins vs. Kings4850.0%$101.9K4850¢-4750¢
6Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 6.54800.0%$674800¢-4700¢
7Spread -1.53050.0%$19.7K3050¢-2950¢
8Spread -1.52850.0%$19.7K2850¢-2750¢
9Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 7.52750.0%$882750¢-2650¢
10Spread -2.52050.0%$8452050¢-1950¢
11O/U 8.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
12Spread -2.51650.0%$8451650¢-1550¢
13O/U 9.5850.0%$270850¢-750¢
14Spread -3.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
15Spread -3.5600.0%—600¢-500¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 7 at 9:00PM ET:

If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins".

If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 7, 2026

  • 09:52 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.48

    Bought 16 Over for Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 7.5 at 0.28

  • 09:35 PM
    0X0x79Af6c69b46b0579e9217639Ba890009a9B5b720-1774897669407
    $3.00

    Bought 5.660378 Under for Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 at 0.53

  • 09:35 PM
    CHchenliwang
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Under for Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 at 0.53

  • 09:34 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.78

    Bought 9.192308 Kings for Penguins vs. Kings at 0.52

  • 09:30 PM
    0X0xfb921ec6f07b66ff67692517fa68dd7ab2e6ab32-1792220921739
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Over for Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 at 0.6

  • 09:30 PM
    0X0xfb921ec6f07b66ff67692517fa68dd7ab2e6ab32-1792220921739
    $5.00

    Bought 10.204082 Over for Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 at 0.49

  • 09:26 PM
    PIPIPIZIN
    $525.00

    Bought 1009.615385 Kings for Penguins vs. Kings at 0.52

  • 09:20 PM
    VDvdm4
    $3.00

    Bought 5.083332 Over for Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 at 0.59

  • 09:08 PM
    NANathan0376
    $7.50

    Bought 15.306123 Penguins for Penguins vs. Kings at 0.49

  • 09:04 PM
    SBSB1994
    $9.38

    Bought 19.142858 Penguins for Penguins vs. Kings at 0.49

  • 09:03 PM
    HAHan88
    $15.30

    Bought 31.22449 Penguins for Penguins vs. Kings at 0.49

  • 09:03 PM
    TRTrumanChen
    $7.50

    Bought 15.306123 Penguins for Penguins vs. Kings at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CH1
chubbytoro
事件盈亏
+$21.75
成交量
$63,820.96
持仓数
PenguinsPenguinsPenguins
MO2
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$691.48
成交量
$37,046.00
持仓数
PenguinsPenguinsUnder
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$111.79
成交量
$22,361.73
持仓数
Kings
CH4
ChonkVision
事件盈亏
-$100.80
成交量
$20,162.87
持仓数
Kings
RO5
royalestake
事件盈亏
-$348.39
成交量
$15,936.04
持仓数
Kings
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$12.48
成交量
$10,033.02
持仓数
KingsKingsPenguins+1
AN7
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
-$44.41
成交量
$8,881.00
持仓数
Kings
BA8
Babooou
事件盈亏
-$112.50
成交量
$7,500.00
持仓数
Kings

常见问题

当前市场对「Penguins vs. Kings」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 以 9,720% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 3.5(8,800%),以及 Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 4.5(8,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $123.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易