Predators vs. Ducks

$405K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
概率趋势
Predators 72.5%
Ducks 27.5%

核心摘要

根据「Predators vs. Ducks」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 以压倒性的 9,465% 获胜概率主导市场;Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5 以 8,500% 位居第二,Predators vs. Ducks 以 7,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $405K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 (9,465%):O/U 3.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,465¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $2.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5 (8,500%):作为最可行的替代选项,Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5 保持着 8,500% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,500¢。
  • Predators vs. Ducks (7,250%):以 7,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Predators vs. Ducks 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 (4,750%)、Spread -1.5 (4,300%),以及 Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 (3,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.59465.0%$2.5K9465¢-9365¢
2Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 4.58500.0%—8500¢-8400¢
3Predators vs. Ducks7250.0%$264.4K7250¢-7150¢
4Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 5.54750.0%$69.0K4750¢-4650¢
5Spread -1.54300.0%$3984300¢-4200¢
6Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.53250.0%$61.8K3250¢-3150¢
7Spread -2.52350.0%$2752350¢-2250¢
8Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5950.0%$1.5K950¢-850¢
9Spread -1.5800.0%$398800¢-700¢
10Spread -3.5735.0%$137735¢-635¢
11O/U 8.5450.0%$644450¢-350¢
12Spread -2.5360.0%$275360¢-260¢
13Spread -3.5145.0%$137145¢-45¢
14O/U 9.5145.0%—145¢-45¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 11 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Predators win, the market will resolve to "Predators".

If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 12, 2026

  • 12:11 AM
    YOyoooogo
    $24.70

    Bought 38 Predators for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 12:11 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $10.08

    Bought 28 Ducks for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 12:10 AM
    MIMing1997
    $10.00

    Bought 15.384614 Predators for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 12:06 AM
    BLblackjaw
    $100.00

    Bought 128.205127 Ducks for Spread: Predators (-1.5) at 0.78

  • 12:04 AM
    TRTrumanChen
    $5.00

    Bought 7.692308 Predators for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 12:01 AM
    SBSB1994
    $6.25

    Bought 9.615385 Predators for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.65

Nov 11, 2026

  • 11:57 PM
    JOJobear2
    $3.40

    Bought 5.230768 Predators for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 11:54 PM
    NANathan0376
    $5.00

    Bought 7.692308 Predators for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 11:41 PM
    SUSubandiduuu
    $3.25

    Bought 5 Predators for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 11:41 PM
    YOyoooogo
    $24.70

    Bought 38 Predators for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 11:41 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $18.72

    Bought 52 Ducks for Spread: Ducks (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 11:37 PM
    SHSharpmachine
    $55.75

    Bought 619.39 Under for Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 3.5 at 0.09

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

491
0x4924…1188
事件盈亏
+$2,964.54
成交量
$197,622.74
持仓数
Predators
DO2
Donkey14
事件盈亏
-$1,022.73
成交量
$68,181.81
持仓数
Ducks
TA3
taylorsversion
事件盈亏
-$42.27
成交量
$62,058.31
持仓数
Ducks
DA4
DaBossHogg
事件盈亏
+$2,677.30
成交量
$32,361.95
持仓数
Over
F65
0xf62B…5459
事件盈亏
-$679.55
成交量
$29,552.44
持仓数
Over
MU6
Multicoloured-Serf
事件盈亏
-$1,469.96
成交量
$25,484.76
持仓数
UnderPredatorsPredators
AN7
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
-$354.37
成交量
$25,273.10
持仓数
DucksUnder
BO8
Bozos14
事件盈亏
-$340.91
成交量
$20,081.12
持仓数
Ducks

常见问题

当前市场对「Predators vs. Ducks」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 以 9,465% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5(8,500%),以及 Predators vs. Ducks(7,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $405K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易