Jets vs. Chiefs - Player Props
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2026年11月8日
Active
概率趋势
Over 50.0%
Under 50.0%
核心摘要
根据「Jets vs. Chiefs - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场；Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二，Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%)：Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 (5,000%)：以 5,000% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 (5,000%)、Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%)，以及 Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Adonai Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Braelon Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Garrett Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Geno Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Mason Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Travis Kelce: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Xavier Worthy: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Adonai Mitchell: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Garrett Wilson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Rashee Rice: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Travis Kelce: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Xavier Worthy: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Adonai Mitchell: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Braelon Allen: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Garrett Wilson: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Geno Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Kenneth Walker: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Mason Taylor: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Patrick Mahomes: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Rashee Rice: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Travis Kelce: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Xavier Worthy: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Adonai Mitchell: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 47 | Braelon Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 48 | Garrett Wilson: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 49 | Kenneth Walker: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 50 | Mason Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 51 | Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 52 | Rashee Rice: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 53 | Travis Kelce: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 54 | Xavier Worthy: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁决规则
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Jets and Chiefs, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET.
常见问题
当前市场对「Jets vs. Chiefs - Player Props」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5（5,000%），以及 Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5（5,000%）。该市场总成交量已达 —，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。