Dolphins vs. Colts - Player Props
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2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
No 84.5%
Yes 15.5%
核心摘要
根据「Dolphins vs. Colts - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场；Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二，Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%)：Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 (5,000%)：以 5,000% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 (5,000%)、Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%)，以及 Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Caleb Douglas: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Daniel Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Greg Dulcich: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Jonathan Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Josh Downs: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Malik Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Malik Willis: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Ollie Gordon II: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Tyler Warren: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Caleb Douglas: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Greg Dulcich: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Josh Downs: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Keenan Allen: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Malik Washington: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Tyler Warren: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Daniel Jones: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Daniel Jones: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Daniel Jones: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Daniel Jones: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Daniel Jones: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Daniel Jones: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Caleb Douglas: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Daniel Jones: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Greg Dulcich: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Jonathan Taylor: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Josh Downs: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Malik Washington: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Malik Willis: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Ollie Gordon II: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Tyler Warren: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Caleb Douglas: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 46 | Daniel Jones: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 47 | Greg Dulcich: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 48 | Jonathan Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 49 | Josh Downs: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 50 | Keenan Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 51 | Malik Washington: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 52 | Malik Willis: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 53 | Ollie Gordon II: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 54 | Tyler Warren: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 55 | Keenan Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 56 | Keenan Allen: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 1550.0% | $40 | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
裁决规则
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Dolphins and Colts, scheduled for November 15 at 1:00 PM ET.
常见问题
当前市场对「Dolphins vs. Colts - Player Props」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5（5,000%），以及 Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5（5,000%）。该市场总成交量已达 —，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。