
M25 Lajeado: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior
核心摘要
根据「M25 Lajeado: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Thiago Horacio Messa 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior 以 5,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Thiago Horacio Messa (5,000%):Thiago Horacio Messa 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thiago Horacio Messa | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Horacio Messa and Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior in the M25 Lajeado, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Thiago Horacio Messa' if Thiago Horacio Messa advances against Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior.
This market will resolve to 'Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior' if Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior advances against Thiago Horacio Messa.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常见问题
当前市场对「M25 Lajeado: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Thiago Horacio Messa 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
