LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

$119.1K Vol
2026年11月6日
Active
概率趋势
Bilibili Gaming 58.5%
Dplus KIA 41.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 7,400% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以 5,000% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $119.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,400%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,400¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $859 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%),以及 Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7400.0%$8597400¢-7300¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Game 3 Winner4850.0%$9.0K4850¢-4750¢
28Game 1 Winner4750.0%$8.1K4750¢-4650¢
29Game 2 Winner4750.0%$8.5K4750¢-4650¢
30Game 4 Winner4600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
31Match Winner4150.0%$88.3K4150¢-4050¢
32O/U 4.5 Games3550.0%$873550¢-3450¢
33Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)2500.0%$3.0K2500¢-2400¢
34Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)1200.0%$1.3K1200¢-1100¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between Dplus KIA and Bilibili Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Dplus KIA.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:43 PM
    HYhydra1248
    $8.48

    Bought 11.012986 Bilibili Gaming for Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) at 0.77

  • 12:35 PM
    WAwaardenn
    $1.40

    Bought 3.333334 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:28 PM
    WOwoxwar
    $2.12

    Bought 5.04762 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:15 PM
    WOwoxwar
    $2.06

    Sold 5.02 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.41

  • 12:14 PM
    WOwoxwar
    $2.12

    Bought 5.04762 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:12 PM
    SUsuntori
    $72.19

    Bought 122.355931 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

  • 12:06 PM
    JXjxfei
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

  • 12:03 PM
    CRcreamy-vibes
    $5.00

    Bought 11.904762 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:01 PM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 16.135592 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

  • 11:55 AM
    303000to6666
    $275.00

    Bought 466.101695 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

  • 11:54 AM
    303000to6666
    $1,100.00

    Bought 1235.955054 Bilibili Gaming for Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5) at 0.89

  • 11:47 AM
    SUsuntori
    $60.00

    Bought 101.694916 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

691
0x6918…0027
事件盈亏
-$117.73
成交量
$23,753.00
持仓数
Dplus KIADplus KIADplus KIA+2
252
254321758
事件盈亏
+$34.57
成交量
$14,999.99
持仓数
Bilibili GamingBilibili GamingBilibili Gaming
AM3
am100
事件盈亏
-$48.55
成交量
$14,261.09
持仓数
Dplus KIADplus KIADplus KIA+2
TA4
TAIWANNUMBERONE
事件盈亏
+$252.32
成交量
$10,815.87
持仓数
Bilibili GamingBilibili Gaming
KA5
KateBollinger
事件盈亏
+$20.96
成交量
$8,499.37
持仓数
Bilibili Gaming
TI6
tianweizhu2
事件盈亏
-$14.99
成交量
$6,000.93
持仓数
Bilibili Gaming
PP7
ppaappaa
事件盈亏
-$12.43
成交量
$5,278.24
持仓数
Bilibili Gaming
HA8
Haode123789
事件盈亏
-$85.94
成交量
$5,029.16
持仓数
Bilibili Gaming

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,400% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor(5,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $119.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易