LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs

$599.5K Vol
2026年11月11日
Active
概率趋势
Frank Esports 60.5%
Ground Zero Gaming 39.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 3 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 3.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,955% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $599.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):Game 3 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $121.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 3.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,955%):以 9,955% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,955%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (9,950%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (9,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Game 4 Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$121.1K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$4759995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon9955.0%$1019955¢-9855¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9955.0%$1019955¢-9855¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9950.0%$509950¢-9850¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
7Game 4 Winner6750.0%$4.7K6750¢-6650¢
8O/U 4.5 Games6650.0%$3876650¢-6550¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5055.0%$1005055¢-4955¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$1005000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$1015000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$1005000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$1015000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%$504800¢-4700¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4650.0%$504650¢-4550¢
26Match Winner4250.0%$95.4K4250¢-4150¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%$1001000¢-900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%$10050¢50¢
30Game 1 Winner5.0%$118.7K5¢95¢
31Game 2 Winner5.0%$257.5K5¢95¢
32Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Frank Esports (+1.5)5.0%$3755¢95¢
33Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Frank Esports (+2.5)5.0%$5135¢95¢
34Both Teams Slay a Dragon5.0%$1015¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Regional Merit match between Ground Zero Gaming and Frank Esports in the LCP Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against Frank Esports.

This market will resolve to "Frank Esports" if Frank Esports win the match against Ground Zero Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 10:10 AM
    LIliu002
    $231.63

    Bought 482.5625 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.48

  • 10:10 AM
    CAcalm919
    $1,000.50

    Bought 2041.8414 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.49

  • 10:10 AM
    BBBBback
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.55

  • 10:10 AM
    WAwap5205202
    $20.45

    Bought 43.510639 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.47

  • 10:10 AM
    LDldsmk
    $5.00

    Bought 9.803922 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 10:10 AM
    LAlatvian.demon
    $539.54

    Bought 1057.93 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 10:10 AM
    SHShaolinTEA
    $3.75

    Bought 7.352942 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 10:09 AM
    ASasdkfjask
    $40.00

    Bought 76.923077 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.52

  • 10:09 AM
    LIliugong1
    $17.11

    Bought 34.918368 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.49

  • 10:09 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 3.877552 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.49

  • 10:09 AM
    NInikon73
    $2.38

    Bought 4.666667 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 10:09 AM
    MHmhlacroux
    $100.00

    Bought 196.078432 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AN1
antec
事件盈亏
-$5.60
成交量
$1,296.86
持仓数
Ground Zero GamingFrank EsportsFrank Esports+1
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$12.14
成交量
$1,235.00
持仓数
Frank Esports
1B3
0x1Bae…2374
事件盈亏
-$5.19
成交量
$1,213.47
持仓数
Ground Zero Gaming
DU4
dudunpan
事件盈亏
+$10.30
成交量
$896.42
持仓数
Frank EsportsFrank EsportsFrank Esports+2
BA5
backbox
事件盈亏
-$0.73
成交量
$719.89
持仓数
Frank EsportsFrank Esports
9E6
0x9e3e…9396
事件盈亏
-$21.22
成交量
$623.49
持仓数
Ground Zero GamingFrank Esports
387
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$0.02
成交量
$551.80
持仓数
Frank EsportsGround Zero GamingFrank Esports
BI8
biying88888
事件盈亏
-$4.68
成交量
$512.00
持仓数
Ground Zero Gaming

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 3 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,955%)。该市场总成交量已达 $599.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易