Oilers vs. Maple Leafs

$103.6K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
Oilers 57.5%
Maple Leafs 42.5%

核心摘要

根据「Oilers vs. Maple Leafs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 9,305% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 3.5 以 7,450% 位居第二,Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 以 6,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $103.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 2.5 (9,305%):O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,305¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $34 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 3.5 (7,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 3.5 保持着 7,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,450¢。
  • Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 (6,250%):以 6,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Oilers vs. Maple Leafs (5,550%)、Spread -3.5 (3,800%),以及 Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 (3,700%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.59305.0%$349305¢-9205¢
2O/U 3.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
3Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.56250.0%$3556250¢-6150¢
4Oilers vs. Maple Leafs5550.0%$87.8K5550¢-5450¢
5Spread -3.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
6Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.53700.0%$1.8K3700¢-3600¢
7Spread -1.53250.0%$1043250¢-3150¢
8Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.52700.0%$7.5K2700¢-2600¢
9Spread -1.52050.0%$1042050¢-1950¢
10Spread -2.52000.0%$1.5K2000¢-1900¢
11Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.51400.0%$7501400¢-1300¢
12Spread -2.51350.0%$1.5K1350¢-1250¢
13Spread -3.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
14O/U 8.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
15O/U 9.5500.0%$1.6K500¢-400¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 14 at 7:00PM ET:

If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers".

If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 15, 2026

  • 12:42 AM
    ZEZesty5005
    $196.56

    Bought 578.126667 Oilers for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.34

  • 12:42 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985075 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.67

  • 12:42 AM
    BLblasfemio
    $264.00

    Bought 388.235293 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 12:34 AM
    GOGoldlobster
    $4.40

    Bought 4.583325 Under for Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 9.5 at 0.96

  • 12:22 AM
    FEferdinand2
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:22 AM
    GOGooperask
    $4.76

    Bought 7.44 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:22 AM
    GOGooperask
    $6.40

    Bought 10 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:22 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $98.82

    Bought 154.40625 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:22 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $14.81

    Bought 23.140625 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:05 AM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $17.85

    Bought 137.307693 Over for Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 9.5 at 0.13

Nov 14, 2026

  • 11:47 PM
    MDMd54941
    $2.52

    Bought 21 Over for Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 9.5 at 0.12

  • 11:33 PM
    STsteadyhodl
    $10.00

    Bought 27.027028 Oilers for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.37

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

RA1
Raisuu
事件盈亏
-$150.00
成交量
$30,000.00
持仓数
Oilers
MU2
Multicoloured-Serf
事件盈亏
+$114.14
成交量
$22,828.80
持仓数
Maple Leafs
NI3
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$40.19
成交量
$15,554.00
持仓数
Maple LeafsOverOver
CH4
chubbytoro
事件盈亏
+$4.79
成交量
$15,268.17
持仓数
Oilers
LI5
Libratus007
事件盈亏
-$71.74
成交量
$14,347.24
持仓数
OilersOilersOilers
KE6
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
+$65.54
成交量
$13,105.98
持仓数
Maple Leafs
ST7
stackingsats
事件盈亏
+$47.50
成交量
$9,500.00
持仓数
Maple Leafs
JO8
Joewwe
事件盈亏
-$42.36
成交量
$8,474.12
持仓数
Oilers

常见问题

当前市场对「Oilers vs. Maple Leafs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 以 9,305% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 3.5(7,450%),以及 Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5(6,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $103.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易