Magic vs. Jazz

$192.4K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
概率趋势
Magic 60.5%
Jazz 39.5%

核心摘要

根据「Magic vs. Jazz」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 189.5 以压倒性的 9,350% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 191.5 以 9,250% 位居第二，O/U 193.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $192.4K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 189.5 (9,350%)：O/U 189.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,350¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 191.5 (9,250%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 191.5 保持着 9,250% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,250¢。
  • O/U 193.5 (9,050%)：以 9,050% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 193.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 195.5 (8,750%)、O/U 197.5 (8,500%)，以及 Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 1.5 (8,450%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 O/U 199.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 189.59350.0%—9350¢-9250¢
2O/U 191.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
3O/U 193.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
4O/U 195.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
5O/U 197.58500.0%—8500¢-8400¢
6Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 1.58450.0%—8450¢-8350¢
7O/U 199.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
8Franz Wagner: Points O/U 14.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
9O/U 201.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
10Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
11O/U 203.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
12Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 1.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
13Desmond Bane: Points O/U 14.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
14O/U 205.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
15Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
16Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.56950.0%$2136950¢-6850¢
17Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
18O/U 207.56650.0%$2366650¢-6550¢
19Desmond Bane: Points O/U 9.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
20Franz Wagner: Points O/U 19.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
21Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
22O/U 209.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
23Magic vs. Jazz6050.0%$40.5K6050¢-5950¢
24O/U 211.55850.0%$125850¢-5750¢
25Spread -1.55750.0%$1175750¢-5650¢
26Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
271H Moneyline5700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
28Magic O/U 107.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
291Q O/U 54.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
302Q O/U 53.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
31Spread -2.55550.0%$1005550¢-5450¢
32Jazz O/U 104.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
33O/U 213.55450.0%$145450¢-5350¢
341H O/U 109.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
35Jazz 1H O/U 52.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
362Q Spread -1.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
37Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
38Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
391H Spread -1.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
402Q Spread -0.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
41Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
42Spread -3.55050.0%$15050¢-4950¢
433Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
444Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Magic 1H O/U 56.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Team to Score First5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Odd/Even Score5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Overtime?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Race to 105000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Race to 205000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Race to 305000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
533Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
543Q O/U 49.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
554Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Magic 1H O/U 54.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
573Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58O/U 215.54950.0%$6514950¢-4850¢
59Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
60Magic O/U 109.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
61Franz Wagner: Points O/U 9.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
62Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
63Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
64Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
65Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
66Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
67Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
68Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
69Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 2.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
70Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
71Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
72Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 2.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
73Jazz O/U 106.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
74Jazz 1H O/U 54.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
751Q O/U 56.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
76Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
771Q Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
783Q O/U 51.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
79Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 7.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
801H O/U 111.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
812Q O/U 55.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
82Spread -4.54550.0%$138.7K4550¢-4450¢
83Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
84O/U 217.54350.0%$8.2K4350¢-4250¢
85Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
864Q O/U 50.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
87Spread -5.54250.0%$1.4K4250¢-4150¢
881H Spread -3.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
894Q O/U 48.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
901Q Spread -0.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
911H Spread -0.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
92Spread -6.54050.0%$1214050¢-3950¢
93Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
942Q Spread -2.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
95O/U 219.54000.0%$1.4K4000¢-3900¢
96Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
971H O/U 113.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
98Franz Wagner: Points O/U 24.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
99Spread -7.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
100Spread -1.53700.0%$1173700¢-3600¢
101O/U 221.53650.0%$1703650¢-3550¢
102Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
103Spread -8.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
104Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 2.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
105O/U 223.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
106Spread -9.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
1071Q O/U 58.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
108Franz Wagner: Points O/U 23.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
109Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 12.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
110Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 14.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
111Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
112Spread -3.53000.0%$13000¢-2900¢
113Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
114O/U 225.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
115Spread -10.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
116Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 8.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
117Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 6.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
1182Q O/U 57.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
119Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 7.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
120Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 9.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
121O/U 227.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
122Spread -5.52500.0%$1.4K2500¢-2400¢
123Spread -12.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
124Desmond Bane: Points O/U 24.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
125Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
126Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 5.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
127O/U 229.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
128Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
129Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
130Spread -7.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
131O/U 231.51900.0%$51900¢-1800¢
132Spread -14.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
133Spread -9.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
134Franz Wagner: Points O/U 29.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
135Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
136Spread -16.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
137O/U 233.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
138Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
139Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 20.51450.0%$1001450¢-1350¢
140Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 6.51450.0%$1001450¢-1350¢
141Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
142O/U 235.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
143Spread -11.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
144Spread -18.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
145O/U 237.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
146Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 11.51050.0%$61050¢-950¢
147Spread -20.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
148Spread -13.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
149Desmond Bane: Points O/U 29.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
150Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 9.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
151O/U 239.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
152Franz Wagner: Points O/U 34.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
153Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
154Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 7.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
155Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
156Spread -15.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
157O/U 241.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
158Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
159Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 5.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
160Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
161Spread -22.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
162Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
163Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 11.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
164Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 15.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
165Spread -24.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
166Spread -17.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
167O/U 243.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
168O/U 245.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
169Franz Wagner: Points O/U 39.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
170Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 9.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
171Spread -26.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
172Spread -19.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
173Spread -23.5310.0%$27310¢-210¢
174Spread -21.5245.0%—245¢-145¢
175Spread -28.5235.0%—235¢-135¢
176Spread -30.5235.0%—235¢-135¢
177Spread -32.5225.0%—225¢-125¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NBA game between Magic and Jazz, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic".

If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz".

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 01:10 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 at 0.45

  • 01:09 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 at 0.45

  • 01:09 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 at 0.5

  • 01:06 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $6.66

    Sold 14.81 Over for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5 at 0.45

  • 01:06 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.25

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 at 0.45

  • 01:06 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 at 0.5

  • 01:05 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5 at 0.54

  • 01:05 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $19.44

    Bought 36 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5 at 0.54

  • 01:05 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.25

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 at 0.45

  • 01:05 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 at 0.5

  • 12:52 PM
    FEferdinand2
    $0.00

    Bought 0.01 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 211.5 at 0.38

  • 12:52 PM
    ——
    $1.80

    Bought 3.67347 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

2C1
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
-$599.79
成交量
$119,999.99
持仓数
Magic
RJ2
RJW1
事件盈亏
+$350.05
成交量
$69,999.99
持仓数
Jazz
SI3
SineNooneEI
事件盈亏
+$269.99
成交量
$53,986.96
持仓数
Jazz
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$51.48
成交量
$3,870.72
持仓数
JazzOverUnder+3
735
739633786
事件盈亏
-$35.43
成交量
$2,362.00
持仓数
Magic
SE6
sentrio
事件盈亏
-$10.03
成交量
$2,005.91
持仓数
Magic
KA7
KasonWong
事件盈亏
+$90.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持仓数
Under
ST8
strawberrycreek
事件盈亏
-$23.15
成交量
$1,634.95
持仓数
MagicUnderMagic+2

常见问题

当前市场对「Magic vs. Jazz」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 189.5 以 9,350% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 191.5（9,250%），以及 O/U 193.5（9,050%）。该市场总成交量已达 $192.4K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易