LALIGA: 2027 Champion

$5.3M Vol
2027年5月31日
Active
概率趋势
Barcelona 66.5%
Real Madrid 31.5%
Atlético Madrid 2.1%
Betis 0.4%
Villarreal 0.3%

核心摘要

根据「LALIGA: 2027 Champion」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Barcelona 以压倒性的 6,650% 获胜概率主导市场;Real Madrid 以 3,150% 位居第二,Atlético Madrid 以 205% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $5.3M,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Barcelona (6,650%):Barcelona 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $333.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Real Madrid (3,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Real Madrid 保持着 3,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 3,150¢。
  • Atlético Madrid (205%):以 205% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Atlético Madrid 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Betis (35%)、Villarreal (25%),以及 Alavés (15%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Athletic Bilbao 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Barcelona6650.0%$333.9K6650¢-6550¢
2Real Madrid3150.0%$478.4K3150¢-3050¢
3Atlético Madrid205.0%$336.9K205¢-105¢
4Betis35.0%$161.9K35¢65¢
5Villarreal25.0%$305.9K25¢75¢
6Alavés15.0%$308.3K15¢85¢
7Athletic Bilbao15.0%$218.4K15¢85¢
8Celta Vigo15.0%$273.9K15¢85¢
9Espanyol15.0%$260.0K15¢85¢
10Getafe15.0%$270.8K15¢85¢
11Osasuna15.0%$264.2K15¢85¢
12Rayo Vallecano15.0%$275.9K15¢85¢
13Real Sociedad15.0%$241.2K15¢85¢
14Sevilla15.0%$286.7K15¢85¢
15Valencia15.0%$293.8K15¢85¢
16Levante15.0%$258.3K15¢85¢
17Racing Santander15.0%$347.4K15¢85¢
18Deportivo La Coruña15.0%$278.3K15¢85¢
19Elche5.0%$66.5K95¢
20Málaga5.0%$65.2K95¢
21Team C5.0%$3.2K95¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 07:31 AM
    MTmt6eu55w
    $5.17

    Bought 5.28 No for Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.98

  • 07:21 AM
    $1.96

    Bought 2.925372 Yes for Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.67

  • 07:20 AM
    $0.75

    Sold 1.13 Yes for Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.66

  • 07:08 AM
    PEperddiccas
    $200.00

    Bought 625 Yes for Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.32

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Deportivo La Coruña win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Levante win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.05

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.98

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Racing Santander win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Valencia win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

A51
0xa5ef…2966
事件盈亏
+$3,543,252.88
成交量
$3,757,426.17
持仓数
NoNoNo+15
Q92
q9s7c73jdkke389
事件盈亏
+$915.01
成交量
$1,760,690.81
持仓数
YesYesYes+9
TI3
TimeTraveler
事件盈亏
-$156.77
成交量
$328,917.88
持仓数
YesYesYes+5
BA4
BabyGroot
事件盈亏
+$119.53
成交量
$235,625.87
持仓数
YesYesYes
LE5
leegunner
事件盈亏
-$136.78
成交量
$186,428.77
持仓数
YesYesYes
MA6
Marcoli
事件盈亏
+$20,725.41
成交量
$143,896.84
持仓数
Yes
FO7
foxy.
事件盈亏
-$5,450.51
成交量
$77,408.22
持仓数
YesYes
TH8
thefakenick
事件盈亏
-$2,068.02
成交量
$61,948.01
持仓数
NoYesYes+1

常见问题

当前市场对「LALIGA: 2027 Champion」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Barcelona 以 6,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Real Madrid(3,150%),以及 Atlético Madrid(205%)。该市场总成交量已达 $5.3M,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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